Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for RAYMOND-19
in Mexico
17 Nov 2019 09 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone RAYMOND-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (18 Nov 17:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 56 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 93 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      56 km/h Current Max.

      Up to <1000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 15 Nov 2019 03:00 74 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 2 15 Nov 2019 09:00 74 310 thousand No people Mexico
        Green 3 15 Nov 2019 15:00 93 570 thousand No people Mexico
        Green 4 15 Nov 2019 21:00 93 580 thousand No people Mexico
        Green 5 16 Nov 2019 03:00 93 590 thousand No people Mexico
        Green 6 16 Nov 2019 09:00 83 570 thousand No people Mexico
        Green 7 16 Nov 2019 15:00 83 120 thousand No people Mexico
        Green 8 16 Nov 2019 21:00 74 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 9 17 Nov 2019 03:00 65 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 10 17 Nov 2019 09:00 56 Few people No people Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 15 Nov 2019 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13, -108.4
          GREEN
          		 2 15 Nov 2019 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.5, -108.6
          GREEN
          		 3 15 Nov 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.1, -108.8
          GREEN
          		 4 15 Nov 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 14.7, -109.4
          GREEN
          		 5 16 Nov 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 15.4, -109.8
          GREEN
          		 6 16 Nov 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people <1000 people 15.7, -110.6 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 7 16 Nov 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people <1000 people 16.5, -111.7 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 8 16 Nov 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people <1000 people 16.5, -111.8 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 9 17 Nov 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people 16.9, -112.1 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 10 17 Nov 2019 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.5, -111.6
          GREEN
          		 10 17 Nov 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 19.6, -111.2 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 10 18 Nov 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 21.6, -111.1
          GREEN
          		 10 18 Nov 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 24.2, -111.8 Mexico
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mexico

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Baja California Sur Mexico

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Isla Socorro 100 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Socorro Island Mexico
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.1 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in San Carlos, Mexico. This height is estimated for 18 Nov 2019 17:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (1 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 9 of 17 Nov 2019 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          18 Nov 2019 17:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1