Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for LEKIMA-19
in , China, Japan
GDACS
Impact Single TC
Impact all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LEKIMA-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries , China, Japan
Exposed population 7 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.7 m (09 Aug 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 194 km/h 2.7 m n.a. 2.5
GDACS Overall 241 km/h 2.7 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

194 km/h Current Max.

Up to 14.7 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 04 Aug 2019 00:00 130 12.5 million 100 thousand Japan
Green 2 04 Aug 2019 06:00 148 24.1 million 100 thousand Japan
Green 3 04 Aug 2019 12:00 167 34.7 million 50 thousand Japan
Green 4 04 Aug 2019 18:00 176 99.1 million 50 thousand Japan
Green 5 05 Aug 2019 00:00 167 98.6 million 50 thousand Japan
Orange 6 05 Aug 2019 06:00 120 220.9 million 10.7 million China
Green 7 05 Aug 2019 12:00 102 229.4 million No people Japan, China
Orange 8 05 Aug 2019 18:00 120 307.3 million 4.5 million China
Orange 9 06 Aug 2019 00:00 130 239.8 million 9.7 million China
Orange 10 06 Aug 2019 06:00 139 206.5 million 10.8 million China
Orange 11 06 Aug 2019 12:00 167 254.5 million 18.4 million China
Red 12 06 Aug 2019 18:00 185 209.7 million 13.9 million Japan, China
Orange 13 07 Aug 2019 00:00 120 204 million 1.2 million Japan, China
Red 14 07 Aug 2019 06:00 231 261.1 million 32.1 million Japan, China
Red 15 07 Aug 2019 12:00 222 285.3 million 33.7 million Japan, China
Red 16 07 Aug 2019 18:00 231 281 million 35.4 million Japan, China
Red 17 08 Aug 2019 00:00 185 291.3 million 43.1 million Japan, China
Red 18 08 Aug 2019 06:00 185 453.6 million 34.4 million Japan, China
Red 19 08 Aug 2019 12:00 194 336.5 million 45.6 million Japan, China
Red 20 08 Aug 2019 18:00 213 381.7 million 31.9 million Japan, China
Red 21 09 Aug 2019 00:00 194 425.1 million 86.3 million Japan, China
Red 22 09 Aug 2019 06:00 194 441.1 million 14.8 million China, Japan

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 04 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.1, 131.6
GREEN
2 04 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.5, 131.3
GREEN
3 04 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.6, 131.4
GREEN
4 04 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18.3, 130.4
GREEN
5 05 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18.8, 130.1
GREEN
6 05 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 19.1, 129.7
GREEN
7 05 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 18.7, 129.4
GREEN
8 05 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 18.6, 129
GREEN
9 06 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 18.8, 129.1
GREEN
10 06 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 19.1, 129
GREEN
11 06 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 19.7, 128.5
GREEN
12 06 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 19.5, 128.2
GREEN
13 07 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 1 130 100000 people no people 20.2, 128.2 Japan
GREEN
14 07 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 2 157 1.5 million people no people 20.9, 127.7 China
GREEN
15 07 Aug 2019 12:00 Category 3 185 24.5 million people no people 21.6, 127.1 China
GREEN
16 07 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 3 204 24.7 million people no people 22.1, 126.4 China
GREEN
17 08 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 4 213 25.7 million people 51000 people 22.7, 126 Japan
ORANGE
18 08 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 4 241 151.9 million people 100000 people 23.6, 125.5 Japan
ORANGE
19 08 Aug 2019 12:00 Category 4 241 191.3 million people 100000 people 24.4, 124.9 Japan
GREEN
20 08 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 4 222 88.1 million people 57000 people 25.5, 124.6 Japan
ORANGE
21 09 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 4 213 148.1 million people 66000 people 26.4, 123.4 China
RED
22 09 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 3 194 253.6 million people 7 million people 27, 122.5 China
ORANGE
22 09 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 148 304.8 million people 13.5 million people 28.3, 121.3 China
GREEN
22 10 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 102 300.9 million people no people 29.9, 120.5 China
GREEN
22 10 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 83 306.9 million people no people 32, 120.4 China
GREEN
22 11 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 83 255.1 million people no people 34.7, 120.2 China
GREEN
22 12 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 83 94.9 million people no people 37.2, 119.3 China
GREEN
22 13 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 74 14.5 million people no people 38.1, 119.2 China
GREEN
22 14 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 39.3, 120.4 China
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
China
Japan

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Zhejiang China 45.9 million people
Okinawa Japan 1.2 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Songmen Zhejiang China City -
Chumen Zhejiang China City -
Wenling Zhejiang China City 67000 people
Xinhe Zhejiang China City -
Qingjiang Zhejiang China City -
Yuecheng Zhejiang China City -
Zeguo Zhejiang China City -
Dajing Zhejiang China City -
Jiaojiang Zhejiang China City 460000 people
Qiansuo Zhejiang China City -
Huangyan Zhejiang China City 140000 people
Taozhu Zhejiang China City -
Ningxi Zhejiang China City -
Huaqiao Zhejiang China City -
Zhangxi Zhejiang China City -
Lin-hai Zhejiang China City -
Liangtoumen Zhejiang China City -
Zhangjiadu Zhejiang China City -
Lingjing Zhejiang China City -
Xianju Zhejiang China City 61000 people
Tiantai Zhejiang China City -
Xinchang Zhejiang China City -
Shengxian Zhejiang China City -
Ishigaki Okinawa Japan City 44000 people
Zhuji Zhejiang China City 110000 people
Songxia Zhejiang China City -
Shaoxing Zhejiang China City 410000 people
Diankou Zhejiang China City -
Maan Zhejiang China City -
Qianqing Zhejiang China City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Wenzhou WNZ 4 0
Luqiaq HYN 9 0
Iriomote Jima 12 0
Ishigaki ISG 26 Civ. Paved Yes 4900
9 0
Shimojishima SHI 16 Civ. Paved Yes 9800
Hirara MMY 45 Civ. Paved Yes 6500
Xiaoshan HGH 7 Civ. Paved Yes 10400

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Kan Men Chiang China
Haimen CNHME China
Irionote Island Japan
Ishigaki Island Japan
Ishigaki Japan
Hirara Japan
Myako Island Japan

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Human Trib. Jiao Jiang -99
Baishi Baishixi 1958
Zhongqian Baishixi 1960
Taihu Trib. Jiao Jiang 1962
Fuxi Dajinxi 1979
Xikou Trib. Jiao Jiang -99
Changtan Huangyanxi 1961
Niutoushan Nixi -99
Lishimen Shifengxi 1978
Qiaoying Trib. Caoe Jiang -99
Wuzhangyan Caoe Jiang -99
Changzhao Xingzhang Jiang 1979
Nanjiang Nan Jiang 1995
Hengjin Dongyang Jiang 1964
Nanshan Trib. Caoe Jiang 1973
Nagura Nagura Naguragawa 1996
Maezato Maezato Miyaragawa 1982
Sokobaru Sokobaru Sokobarugawa 1992
Dongfanghong Trib. Dongyang Jiang -99
Shibi Puyang Jiang 1992
Chengcai Puyang Jiang 1973

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

2.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  3.6m in San-chia-shih, China. This height is estimated for 09 Aug 2019 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.