Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NIVAR-20
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NIVAR-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2020-000233-IND
Exposed countries India
Exposed population 6.1 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (26 Nov 14:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)
Landfall between
25 Nov 2020 12:00 - 26 Nov 2020 12:00

in India

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 130 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 2.5
Overall 130 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

130 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2.1 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Red 1 23 Nov 2020 12:00 130 53.5 million 2.1 million India

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 23 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10, 83.9
GREEN
1 24 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 10.3, 83.4
GREEN
1 24 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 10.6, 82.8
GREEN
1 25 Nov 2020 00:00 Category 1 120 1.1 million people no people 11.1, 82
RED
1 25 Nov 2020 12:00 Category 1 130 41.4 million people 2.1 million people 11.9, 81
ORANGE
1 26 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 83 48.2 million people no people 13.6, 79.1 India
GREEN
1 27 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 15.2, 77.1 India
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
India

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Tamil Nadu India 58.9 million people
Andhra Pradesh India 70.3 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Tirukkalukkunram Tamil Nadu India City -
Takkolam Tamil Nadu India City -
Arkonam Tamil Nadu India City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Arkonam 84 Mil. Paved Yes 11000

Nuclear plants

Name Country Reactors
KALPAKKAM INDIA 2

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Kiranchi, Sri Lanka. This height is estimated for 26 Nov 2020 14:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (196 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 23 Nov 2020 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
26 Nov 2020 14:00 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.8
26 Nov 2020 14:00 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.8
26 Nov 2020 14:00 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.8
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.7
23 Nov 2020 16:00 Chiruttoppu Sri Lanka  0.6
23 Nov 2020 16:00 Mannar Sri Lanka  0.6
25 Nov 2020 22:00 Mahabalipuram India  0.6
23 Nov 2020 17:00 Talaimannar Sri Lanka  0.4
23 Nov 2020 14:00 Anaippapan Sri Lanka  0.4
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Silavatturai Sri Lanka  0.4
25 Nov 2020 22:00 Kelambakkam India  0.4
23 Nov 2020 15:00 Pomparippu Sri Lanka  0.4
23 Nov 2020 14:00 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.4
26 Nov 2020 00:00 Saint Thomas Mount India  0.4
25 Nov 2020 23:00 Madhavaram India  0.3
23 Nov 2020 14:00 Kankesanturai Sri Lanka  0.3
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Kakinada India  0.3
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Kottapatnam India  0.3
23 Nov 2020 15:00 Rameswaram India  0.3
23 Nov 2020 14:00 Point Pedro Sri Lanka  0.3
25 Nov 2020 23:00 Chennai India  0.3
26 Nov 2020 11:00 Pakala India  0.3
25 Nov 2020 21:00 Kuvattur India  0.3
26 Nov 2020 19:00 Kodigeri India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 19:00 Vedaranyam India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 19:00 Vedaranniyam India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 10:00 Chakicherla India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 11:00 Ullapalem India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Peddapatnam India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Karunagapalli India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 16:00 Kalpitiya Sri Lanka  0.2
23 Nov 2020 20:00 Chalai Sri Lanka  0.2
26 Nov 2020 00:00 Tiruvottiyur India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 14:00 Therunattam India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 20:00 Chundikkulam Sri Lanka  0.2
23 Nov 2020 14:00 Delft Centre Sri Lanka  0.2
26 Nov 2020 04:00 Durgarajupatnam India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 20:00 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.2
26 Nov 2020 00:00 Ennore India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 16:00 Alleppey India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 08:00 Vatturupallepalem India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 16:00 Haripad India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 09:00 Kodur India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Gollapalem India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Pappinivatti India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Bandamurlanka India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Antarvedi India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Turavur India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 14:00 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.2
26 Nov 2020 14:00 Nizampatam India  0.2
24 Nov 2020 02:00 Marakkanam India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 07:00 Govundlapalem India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 14:00 Bideipur India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 14:00 Rasalpur India  0.2
23 Nov 2020 13:00 Pamban India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 14:00 Chandipur India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Bisarikati Charkhanda Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Andharmanik Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Bausia Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Mehdigunj Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Mahisha Gagaria Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Char Nandanpur Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Char Hijla Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Char Chandra Prasad Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Char Kali Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Pangasia Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Harni Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Goal Bhaor Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Char Medua Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Kalupura Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Char Bansi Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Majanadi Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Jagannathpur Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Char Lawrence Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 20:00 Miar Hat Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 20:00 Chandhuri Hat Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 20:00 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 20:00 Aswadia Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 20:00 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 20:00 Lamchhi Prasad Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 20:00 Bamnia Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 20:00 Tulatali Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 00:00 Char Fakura Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 00:00 Char Chandia Bangladesh  0.2
