Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Yemen
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (14 Oct 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 139 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 1.5
GDACS Overall 139 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

139 km/h Current

Up to 300000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 120 350 thousand No people Oman, Yemen
Green 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 130 90 thousand 20 thousand Yemen
Green 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 139 150 thousand No people Yemen
Green 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 120 120 thousand No people Yemen
Green 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 130 620 thousand No people Yemen, Somalia
Green 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 130 1.3 million No people Yemen
Green 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 120 1.5 million No people Yemen
Orange 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 139 720 thousand 210 thousand Yemen
Orange 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 139 1.5 million 310 thousand Yemen

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.4, 62.3
GREEN
2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 12.3, 61.6
GREEN
3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.2, 61.6
GREEN
4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.5, 61.2
GREEN
5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.9, 60.6
GREEN
6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.2, 60.1
GREEN
7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.4, 59.7
GREEN
8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14.1, 59.9
GREEN
9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.1, 59.1
GREEN
9 10 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 14.4, 58.4
GREEN
9 11 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 14.6, 57.8
GREEN
9 11 Oct 2018 12:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 14.7, 57.2
GREEN
9 12 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.8, 56.4
GREEN
9 13 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 139 130000 people no people 14.8, 54.6 Yemen
ORANGE
9 14 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 139 1.4 million people 300000 people 14.7, 51.6 Yemen
GREEN
9 15 Oct 2018 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.9, 48.7 Yemen
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Yemen

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Al Mahrah Yemen -
Hadhramaut Yemen -

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population Distance
Ghayl Ba Wazir Yemen City - 1051 km

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Riyan RIY 16 Civ. Paved Yes 9800 1051 km

Ports

Name LOCODE Country Distance
Ash Shihr Yemen 1039 km

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Qishn, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (14 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 9 of 10 Oct 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Qishn Yemen  0.2
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Asarsa India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Tankari India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Kambhat India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Kavi India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Sarod India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Muler India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Wadgam India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 15:00 Harinagar India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:00 Lakabi Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:00 Qaysad Oman  0.1
08 Oct 2018 14:00 Ghogha India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 14:00 Dahej India  0.1