Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FOURTEEN-21
in Australia
22 Jan 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone FOURTEEN-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Australia
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 74 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 1.3 m (22 Jan 03:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Australia)
    Landfall between
    21 Jan 2021 18:00 - 22 Jan 2021 00:00
    in Australia

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 74 km/h 1.3 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 74 km/h 1.3 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      74 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 7600 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 21 Jan 2021 18:00 83 7 thousand No people Australia
        Green 2 22 Jan 2021 00:00 74 8 thousand No people Australia

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 21 Jan 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 2000 people -18.8, 120.4
          GREEN
          		 2 22 Jan 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 2900 people -19.7, 120.6 Australia
          GREEN
          		 2 22 Jan 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 2200 people -20.6, 120.9 Australia
          GREEN
          		 2 23 Jan 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 5300 people -21.5, 121.6 Australia
          GREEN
          		 2 23 Jan 2021 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -22.6, 123 Australia
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Australia

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Western Australia Australia

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Mount Goldsworthy Western Australia Australia City -

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Wallal WLA unknown 0
          Mandora MQA unknown 0
          Shay Gap SGP unknown 0
          Mt. Goldsworthy GLY unknown 0
          Pardoo PRD unknown 0
          Muccan MUQ unknown 0
          Warrawagine WRW unknown 0
          Woodie Woodie WWI unknown 0
          Nullagine NLL unknown 0
          Nifty NIF 295 0
          Telfer TEF 295 Civ. Paved Yes 6500

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Lagrange Coral Sea Islands
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          1.3 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  1.3m in Derby, Australia. This height is estimated for 22 Jan 2021 03:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (16 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 22 Jan 2021 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          22 Jan 2021 03:00 Derby Australia  1.3
          21 Jan 2021 23:00 Thangoo Australia  0.8
          21 Jan 2021 23:00 Broome Australia  0.6
          22 Jan 2021 00:00 Pender Australia  0.5
          22 Jan 2021 00:00 Kollan I Australia  0.5
          21 Jan 2021 22:00 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.5
          21 Jan 2021 23:00 Waterbank Australia  0.5
          22 Jan 2021 06:00 Larrakeyah Australia  0.3
          22 Jan 2021 06:00 Nightcliff Australia  0.3
          22 Jan 2021 06:00 Fannie Bay Australia  0.3
          22 Jan 2021 06:00 Parap Australia  0.3
          22 Jan 2021 06:00 Darwin Australia  0.3
          22 Jan 2021 06:00 Ludmilla Australia  0.3
          22 Jan 2021 06:00 Bagot Australia  0.3
          22 Jan 2021 05:00 Leanyer Australia  0.3
          21 Jan 2021 20:00 Minjilang Australia  0.1