Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PENNY-18
in Australia, Papua New Guinea
31 Dec 2018 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone PENNY-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Australia, Papua New Guinea
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 120 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 1.3 m (01 Jan 00:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (Papua New Guinea)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 102 km/h 1.3 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 120 km/h 1.3 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      102 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 330000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 31 Dec 2018 00:00 102 330 thousand No people Australia, Papua New Guinea

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 31 Dec 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 18000 people -12.8, 139.6 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 31 Dec 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 23000 people -12.7, 140.4 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 01 Jan 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 54000 people -13.1, 141.7 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 01 Jan 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 260000 people -13.5, 143.4 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 02 Jan 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 320000 people -13.9, 145.3 Papua New Guinea
          GREEN
          		 1 03 Jan 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 160000 people -15, 149.9 Papua New Guinea
          GREEN
          		 1 04 Jan 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -16.8, 153.5
          GREEN
          		 1 05 Jan 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -18.3, 152.8
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Australia
          Papua New Guinea

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Queensland Australia
          Central Papua New Guinea
          Milne Bay Papua New Guinea

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Weipa Queensland Australia City -
          Cooktown Queensland Australia City -
          Mareeba Queensland Australia City 8400 people
          Atherton Queensland Australia City 6900 people
          Cairns Queensland Australia Major city 150000 people
          Gordonvale Queensland Australia City -
          Innisfail Queensland Australia City 10000 people
          Tully Queensland Australia City -

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Beagle Bay BEE unknown 0
          Aurukun AUU 9 Civ. Unpaved No 4100
          Weipa WEI 19 Civ. Paved Yes 5300
          Scherger 44 Mil. Paved No 10000
          Agnew AGW unknown 0
          Merluna MLV unknown 0
          Pormpuraaw 3 Civ. Paved No 4400
          Rokeby RKY unknown 0
          Moreton MET unknown 0
          Bamaga ABM 15 Civ. Paved Yes 5200
          Kowanyama KWM 11 Civ. Unpaved Yes 4500
          Thursday Island TIS 13 Civ. Paved Yes 4500
          Rutland Plains RTP unknown 0
          Coen CUQ 162 Civ. Unpaved Yes 3900
          Mitchell River MXQ unknown 0
          Batavia Downs BVW unknown 0
          Lockhart River IRG 23 Civ. Paved Yes 4300
          Kubin Island KUG unknown 0
          Badu Island BDD unknown 0
          St. Paul's Mission SVM unknown 0
          Mabuiag Island UBB unknown 0
          Inkerman IKP unknown 0
          Silver Plains SSP unknown 0
          Koolatah KOH unknown 0
          Musgrave MVU unknown 0
          Dunbar DNB unknown 0
          Dorunda Station DRD unknown 0
          Dixie DXD unknown 0
          Drumduff DFP unknown 0
          Vanrook VNR unknown 0
          Yorke Islands OKR 3 0
          Kalpowar KPP unknown 0
          Highbury HIG unknown 0
          Koolburra KKP unknown 0
          Lakefield LFP unknown 0
          Bulimba BIP unknown 0
          Murray Islands MYI unknown 0
          Laura LUU unknown 0
          Gamboola GBP unknown 0
          Bizant BZP unknown 0
          Hope Vale HPE unknown 0
          Greenvale Miner Lake GVP unknown 0
          Laura Station LUT unknown 0
          Wrotham Park WPK unknown 0
          Abingdon ABG unknown 0
          Lizard Island LZR 21 0
          Cooktown CTN 8 Civ. Paved Yes 5300
          Torwood TWP unknown 0
          Helenvale HLV unknown 0
          Bolwarra BCK unknown 0
          Bloomfield BFC unknown 0
          Chillagoe LLG 338 Civ. Paved No 3000
          Port Douglas PTI unknown 0
