Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for KAMMURI-19
in Philippines, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
28 Nov 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KAMMURI-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Philippines, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
    Exposed population 34.9 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 213 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (02 Dec 18:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 213 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 1.5
    Overall 213 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      213 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 13.6 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 25 Nov 2019 18:00 194 160 thousand No people Guam
        Green 2 26 Nov 2019 00:00 213 170 thousand No people Guam
        Green 3 26 Nov 2019 06:00 213 220 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
        Green 4 26 Nov 2019 12:00 213 230 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
        Green 5 26 Nov 2019 18:00 222 220 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
        Green 6 27 Nov 2019 00:00 213 230 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
        Green 7 27 Nov 2019 06:00 213 230 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
        Green 8 27 Nov 2019 12:00 231 230 thousand No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
        Green 9 27 Nov 2019 18:00 231 1.4 million No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines
        Green 10 28 Nov 2019 00:00 241 23 million No people Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines
        Orange 11 28 Nov 2019 06:00 222 77.7 million 350 thousand Philippines
        Orange 12 28 Nov 2019 12:00 222 75.2 million 2.4 million Philippines
        Orange 13 28 Nov 2019 18:00 213 73.3 million 13.6 million Philippines

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 25 Nov 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 9.2, 151
          GREEN
          		 2 26 Nov 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 170000 people 10.1, 149.8 Guam
          GREEN
          		 3 26 Nov 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 220000 people 11, 147.3 Northern Mariana Islands
          GREEN
          		 4 26 Nov 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 220000 people 11.3, 145.2 Northern Mariana Islands
          GREEN
          		 5 26 Nov 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 170000 people 11.5, 143.5 Northern Mariana Islands
          GREEN
          		 6 27 Nov 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 170000 people 11.7, 142.3 Guam
          GREEN
          		 7 27 Nov 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 11000 people 11.5, 140.9
          GREEN
          		 8 27 Nov 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 11000 people 11.3, 140.3
          GREEN
          		 9 27 Nov 2019 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 12.3, 139.4
          GREEN
          		 10 28 Nov 2019 00:00 Category 1 130 no people <1000 people 11.7, 138.9
          GREEN
          		 11 28 Nov 2019 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 12.8, 138.5
          GREEN
          		 12 28 Nov 2019 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 13.6, 138.4
          GREEN
          		 13 28 Nov 2019 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.3, 138.5
          GREEN
          		 13 29 Nov 2019 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 14.8, 138
          GREEN
          		 13 29 Nov 2019 18:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 14.6, 137
          GREEN
          		 13 30 Nov 2019 06:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 14.2, 135.3
          GREEN
          		 13 30 Nov 2019 18:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 14, 133.2
          GREEN
          		 13 01 Dec 2019 18:00 Category 3 194 no people 15.1 million people 14.3, 129.2 Philippines
          ORANGE
          		 13 02 Dec 2019 18:00 Category 4 213 13.6 million people 73.1 million people 14.5, 125.6 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 13 03 Dec 2019 18:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 15, 120.8 Philippines
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Philippines

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Bicol Philippines
          Southern Tagalog Philippines
          Central Luzon Philippines
          National Capital Region Philippines

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          San Mateo Southern Tagalog Philippines City 130000 people
          Quezon City National Capital Region Philippines Major city 1.7 million people
          San Miguel Central Luzon Philippines City 66000 people
          Meycauayan Central Luzon Philippines City 180000 people
          Baliuag Central Luzon Philippines City 130000 people
          Pulilan Central Luzon Philippines City 76000 people
          Malolos Central Luzon Philippines City 200000 people
          San Fernando Central Luzon Philippines City 250000 people
          Hagonoy Central Luzon Philippines City 120000 people
          Guagua Central Luzon Philippines City 9300 people
          Angeles Central Luzon Philippines City 290000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Clark AB CRK 146 Civ. Paved Yes 10400
          Basa AB 46 Mil. Paved No 8300

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Polillo Island Philippines
          Puerto Real Philippines
          Navotas Philippines

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Angat Angat 1968
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.3 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Pequit, Philippines. This height is estimated for 02 Dec 2019 18:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (101 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 13 of 28 Nov 2019 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Pequit Philippines  0.3
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Pabanong Philippines  0.3
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Wright Philippines  0.3
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Hinabangan Philippines  0.3
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Bangon Philippines  0.3
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Bikal Philippines  0.3
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Mualbual Philippines  0.2
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Bagas Philippines  0.2
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Barceloneta Philippines  0.2
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Garchitorena Philippines  0.2
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Catbalogan Philippines  0.2
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Babatngon Philippines  0.2
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Balaton Philippines  0.2
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Pagsanjan Philippines  0.2
          02 Dec 2019 11:00 San Andres Philippines  0.2
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Santa Margarita Philippines  0.2
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Mapid Philippines  0.2
          02 Dec 2019 15:00 Guintampilan Philippines  0.2
          02 Dec 2019 14:00 Tatabunan Philippines  0.2
          02 Dec 2019 17:00 Macalonud Philippines  0.2
          02 Dec 2019 14:00 Narombacan Philippines  0.2
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Bitaogan Philippines  0.2
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Calolbon Philippines  0.2
          02 Dec 2019 17:00 Bagacay Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Guijalo Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Pandanan Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Colongcogong Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Sialat Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Manambrag Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Gitoma Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Bantayan Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Miguel Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Culaba Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Tabojab Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Caibiran Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Igot Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Caramoan Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Mandao Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 San Vicente Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 San Vicente Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Daram Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Calbayog Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Tandoc Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Adiagnao Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Panganiban Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Guiom Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Cavayan Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Silanga Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Capitun-an Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Paet Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Rizal Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Bahay Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Lico Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Tucdao Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Balat-guti Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Corocauayan Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Santo Nino Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Sillon Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Balud Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Madridejos Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Union Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Tinambac Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Gongonan Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 16:00 Barugo Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Calubian Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Biliran Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Cabucgayan Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Bonga Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Pandan Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Tuburan Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Tabuelan Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Tabunok Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Batad Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 San Remigio Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Antipolo Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Tindog Sur Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Tagaytay Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Bogo Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Catmon Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Tindog Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Borbon Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Tabogon Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Nailon Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Calape Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Salag Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Odlot Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Tagnucan Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Bitoon Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Maya Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Talisay Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Vinzons Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Daet Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Talaga Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Tagontong Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Mambongalon Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Barana Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Magtang Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Lamon Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Alegria Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 18:00 Domorog Philippines  0.1
          02 Dec 2019 16:00 Carigara Philippines  0.1