23 Nov 2020 23:00 Nayamasti Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 20:00 Bara Ahmadpur Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 20:00 Banskhali Bangladesh  0.2
23 Nov 2020 23:00 Maitbhanga Bangladesh  0.2
23 Nov 2020 23:00 Kamla Char Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 00:00 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  0.2
23 Nov 2020 23:00 Barabkunda Bangladesh  0.2
23 Nov 2020 23:00 Bansbaria Bangladesh  0.2
23 Nov 2020 23:00 Kumira Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Kayankulam India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Mahishkhola Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Nilkamal Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Fatehjangpur Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Char Haim Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 03:00 Bhatkul Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 03:00 Banari Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 03:00 Naria Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Atpara Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Hogla Char Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 03:00 Baghia Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Adam Manirabad Bangladesh  0.2
27 Nov 2020 01:00 Adhara Bangladesh  0.2
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Porto Novo India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Bageswari Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Chandkati Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Bazemahal Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 South Dighaldi Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Sakusia Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Baga Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Bara Pata Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Char Munsi Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Hazari Bangladesh  0.2
23 Nov 2020 22:00 Char Pyarimohan Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Hazipur Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Char Falcon Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Kanchanpur Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Rabipur Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 23:00 Chiladi Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Char Kadira Bangladesh  0.2
23 Nov 2020 22:00 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Char Algi Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Char Gazi Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Char Ramiz Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Char Bedama Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 20:00 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Hatia Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Nalchira Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 20:00 Char Ishwar Ray Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 00:00 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Sandwip Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 01:00 Dhalapara Bangladesh  0.2
24 Nov 2020 00:00 Bariakhali Bangladesh  0.2
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Talikkulam India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Veliyangod India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Kadikkad India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Manattala India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Chavakkad India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Guruvayur India  0.2
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Amaikuli Sri Lanka  0.1
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Ambalapulai India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Pentakota India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Cochin India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Mattancheri India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Char Annadaprasad Bangladesh  0.1
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Char Krishnaprasad Bangladesh  0.1
26 Nov 2020 22:00 Char Manpura Bangladesh  0.1
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Maijchara Bangladesh  0.1
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Sagaria Bangladesh  0.1
26 Nov 2020 21:00 Char Ishwar Bangladesh  0.1
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Chilaw Sri Lanka  0.1
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Chaughat India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Ponnani India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Kottapalem India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Karuvaddukkeni Sri Lanka  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Pulmoddai Sri Lanka  0.1
26 Nov 2020 14:00 Purnankuppam India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Kaveripattanam India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Tranquebar India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Tarangambadi India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Quilon India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Velangann India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Nagappattinam India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 14:00 Satabhaya India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 16:00 Bijavbati India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Negombo Sri Lanka  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Karaikal India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Accarapatam India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 12:00 Mudalaipalai Sri Lanka  0.1
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Venkatapuram India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Pata Polvaram India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Periathullay India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Tiruchendur India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 13:00 Irumeni India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Tirumullaivasal India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 22:00 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.1
23 Nov 2020 22:00 Napura Bangladesh  0.1
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Kalapettai India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Pudimadaka India  0.1
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Konada India  0.1
23 Nov 2020 20:00 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.1
23 Nov 2020 19:00 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.1
26 Nov 2020 13:00 Pondicherry India  0.1