          Mareeba MRG 475 Civ. Paved Yes 4900
          Undarra UDA unknown 0
          Cairns CNS 3 Civ. Paved Yes 10400
          Innisfail IFL 14 Civ. Paved Yes 3000
          Dunk Island Township DKI unknown 0
          Hinchinbrook Island HNK unknown 0
          Orpheus Island Resort Waterport ORS unknown 0
          Kupiano KUP unknown 0
          Palm Island PMK 9 Civ. Paved Yes 3700
          Cape Rodney CPN 5 0
          Abau ABW unknown 0
          Amazon Bay AZB unknown 0
          Doini DOI unknown 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Weipa AUWEI Coral Sea Islands
          Thursday Island AUTIS Coral Sea Islands
          Cape York Coral Sea Islands
          Port Stewart Coral Sea Islands
          Cape Flattery AUCQP Coral Sea Islands
          Cooktown AUCTN Coral Sea Islands
          Port Souglas Coral Sea Islands
          Cairns AUCNS Coral Sea Islands
          Innisfail Coral Sea Islands
          Mourilyan AUMOU Coral Sea Islands
          Lucinda AULUC Coral Sea Islands
          Kupiano Papua New Guinea
          Abau PGABW Papua New Guinea
          Samarai PGSQT Papua New Guinea

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Tinaroo Falls Barron 1958
          Koombooloomba Tully 1961
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          1.3 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  1.3m in Weipa, Australia. This height is estimated for 01 Jan 2019 00:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (214 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 31 Dec 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          01 Jan 2019 00:00 Weipa Australia  1.3
          01 Jan 2019 00:00 Weipa South Australia  1.3
          31 Dec 2018 23:00 Mapoon Australia  1.3
          01 Jan 2019 03:00 Port Kennedy Australia  1.1
          01 Jan 2019 03:00 Hammond I Australia  1.1
          01 Jan 2019 03:00 Seisia Australia  1.1
          01 Jan 2019 13:00 Tamarike Indonesia  1.1
          01 Jan 2019 13:00 Sarire Indonesia  1.1
          01 Jan 2019 03:00 Cowel Creek Australia  1.1
          31 Dec 2018 23:00 Kumbe Indonesia  1.0
          01 Jan 2019 03:00 Cape York Australia  1.0
          01 Jan 2019 13:00 Merauke Indonesia  1.0
          01 Jan 2019 14:00 Urum Indonesia  1.0
          01 Jan 2019 19:00 Badu Australia  1.0
          01 Jan 2019 14:00 Wendu Indonesia  1.0
          01 Jan 2019 14:00 Matara Indonesia  1.0
          01 Jan 2019 16:00 Bula Papua New Guinea  1.0
          01 Jan 2019 16:00 Jara Papua New Guinea  1.0
          01 Jan 2019 13:00 Anansai Indonesia  1.0
          31 Dec 2018 23:00 Onggalie Indonesia  0.9
          31 Dec 2018 07:00 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.9
          31 Dec 2018 23:00 Kotad Indonesia  0.9
          31 Dec 2018 23:00 Dumande Indonesia  0.9
          31 Dec 2018 23:00 Alakoe Indonesia  0.9
          31 Dec 2018 23:00 Alatepi Indonesia  0.9
          01 Jan 2019 21:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.8
          31 Dec 2018 07:00 Birab Indonesia  0.8
          31 Dec 2018 23:00 Okaba Indonesia  0.8
          31 Dec 2018 23:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.8
          31 Dec 2018 22:00 Kobiem Indonesia  0.7
          31 Dec 2018 07:00 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.7
          31 Dec 2018 07:00 Per Indonesia  0.7
          31 Dec 2018 07:00 Amborip Indonesia  0.7
          31 Dec 2018 07:00 Jow Indonesia  0.7
          31 Dec 2018 07:00 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.7
          31 Dec 2018 22:00 Welab Indonesia  0.7
          31 Dec 2018 07:00 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.7
          31 Dec 2018 22:00 Papisote Indonesia  0.7
          31 Dec 2018 07:00 Agats Indonesia  0.6
          31 Dec 2018 09:00 Jofar Indonesia  0.6
          31 Dec 2018 22:00 Gelib Indonesia  0.6
          31 Dec 2018 22:00 Wamal Indonesia  0.6
          01 Jan 2019 21:00 Saibai Australia  0.6
          01 Jan 2019 21:00 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.6
          01 Jan 2019 21:00 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.6
          01 Jan 2019 21:00 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.6
          31 Dec 2018 09:00 Kladar Indonesia  0.6
          31 Dec 2018 09:00 Sabon Indonesia  0.6
          31 Dec 2018 09:00 Tor Indonesia  0.6
          31 Dec 2018 21:00 Komoran Indonesia  0.5
          01 Jan 2019 08:00 Running Creek Australia  0.5
          31 Dec 2018 04:00 Alyangula Australia  0.5
          31 Dec 2018 09:00 Numbulwar Australia  0.4
