Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FERNAND-19
in Mexico
03 Sep 2019 15 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone FERNAND-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 102 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (05 Sep 03:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 74 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 102 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      74 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 150000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 03 Sep 2019 09:00 74 110 thousand No people Mexico
        Green 2 03 Sep 2019 15:00 74 150 thousand No people Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 03 Sep 2019 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23.5, -94.3
          GREEN
          		 2 03 Sep 2019 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23.6, -94.9
          GREEN
          		 2 04 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23.4, -95.6
          GREEN
          		 2 04 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 89000 people 23.6, -96.7 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 2 05 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 150000 people 24.1, -97.6 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 2 05 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 24.8, -98.5 Mexico
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mexico

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Tamaulipas Mexico
          Nuevo Leon Mexico

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Abasolo Tamaulipas Mexico City 6700 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          La Pesca 5 0
          Carvajal 7 0
          Rancho Marina Vieja 30 0
          El Mezquite 5 0
          San Fernando 49 0
          Nuevo Dolores 146 0
          La Retama Southwest 608 0

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Adjuntas Vincente Guerrero Soto la Marina 1971
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.7 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Port O'Connor, United States. This height is estimated for 05 Sep 2019 03:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (129 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 03 Sep 2019 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Palacios United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 05:00 Flake United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 05:00 Elmgrove United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 05:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 05:00 Nadeau United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 05:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 05:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 05:00 Texas City United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 05:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 05:00 Virginia Point United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 05:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 05:00 Fort Travis United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 05:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 High Island United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Spanish Village United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Hoskins United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Freeport United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Mims United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Hoskins United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Port Morris United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Patton United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Matagorda United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Chinquapin United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Quintana United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Surfside United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 05:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Caplen United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Gilchrist United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Constance Beach United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Holly Beach United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Sea Isle United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Galveston United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Cameron United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Gulf Park United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Estes United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Rockport United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Copano Village United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Fulton United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 06:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 06:00 Port Aransas United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Oak Grove United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Grand Chenier United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Yarborough United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 00:00 Holly Beach United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 00:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 00:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 00:00 Port Isabel United States  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 La Pesca Mexico  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 06:00 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 22:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.3
          05 Sep 2019 00:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 01:00 South Padre Island United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 00:00 Boca Chica United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 06:00 Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 West Point United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Grand Ecaille United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Champoton Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Duvic United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Breton United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Celestum Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Hilda United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Gautier United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Leeville United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Tepeguahe Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Sisal Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 01:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Los Pericos Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Pascagoula United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 05:00 Cheniere Caminada United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Sunrise United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Buras United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Grand Isle United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 06:00 Majahual Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 21:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 00:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 00:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Ostrica United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Neptune United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Noham Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 06:00 Calderas Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 16:00 El Tular Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Fort Jackson United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 09:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 05:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 00:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 12:00 Progreso Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 12:00 Pixoy Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Boothville United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 12:00 Chelem Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 00:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 12:00 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 12:00 Chabihau Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Port Fourchon United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 01:00 Bayou La Batre United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 01:00 Coden United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 01:00 Nelson United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 12:00 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 10:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Dauphin Island United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 03:00 Fort Gaines United States  0.1