Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for BEBINCA-18
in Viet Nam, Laos, Thailand, China
GDACS
Impact Single TC
Impact all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BEBINCA-18 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2018-000136-VNM
Exposed countries Viet Nam, Laos, Thailand, China
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 111 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (15 Aug 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 65 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 1.5
GDACS Overall 111 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 38.8 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 12 Aug 2018 12:00 65 4.6 million No people China
Green 2 12 Aug 2018 18:00 65 430 thousand No people China
Green 3 13 Aug 2018 00:00 65 19.4 million No people China
Green 4 13 Aug 2018 06:00 65 1.4 million No people China
Green 5 13 Aug 2018 12:00 65 5.9 million No people China
Orange 6 13 Aug 2018 18:00 74 50.5 million No people China, Viet Nam, Laos
Orange 7 14 Aug 2018 00:00 65 75.6 million No people China, Viet Nam, Laos
Orange 8 14 Aug 2018 06:00 65 38.8 million No people China, Viet Nam, Laos

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 12 Aug 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 20.8, 112.3
GREEN
2 12 Aug 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 20.6, 112.5
GREEN
3 13 Aug 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 56 37000 people no people 20.7, 112.9 China
GREEN
4 13 Aug 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 <1000 people no people 20.6, 113.2 China
GREEN
5 13 Aug 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 65 5.6 million people no people 20.6, 113.2 China
GREEN
6 13 Aug 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 74 110000 people no people 20.5, 113.4 China
GREEN
7 14 Aug 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 74 32.4 million people no people 20.9, 113.8 China
GREEN
8 14 Aug 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 7.8 million people no people 21, 113.7 China
GREEN
8 14 Aug 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 74 8.3 million people no people 21.3, 113.3 China
GREEN
8 15 Aug 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 15.3 million people no people 21.5, 112.2 China
GREEN
8 15 Aug 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 21.3, 110.7 China
GREEN
8 16 Aug 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 56 18.7 million people no people 20.9, 109 Viet Nam
ORANGE
8 17 Aug 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 16.4 million people no people 19.9, 105.6 Viet Nam
GREEN
8 18 Aug 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 20.1, 102.6 Laos
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
China
Vietnam
Laos

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Guangdong China 69.6 million people
Macau China 380000 people
Hong Kong China 5.8 million people
Guangxi China 46.8 million people
Hai Phong Viet Nam 1.6 million people
Thai Binh Viet Nam 1.8 million people
Hai Hung Viet Nam 2.7 million people
Nam Ha Viet Nam 2.6 million people
Ninh Binh Viet Nam 850000 people
Ha Noi Viet Nam 2.1 million people
Ha Tay Viet Nam 2.2 million people
Thanh Hoa Viet Nam 3.3 million people
Hoa Binh Viet Nam 720000 people
Vinh Phu Viet Nam 2.2 million people
Nghe An Viet Nam 2.7 million people
Son La Viet Nam 780000 people
Houaphan Laos 270000 people
Borikhamxai Laos 160000 people
Xiangkhoang Laos 210000 people
Lai Chau Viet Nam 500000 people
Louangphrabang Laos 380000 people
Vientiane Laos 350000 people
Oudomxai Laos 320000 people
Xaignabouri Laos 200000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Macau Macau SAR Macau (China) Major city -
Central Hong Kong SAR Hong Kong (China) Major city 6.1 million people
Sanxiang Guangdong China City -
Kowloon Hong Kong SAR Hong Kong (China) Major city 2 million people
Tuen Mun Hong Kong SAR Hong Kong (China) City -
Taicheng Guangdong China City 140000 people
Sanbu Guangdong China City 130000 people
Encheng Guangdong China City 110000 people
Cangcheng Guangdong China City -
Jiangcheng Guangdong China City -
Chuncheng Guangdong China City 150000 people
Maoming Guangdong China City 460000 people
Meilu Guangdong China City 100000 people
Gaozhou Guangdong China City 160000 people
Huangpo Guangdong China City -
Zhanjiang Guangdong China City 630000 people
Chikan Guangdong China City -
Dongli Guangdong China City 100000 people
Leicheng Guangdong China City -
Thái Bình Thai Binh Vietnam City 52000 people
Thuan Nghiep Thai Binh Vietnam City -
Nam Dinh Nam Dimh Vietnam City 190000 people
Phu Lý Ha Namh Vietnam City 31000 people
Ninh Bình Ninh Binh Vietnam City 36000 people
Sam Son Thanh Hoa Vietnam City -
Thanh Hóa Thanh Hoa Vietnam City 110000 people
Hòa Bình Hoa Binh Vietnam City 100000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Zhuhai ZUH 6 0
Shanzhou SZO unknown 0
Macau MFM 6 Civ. Paved Yes 11000
Hong Kong International (Chep Lap Kok) HKG 9 Civ. Paved Yes 12400
Zhanjiang ZHA 75 0
Suixi 32 0
Bai Thuong 13 0
Sam Neua NEU 1000 Civ. Unpaved No 3400
Houeisay HOE unknown 0
Udomxay UDO unknown 0
Muang Phonsavan 1100 0
Xieng Khouang XKH 1067 Civ. Unpaved No 4900
Louang Phrabang LPQ 298 Civ. Paved No 6000
Ban Xieng Keo 305 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Xijiang Terminal China
Hong Kong HKHKG Hong Kong (China)
Yangjiang CNYJI China
Shuidong CNSDG China
Zhanjiang CNZHA China
Lei Shou China
Le Mon Vietnam

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Dalongdong Dalongdong He 1959
Donghu Nalong He 1961
Jinjiang Tan He 1972
Huangsha Yanghua Jiang 1960
Renshui Luoguang Shui 1975
Gaozhou Dajing He 1959
Hedi Jiuzhou Jiang 1961
Hoa Binh Da 1994

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.2m in Xuan Moc, Vietnam. This height is estimated for 16 Aug 2018 23:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (314 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 19 of 17 Aug 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

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