Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for BEBINCA-18
in Viet Nam, Laos, Thailand, China
GDACS
Impact Single TC
Impact all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BEBINCA-18 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2018-000136-VNM
Exposed countries Viet Nam, Laos, Thailand, China
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 111 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.2 m (16 Aug 23:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 65 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 111 km/h 1.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 420000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 12 Aug 2018 12:00 65 4.6 million No people China
Green 2 12 Aug 2018 18:00 65 430 thousand No people China

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 12 Aug 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 20.8, 112.3
GREEN
2 12 Aug 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 20.6, 112.5
GREEN
2 13 Aug 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 56 15000 people no people 20.5, 112.9 China
GREEN
2 13 Aug 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 65 20000 people no people 20.6, 113.3 China
GREEN
2 14 Aug 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 420000 people no people 20.9, 113.1 China
GREEN
2 14 Aug 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 21.2, 112.5 China
GREEN
2 15 Aug 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 21.4, 110.2 China
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
China

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Guangdong China 69.6 million people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

1.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.2m in Xuan Moc, Vietnam. This height is estimated for 16 Aug 2018 23:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (314 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 19 of 17 Aug 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

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