          31 Dec 2018 10:00 Amamapare Indonesia  0.4
          31 Dec 2018 19:00 Konerau Indonesia  0.4
          31 Dec 2018 19:00 Selemit Indonesia  0.4
          31 Dec 2018 19:00 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.4
          02 Jan 2019 09:00 Halifax Australia  0.4
          31 Dec 2018 19:00 Wan Indonesia  0.4
          31 Dec 2018 10:00 Ndapurutiri Indonesia  0.4
          31 Dec 2018 06:00 Sanindara Indonesia  0.4
          01 Jan 2019 08:00 Aloszville Australia  0.4
          31 Dec 2018 10:00 Timuka Indonesia  0.4
          02 Jan 2019 07:00 Lower Tully Australia  0.4
          31 Dec 2018 06:00 Sakaoeni Indonesia  0.4
          31 Dec 2018 10:00 Keawkwa Indonesia  0.4
          31 Dec 2018 10:00 Mimako Indonesia  0.3
          02 Jan 2019 09:00 South Mission Beach Australia  0.3
          02 Jan 2019 08:00 Cassady Australia  0.3
          31 Dec 2018 06:00 Agatebi Indonesia  0.3
          31 Dec 2018 10:00 Ipirawea Indonesia  0.3
          31 Dec 2018 06:00 Sajengga Indonesia  0.3
          02 Jan 2019 07:00 Coolbie Australia  0.3
          02 Jan 2019 07:00 Moongobulla Australia  0.3
          02 Jan 2019 08:00 Lucinda Australia  0.3
          31 Dec 2018 10:00 Amar Indonesia  0.3
          31 Dec 2018 06:00 Tanam Indonesia  0.3
          31 Dec 2018 06:00 Kamboeriami Indonesia  0.3
          31 Dec 2018 06:00 Naoer Indonesia  0.3
          02 Jan 2019 07:00 Mutarnee Australia  0.3
          03 Jan 2019 17:00 Banana Pocket Australia  0.3
          03 Jan 2019 17:00 Lethebrook Australia  0.3
          31 Dec 2018 10:00 Uta Indonesia  0.3
          31 Dec 2018 06:00 Moegoetira Indonesia  0.3
          31 Dec 2018 06:00 Aoem Indonesia  0.3
          31 Dec 2018 06:00 Tambani Indonesia  0.3
          31 Dec 2018 10:00 Wakia Indonesia  0.3
          03 Jan 2019 16:00 Midgeton Australia  0.3
          01 Jan 2019 19:00 Mossman Australia  0.3
          01 Jan 2019 19:00 Miallo Australia  0.3
          01 Jan 2019 19:00 Wonga Australia  0.3
          31 Dec 2018 05:00 Ok Village Australia  0.3
          03 Jan 2019 21:00 Taffy Islet Australia  0.3
          03 Jan 2019 21:00 Te Kowai Australia  0.3
          31 Dec 2018 06:00 Kinara Indonesia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 10:00 Umuk Indonesia  0.2
          03 Jan 2019 17:00 Cannonvale Australia  0.2
          03 Jan 2019 17:00 Airlie Australia  0.2
          01 Jan 2019 19:00 Port Douglas Australia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 06:00 Caburinga Village Australia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 10:00 Kipia Maparpa Indonesia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 10:00 Paraoka Indonesia  0.2
          03 Jan 2019 22:00 Slade Point Australia  0.2
          03 Jan 2019 22:00 Amhurst Australia  0.2
          03 Jan 2019 22:00 Glenella Australia  0.2
          03 Jan 2019 22:00 Bakers Creek Australia  0.2
          03 Jan 2019 22:00 North Mackay Australia  0.2
          03 Jan 2019 22:00 Mackay Australia  0.2
          03 Jan 2019 22:00 Cremorne Australia  0.2
          01 Jan 2019 18:00 Elim Australia  0.2
          02 Jan 2019 07:00 Rollingstone Australia  0.2
          02 Jan 2019 07:00 Kinduro Australia  0.2
          02 Jan 2019 08:00 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.2
          02 Jan 2019 12:00 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.2
          04 Jan 2019 00:00 Etowri Australia  0.2
          04 Jan 2019 00:00 Nindaroo Australia  0.2
          04 Jan 2019 00:00 Bucasia Australia  0.2
          04 Jan 2019 00:00 Eimeo Australia  0.2
          04 Jan 2019 00:00 Andergrove Australia  0.2
          04 Jan 2019 00:00 Blacks Beach Australia  0.2
          01 Jan 2019 10:00 Trinity Beach Australia  0.2
          01 Jan 2019 10:00 Yorkeys Knob Australia  0.2
          02 Jan 2019 15:00 Alva Australia  0.2
          03 Jan 2019 21:00 Carmila Australia  0.2
          03 Jan 2019 21:00 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.2
          03 Jan 2019 20:00 Alligator Creek Australia  0.2
          03 Jan 2019 22:00 Rosella Australia  0.2
          03 Jan 2019 22:00 Chelona Australia  0.2
          01 Jan 2019 12:00 Masian Indonesia  0.2
          01 Jan 2019 19:00 Hockley Australia  0.2
          01 Jan 2019 19:00 Cooktown Australia  0.2
          02 Jan 2019 08:00 Innisfail Australia  0.2
          02 Jan 2019 09:00 Kamma Australia  0.2
          02 Jan 2019 05:00 Deeral Australia  0.2
          03 Jan 2019 23:00 Hay Point Australia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 12:00 Rabal Indonesia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 12:00 Kangoerma Indonesia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 06:00 Kaisweri Indonesia  0.2
