Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 157 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 65 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 157 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to <1000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 09 Aug 2020 03:00 139 Few people No people Mexico
Green 2 09 Aug 2020 09:00 139 Few people Few people Mexico
Green 3 09 Aug 2020 15:00 157 Few people No people Mexico
Green 4 09 Aug 2020 21:00 157 Few people Few people Mexico
Green 5 10 Aug 2020 03:00 157 Few people Few people Mexico
Green 6 10 Aug 2020 09:00 148 Few people Few people Mexico
Green 7 10 Aug 2020 15:00 148 Few people No people Mexico
Green 8 10 Aug 2020 21:00 148 Few people No people Mexico
Green 9 11 Aug 2020 03:00 148 Few people No people Mexico
Green 10 11 Aug 2020 09:00 148 Few people No people Mexico
Green 11 11 Aug 2020 15:00 157 Few people No people Mexico
Green 12 11 Aug 2020 21:00 157 Few people No people Mexico
Green 13 12 Aug 2020 03:00 139 Few people No people Mexico
Green 14 12 Aug 2020 09:00 120 Few people No people Mexico
Green 15 12 Aug 2020 15:00 102 Few people No people Mexico
Green 16 12 Aug 2020 21:00 83 Few people No people Mexico
Green 17 13 Aug 2020 03:00 65 Few people No people Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 09 Aug 2020 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.7, -102.6
GREEN
2 09 Aug 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15.8, -104.1
GREEN
3 09 Aug 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 16.4, -105.4
GREEN
4 09 Aug 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17, -106.4
GREEN
5 10 Aug 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 17.8, -107.4
GREEN
6 10 Aug 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 102 <1000 people <1000 people 18.3, -108.8
GREEN
7 10 Aug 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 111 <1000 people <1000 people 18.9, -109.8
GREEN
8 10 Aug 2020 21:00 Category 1 120 no people <1000 people 19.6, -110.9
GREEN
9 11 Aug 2020 03:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 20.1, -112.1
GREEN
10 11 Aug 2020 09:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 20.7, -113
GREEN
11 11 Aug 2020 15:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 21.3, -113.8
GREEN
12 11 Aug 2020 21:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 22.1, -115.4
GREEN
13 12 Aug 2020 03:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 22.5, -116.5
GREEN
14 12 Aug 2020 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 23, -117.7
GREEN
15 12 Aug 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 23.5, -118.7
GREEN
16 12 Aug 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 23.7, -119.6
GREEN
17 13 Aug 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 24.4, -120.2
GREEN
17 13 Aug 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 25.3, -121
GREEN
17 14 Aug 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 26.6, -121.5
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country
Baja California Sur Mexico

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Isla Socorro 100 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Roca Partido Island Mexico
Socorro Island Mexico

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 17 of 13 Aug 2020 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)