Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HELENE-18
in Portugal, Ireland, United Kingdom
GDACS
Impact Single TC
HWRF
ECMWF
GFS
Impact all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HELENE-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Portugal, Ireland, United Kingdom
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 185 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (18 Sep 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Portugal)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 102 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 185 km/h 1.1 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

102 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2.3 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 07 Sep 2018 15:00 111 200 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 2 07 Sep 2018 21:00 130 350 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 3 08 Sep 2018 03:00 120 350 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 4 08 Sep 2018 09:00 148 350 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 5 08 Sep 2018 15:00 148 50 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 6 08 Sep 2018 21:00 157 40 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 7 09 Sep 2018 03:00 167 No people No people
Green 8 09 Sep 2018 09:00 167 No people No people
Green 9 09 Sep 2018 15:00 167 No people No people
Green 10 09 Sep 2018 21:00 167 No people No people
Green 11 10 Sep 2018 03:00 167 No people No people
Green 12 10 Sep 2018 09:00 157 No people No people
Green 13 10 Sep 2018 15:00 185 No people No people
Green 14 10 Sep 2018 21:00 185 No people No people
Green 15 11 Sep 2018 03:00 176 No people No people
Green 16 11 Sep 2018 09:00 185 No people No people
Green 17 11 Sep 2018 15:00 176 40 thousand No people Portugal
Green 18 11 Sep 2018 21:00 167 4 thousand No people Portugal
Green 19 12 Sep 2018 03:00 157 4 thousand No people Portugal
Green 20 12 Sep 2018 09:00 148 50 thousand No people Portugal
Green 21 12 Sep 2018 15:00 148 50 thousand No people Portugal
Green 22 12 Sep 2018 21:00 139 40 thousand No people Portugal
Green 23 13 Sep 2018 03:00 130 50 thousand No people Portugal
Green 24 13 Sep 2018 09:00 120 1.1 million No people Portugal, Ireland
Green 25 13 Sep 2018 15:00 111 3.6 million No people Portugal, Ireland, United Kingdom
Green 26 13 Sep 2018 21:00 102 2.3 million No people Portugal, Ireland, United Kingdom

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 07 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.1, -17.8
GREEN
2 07 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.2, -18.6
GREEN
3 08 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.6, -18.5
GREEN
4 08 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 13.7, -19.6
GREEN
5 08 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 13.4, -20.6
GREEN
6 08 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.6, -21.7
GREEN
7 09 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.2, -22.8
GREEN
8 09 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.2, -24
GREEN
9 09 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.2, -25
GREEN
10 09 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 13.4, -26
GREEN
11 10 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 13.9, -27.2
GREEN
12 10 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.3, -28.9
GREEN
13 10 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 14.6, -30
GREEN
14 10 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 14.9, -31.5
GREEN
15 11 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 15.5, -32.4
GREEN
16 11 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 16, -33.6
GREEN
17 11 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 16.5, -34.3
GREEN
18 11 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 17.2, -34.9
GREEN
19 12 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 18, -35.4
GREEN
20 12 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 19.2, -35.7
GREEN
21 12 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 20.3, -36.5
GREEN
22 12 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 21.4, -36.7
GREEN
23 13 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 22.4, -36.9
GREEN
24 13 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 23.5, -37.3
GREEN
25 13 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 24.8, -37.3
GREEN
26 13 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 26.3, -37
GREEN
26 14 Sep 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 28.8, -36.7
GREEN
26 14 Sep 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 32.3, -35.8
GREEN
26 15 Sep 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 93 4300 people no people 35.5, -34.2 Portugal
GREEN
26 15 Sep 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 100000 people no people 37.9, -31.7 Portugal
GREEN
26 16 Sep 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 40.6, -24.4
GREEN
26 17 Sep 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 2.2 million people no people 44, -17.5 United Kingdom
GREEN
26 18 Sep 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 51, -7.5 Ireland
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Portugal
Ireland
United Kingdom

