Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Yemen
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (14 Oct 13:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 102 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 139 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

102 km/h Current

Up to 1.3 million people in Tropical storm (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 120 350 thousand No people Oman, Yemen
Green 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 130 90 thousand 20 thousand Yemen
Green 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 139 150 thousand No people Yemen
Green 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 120 120 thousand No people Yemen
Green 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 130 620 thousand No people Yemen, Somalia
Green 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 130 1.3 million No people Yemen
Green 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 120 1.5 million No people Yemen
Orange 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 139 720 thousand 210 thousand Yemen
Orange 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 139 1.5 million 310 thousand Yemen
Green 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 139 1.5 million 40 thousand Yemen
Green 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 139 950 thousand 40 thousand Yemen
Green 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 139 1.1 million 70 thousand Yemen
Green 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 139 1.3 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 130 920 thousand No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 120 1.2 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 120 1.5 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 111 1.3 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 111 1.5 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 111 1.3 million No people Oman, Yemen, Saudi Arabia
Green 20 12 Oct 2018 18:00 102 1.3 million No people Yemen

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.4, 62.3
GREEN
2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 12.3, 61.6
GREEN
3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.2, 61.6
GREEN
4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.5, 61.2
GREEN
5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.9, 60.6
GREEN
6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.2, 60.1
GREEN
7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.4, 59.7
GREEN
8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14.1, 59.9
GREEN
9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.1, 59.1
GREEN
10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.2, 58.9
GREEN
11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.4, 58.5
GREEN
12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.5, 58.5
GREEN
13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.5, 58.1
GREEN
14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 14.5, 58.1
GREEN
15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.5, 57.9
GREEN
16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.5, 57.8
GREEN
17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 14.6, 57.6
GREEN
18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 14.6, 57.4
GREEN
19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 14.6, 57.1
GREEN
20 12 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.6, 56.4
GREEN
20 13 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 14000 people no people 14.5, 55.1 Yemen
GREEN
20 13 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 83 260000 people no people 14.6, 53.5 Yemen
GREEN
20 14 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 102 850000 people no people 14.7, 51.5 Yemen
GREEN
20 14 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 102 1.2 million people no people 15.1, 49.9 Yemen
GREEN
20 15 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16, 48 Yemen
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Yemen

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Al Mahrah Yemen -
Hadhramaut Yemen -
'Ataq Yemen -

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population Distance
Ghayl Ba Wazir Yemen City - 757 km
Al Mukalla Yemen City - 784 km

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Al Gaidah AAY 30 Civ. Paved No 8800 487 km
Qishn IHN 30 Civ. Unpaved No 3200 514 km
Riyan RIY 16 Civ. Paved Yes 9800 757 km
Mukalla MKX unknown 0 783 km
Canoxy 1003 0 795 km
Sayun GXF 640 Civ. Unpaved No 9800 832 km

Ports

Name LOCODE Country Distance
Ras Fartak Yemen 464 km
Nishtun YENIS Yemen 472 km
Sayhut Yemen 564 km
Ash Shihr Yemen 746 km
Mukalla YEMKX Yemen 783 km

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Musaina'a, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 13:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (63 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 20 of 12 Oct 2018 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2018 13:00 Musaina'a Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Qaysad Oman  0.3
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Tamnum Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Duqm Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Raida Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Hasana Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Lakabi Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Sarar Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 11:00 Sharkhat Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Qusayir Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Nafun Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 07:00 As Sirab Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 08:00 Qishn Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 09:00 Itab Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 As Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 23:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 19:00 Qasasil Qatar  0.2
13 Oct 2018 19:00 Umm Bab Qatar  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Al Uqayr Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Lakba Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Ra's Munaysif Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 09:00 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 19:00 Dukhan Qatar  0.1
13 Oct 2018 19:00 Al Aziziyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 19:00 Az Zallaq Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 19:00 Ar Rumaythah Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 19:00 Ad Dur Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 19:00 Jaww Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Umm Said Qatar  0.1
13 Oct 2018 19:00 Al Qurayyah Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 20:00 Hamad Town Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 20:00 Salmbad Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 20:00 'Isa Town Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 20:00 Ar Rifa Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 20:00 Ar Rifa' ash Sharqi Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 20:00 Karranah Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 20:00 Al Seef Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 20:00 Jidd Hafs Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 20:00 Al Manamah Bahrain  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:00 Dhafghan Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 09:00 Dasah United Arab Emirates  0.1
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Al Khubar Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Tabut Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Hayrut Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 09:00 Zahr United Arab Emirates  0.1
13 Oct 2018 09:00 Ar Ruways United Arab Emirates  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Nishtun Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Filim Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Ar Rakah Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Fararah Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Miji Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 06:00 Ad Dawhah Qatar  0.1
13 Oct 2018 06:00 Al Wakrah Qatar  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Saqr Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Alela Eritrea  0.1
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Aylu Eritrea  0.1