          02 Jan 2019 13:00 Carstairs Australia  0.2
          02 Jan 2019 13:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.2
          02 Jan 2019 13:00 Rita Island Australia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 11:00 Aiduna Indonesia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 11:00 Umari Indonesia  0.2
          01 Jan 2019 13:00 Longar Indonesia  0.2
          01 Jan 2019 13:00 Baimoeh Indonesia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 12:00 Basada Indonesia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 12:00 Kobroor Indonesia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 12:00 Kedjabi Indonesia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 12:00 Djamboeai Indonesia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 12:00 Barakan Indonesia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 17:00 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 15:00 Djoering Indonesia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 15:00 Pono Indonesia  0.2
          03 Jan 2019 18:00 Elalie Australia  0.2
          03 Jan 2019 23:00 Inveroona Australia  0.2
          03 Jan 2019 23:00 Queens Beach Australia  0.2
          01 Jan 2019 22:00 Kobadangar Indonesia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 13:00 Gomo Gomo Indonesia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 11:00 Bendjoering Indonesia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 06:00 Saga Indonesia  0.2
          01 Jan 2019 22:00 Ayton Australia  0.2
          01 Jan 2019 21:00 Krai Indonesia  0.2
          04 Jan 2019 00:00 Seaforth Australia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 11:00 Komfane Indonesia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 06:00 Inanwatatan Indonesia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 06:00 Sege Indonesia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 14:00 Oud Krai Indonesia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 14:00 Krei-lama Indonesia  0.2
          03 Jan 2019 15:00 Clairview Australia  0.2
          31 Dec 2018 11:00 Karaum Indonesia  0.1
          31 Dec 2018 13:00 Keojabi Indonesia  0.1
          31 Dec 2018 17:00 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.1
          31 Dec 2018 17:00 Yirrkala Australia  0.1
          01 Jan 2019 21:00 Potawai Indonesia  0.1
          03 Jan 2019 15:00 Kalarka Australia  0.1
          31 Dec 2018 11:00 Sewer Indonesia  0.1
          31 Dec 2018 11:00 Karwai Indonesia  0.1
          31 Dec 2018 17:00 Gove Australia  0.1
          01 Jan 2019 16:00 Aibinio Papua New Guinea  0.1
          31 Dec 2018 11:00 Marlasi Indonesia  0.1
          31 Dec 2018 11:00 Masidan Indonesia  0.1
          31 Dec 2018 13:00 Doka Indonesia  0.1
          01 Jan 2019 21:00 Oolbun Australia  0.1
          03 Jan 2019 22:00 Hekampan Papua New Guinea  0.1
          03 Jan 2019 22:00 Tagula Papua New Guinea  0.1
          04 Jan 2019 00:00 Farnborough Australia  0.1
          04 Jan 2019 00:00 Yeppoon Australia  0.1
          04 Jan 2019 00:00 Emu Park Australia  0.1
          01 Jan 2019 21:00 Townsville Australia  0.1
          01 Jan 2019 21:00 Oonoonba Australia  0.1
          01 Jan 2019 21:00 Cluden Australia  0.1
          31 Dec 2018 11:00 Moha Indonesia  0.1
          31 Dec 2018 14:00 Diommon Indonesia  0.1
          31 Dec 2018 11:00 Goemsei Indonesia  0.1
          01 Jan 2019 22:00 Tarera Indonesia  0.1
          04 Jan 2019 00:00 Merinda Australia  0.1
          04 Jan 2019 00:00 Delta Australia  0.1
          04 Jan 2019 00:00 Bootooloo Australia  0.1
          04 Jan 2019 00:00 Bowen Australia  0.1
          04 Jan 2019 00:00 Yumbabullo Australia  0.1
          01 Jan 2019 11:00 Barron Falls Australia  0.1
          01 Jan 2019 11:00 Freshwater Australia  0.1
          01 Jan 2019 11:00 Stratford Australia  0.1
          31 Dec 2018 14:00 Wadjin Indonesia  0.1
          01 Jan 2019 07:00 Kulinchin Australia  0.1
          01 Jan 2019 21:00 Mohitien Indonesia  0.1
          01 Jan 2019 17:00 Saint Lawrence Australia  0.1
          03 Jan 2019 01:00 Keakalo Papua New Guinea  0.1
          03 Jan 2019 01:00 Gogsiba Papua New Guinea  0.1
          03 Jan 2019 01:00 Gadaisu Papua New Guinea  0.1
          03 Jan 2019 01:00 Bona Bona I Papua New Guinea  0.1
          03 Jan 2019 01:00 Auneri Papua New Guinea  0.1
          03 Jan 2019 01:00 Silo Silo Papua New Guinea  0.1
          03 Jan 2019 08:00 Ture Ture Papua New Guinea  0.1