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Azores Portugal 230000 people
Munster Ireland 1 million people
England United Kingdom 48.3 million people
Leinster Ireland 1.8 million people
Wales United Kingdom 2.9 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Angra do Heroísmo Açores (Azores) Portugal City -
Trá Lí Kerry (Ciarraí) Ireland City 19000 people
Corcaigh Cork City (Cathair Chorcaigh) Ireland Major city 150000 people
Luimneach Limerick City (Cathair Luimnigh) Ireland Major city 67000 people
Saint Ives Cornwall, England United Kingdom City -
Cluain Meala South Tipperary (Tiobraid Árann Theas) Ireland City 15000 people
Port Láirge Waterford City (Cathair Phort Láirge) Ireland Major city 43000 people
Cill Chainnigh Kilkenny (Cill Chainnigh) Ireland City 8500 people
Loch Garman Wexford (Loch Garman) Ireland City 13000 people
Ceatharlach Carlow (Ceatharlach) Ireland City 13000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Flores FLW 34 Civ. Paved No 4500
Horta HOR 35 Civ. Paved Yes 5500
Pico PIX 34 Civ. Paved No 4700
Corvo Island CVU unknown 0
Sao Jorge SJZ 95 Civ. Paved No 4200
Graciosa GRW 26 Civ. Paved No 4300
Lajes TER 55 Mil. Paved Yes 10800
Caherciveen Reenroe CHE unknown 0
Bantry BYT unknown 0
Kerry County Airport KIR 30 Civ. Paved Yes 6500
Isles of Scilly Tresco TSO unknown 0
Isles of Scilly St Marys ISC unknown 0
Cork ORK 153 Civ. Paved Yes 6900
Shannon SNN 14 Civ. Paved Yes 10400
Penzance PZE unknown 0
Predannack 90 Mil. Paved No 5900
Culdrose 81 Mil. Paved Yes 6000
Perranporth 101 Civ. Paved No 3000
Waterford WAT 37 Civ. Paved Yes 4700
St Mawgan NQY 119 Mil. Paved Yes 9000
Kilkenny KKY 91 Civ. Unpaved No 3100
Wexford Castlebrdg WEX unknown 0
Brawdy 112 0
Haverfordwest HAW 47 Civ. Paved No 5000

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Lajes Das Flores PTLAJ Portugal
Santa Cruz Portugal
Sao Matues Pico Portugal
Horta PTHOR Portugal
Madalena Pico Portugal
Lajes Do Pico Portugal
Pico Island Portugal
Calheta Sao Jorge Portugal
Vila Nova Portugal
Velas Sao Jorge Portugal
San Jorge Island Portugal
Angra Do Heroismo Portugal
Santa Cruz Portugal
Praia de Vitoria Portugal
Crow Head Ireland
Crookhaven Ireland
Valencia Harbor Ireland
Castletown Bere IECTB Ireland
Bentwaters IEBEN Ireland
Skull Ireland
Baltimore Ireland
Glengariff Ireland
Bantry IEBYT Ireland
Bantry Bay IEBYT Ireland
Kenmare Ireland
Glandore Ireland
Castlemaine Harbour Ireland
Fenit IEFEN Ireland
Tralee IETRA Ireland
Kinsale IEKLN Ireland
Saint Agnes United Kingdom
Tresco Island GBTSO United Kingdom
Tarbert IETAB Ireland
Cork IEORK Ireland
Cobh IECOB Ireland
Whitegate IEWHI Ireland
Foynes Island IEFOV Ireland
Aughinish Island IEAUG Ireland
Youghal IEYOU Ireland
Limerick IELMK Ireland
Newlyn GBNYL United Kingdom
Penzance GBPEN United Kingdom
Dungarvan IEDGV Ireland
Saint Ives United Kingdom
Hayle United Kingdom
Porthleven United Kingdom
Falmouth United Kingdom
Coverack United Kingdom
Portreath United Kingdom
Falmouth GBFAL United Kingdom
Truro GBTRU United Kingdom
Newquay United Kingdom
Dunmore East IEDNM Ireland
Waterford IEWAT Ireland
Mevagissey United Kingdom
Duncannon Ireland
Padstow GBPAD United Kingdom
New Ross IENRS Ireland
Par GBPAR United Kingdom
Fowey GBFOY United Kingdom
Kilmore Quay Ireland
Port Isaac United Kingdom
Wexford IEWEX Ireland
Rosslare IEROE Ireland
Rosslare Harbour IEROE Ireland
Bude United Kingdom
Lundy Island United Kingdom
Milford Haven GBMLF United Kingdom
Clovelly United Kingdom
Saint David's Head United Kingdom
Pembroke GBPED United Kingdom
Pembroke Dock GBPED United Kingdom
Arklow IEARK Ireland
Tenby United Kingdom
Fishguard GBFIS United Kingdom

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Carrigadrohid Lee 1955
Lough Derg Parteen Weir Shannon 1927
Stithians Kennal 1965
Colliford Water St. Neots 1983

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (3936 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 37 of 16 Sep 2018 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

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