Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FENGSHEN-19
Off-shore
17 Nov 2019 06 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone FENGSHEN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 213 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (14 Nov 16:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability --

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 111 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 213 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      111 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 11 Nov 2019 12:00 176 No people No people
        Green 2 11 Nov 2019 18:00 157 No people No people
        Green 3 12 Nov 2019 00:00 148 No people No people
        Green 4 12 Nov 2019 06:00 148 No people No people
        Green 5 12 Nov 2019 12:00 148 No people No people
        Green 6 12 Nov 2019 18:00 157 No people No people
        Green 7 13 Nov 2019 00:00 148 No people No people
        Green 8 13 Nov 2019 06:00 148 No people No people
        Green 9 13 Nov 2019 12:00 139 No people No people
        Green 10 13 Nov 2019 18:00 148 No people No people
        Green 11 14 Nov 2019 00:00 148 No people No people
        Green 12 14 Nov 2019 06:00 148 No people No people
        Green 13 14 Nov 2019 12:00 148 No people No people
        Green 14 14 Nov 2019 18:00 157 No people No people
        Green 15 15 Nov 2019 00:00 176 No people No people
        Green 16 15 Nov 2019 06:00 194 No people No people
        Green 17 15 Nov 2019 12:00 213 No people No people
        Green 18 15 Nov 2019 18:00 204 No people No people
        Green 19 16 Nov 2019 00:00 204 No people No people
        Green 20 16 Nov 2019 06:00 204 No people No people
        Green 21 16 Nov 2019 12:00 194 No people No people
        Green 22 16 Nov 2019 18:00 185 No people No people
        Green 23 17 Nov 2019 00:00 167 No people No people
        Green 24 17 Nov 2019 06:00 111 No people No people

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 11 Nov 2019 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 14, 164.8
          GREEN
          		 2 11 Nov 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 14.7, 163.7
          GREEN
          		 3 12 Nov 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15, 162.4
          GREEN
          		 4 12 Nov 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.6, 160.7
          GREEN
          		 5 12 Nov 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.1, 159.3
          GREEN
          		 6 12 Nov 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.9, 157.8
          GREEN
          		 7 13 Nov 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 17.3, 156
          GREEN
          		 8 13 Nov 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17.2, 154.8
          GREEN
          		 9 13 Nov 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 16.9, 152.9
          GREEN
          		 10 13 Nov 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 17, 151.5
          GREEN
          		 11 14 Nov 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 17, 149.8
          GREEN
          		 12 14 Nov 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 17.1, 148.2
          GREEN
          		 13 14 Nov 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 17.5, 146.5
          GREEN
          		 14 14 Nov 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 18.2, 145.1
          GREEN
          		 15 15 Nov 2019 00:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 19.1, 143.7
          GREEN
          		 16 15 Nov 2019 06:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 20.1, 142.7
          GREEN
          		 17 15 Nov 2019 12:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 21.1, 142.2
          GREEN
          		 18 15 Nov 2019 18:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 22.5, 142.5
          GREEN
          		 19 16 Nov 2019 00:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 23.8, 143.2
          GREEN
          		 20 16 Nov 2019 06:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 24.8, 144.7
          GREEN
          		 21 16 Nov 2019 12:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 25.8, 146.8
          GREEN
          		 22 16 Nov 2019 18:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 26.7, 149.3
          GREEN
          		 23 17 Nov 2019 00:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 26.6, 152.2
          GREEN
          		 24 17 Nov 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 26.7, 155.3
          GREEN
          		 24 17 Nov 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 26, 157.7
          GREEN
          		 24 18 Nov 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 24.8, 158.1
          GREEN
          		 24 18 Nov 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23.5, 156.4
          GREEN
          		 24 19 Nov 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 23.3, 153.7
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Pagan Airstrip 10 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Pagan Island Northern Mariana Islands
          Minami Lo Japan
          Guguan Island Northern Mariana Islands
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.2 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Shomushon, Northern Mariana Islands. This height is estimated for 14 Nov 2019 16:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (2 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 24 of 17 Nov 2019 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          14 Nov 2019 16:00 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
          14 Nov 2019 16:00 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.2