Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DOLORES-21
in Mexico
20 Jun 2021 09 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone DOLORES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 111 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (19 Jun 16:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
    Landfall between
    19 Jun 2021 09:00 - 19 Jun 2021 15:00
    in Mexico

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 37 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 111 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      37 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 10.4 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 18 Jun 2021 09:00 102 1.4 million No people Mexico
        Green 2 18 Jun 2021 15:00 111 2 million No people Mexico
        Green 3 18 Jun 2021 21:00 102 4.6 million No people Mexico
        Green 4 19 Jun 2021 03:00 102 2.9 million No people Mexico
        Green 5 19 Jun 2021 09:00 111 2.6 million No people Mexico
        Green 6 19 Jun 2021 15:00 111 3.2 million No people Mexico
        Green 7 19 Jun 2021 21:00 83 10.5 million No people Mexico
        Green 8 20 Jun 2021 03:00 46 10.4 million No people Mexico
        Green 9 20 Jun 2021 09:00 37 10.4 million No people Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 18 Jun 2021 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.4, -101.6
          GREEN
          		 2 18 Jun 2021 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.7, -102.5
          GREEN
          		 3 18 Jun 2021 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 460000 people 15.6, -102.3
          GREEN
          		 4 19 Jun 2021 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1.1 million people 16.3, -102.8
          GREEN
          		 5 19 Jun 2021 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 980000 people 17, -103.1
          GREEN
          		 6 19 Jun 2021 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 2 million people 18.6, -103.7 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 7 19 Jun 2021 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 9.5 million people 20.3, -104.1 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 8 20 Jun 2021 03:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 22.3, -104.3 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 9 20 Jun 2021 09:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 23.5, -103.7 Mexico
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mexico

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Zacatecas Mexico
          Durango Mexico
          Jalisco Mexico
          Nayarit Mexico
          Michoacan Mexico
          Colima Mexico
          Guerrero Mexico

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Valparaíso Zacatecas Mexico City 10000 people
          Colotlán Jalisco Mexico City 12000 people
          San Martín de Bolaños Nayarit Mexico City -
          Tuxpan Nayarit Mexico City 23000 people
          Santiago Ixcuintla Nayarit Mexico City -
          Juchipla Zacatecas Mexico City -
          Tepic Nayarit Mexico Major city 280000 people
          Yahualica Jalisco Mexico City 15000 people
          Compostela Nayarit Mexico City 16000 people
          Ixtlán del Río Nayarit Mexico City 21000 people
          Ahuacatlán Nayarit Mexico City 6300 people
          Amatitán Jalisco Mexico City 9400 people
          Etzatlán Jalisco Mexico City 13000 people
          Ahulalulco de Mercado Jalisco Mexico City -
          Tepatitlan Jalisco Mexico City 76000 people
          Guadalajara Jalisco Mexico Major city 1.6 million people
          Ameca Jalisco Mexico City 35000 people
          Cocula Jalisco Mexico City 14000 people
          Punta Mita Nayarit Mexico City -
          Puerto Vallarta Jalisco Mexico City 190000 people
          Chapala Jalisco Mexico City 20000 people
          Ocotlán Jalisco Mexico City 78000 people
          Zacoalco de Torres Jalisco Mexico City -
          Talpa de Allende Jalisco Mexico City -
          La Barca Jalisco Mexico City 34000 people
          Atoyac Jalisco Mexico City 5300 people
          Sauhayo Michoacan de Ocampo Mexico City -
          Sayula Jalisco Mexico City 25000 people
          Jiquilpan Michoacán de Ocampo Mexico City 26000 people
          Autlán Jalisco Mexico City 40000 people
          Cotija Michoacán de Ocampo Mexico City 14000 people
          Ciudad Guzmán Jalisco Mexico City -
          Tamazula de Gordiano Jalisco Mexico City -
          Tecalitlán Jalisco Mexico City 13000 people
          Colima Colima Mexico Major city 130000 people
          Manzanillo Colima Mexico City 110000 people
          Armería Colima Mexico City 16000 people
          Tecomán Colima Mexico City 75000 people
          Apatzingan Michoacán de Ocampo Mexico City 94000 people
          Coalcomán Michoacán de Ocampo Mexico City 10000 people
          Petatlán Guerrero Mexico City 20000 people
          Tecpan Guerrero Mexico City 14000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          La Candelaria del Alto 1940 0
          Colotlan South 1676 0
          Tepic TPQ 960 Civ. Paved Yes 7500
          San Blas 3 0
          Zapopan ZAP 1625 0
          El Llano 12 0
          Miguel Hidal GDL 1528 Civ. Paved Yes 13100
          Lic Gustavo Diaz Ordaz International PVR 6 Civ. Paved Yes 10100
          Ocotlan 1525 0
          Venustiano Carranza 1554 0
          Ciudad Guzman 1520 0
          Autlan 884 0
          La Gloria 34 0
          Tuxpan 1225 Mil. Paved No 6700
          Colima CLQ 723 Civ. Paved Yes 7500
          Playa de Oro International ZLO 8 Civ. Paved Yes 7200
          Pablo L Sidar AZG 315 0
          Coahuayana 61 0
          Lazaro Cardenas LZC 12 Civ. Paved No 4900
          Ixtapa Zihuatanejo International ZIH 6 Civ. Paved Yes 8200

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          San Blas MXSBS Mexico
          Puerto Vallarta MXPVR Mexico
          Ipala Mexico
          El Tabaco Mexico
          Chamela Mexico
          Manzanillo MXZLO Mexico
          Lazaro Cardenas MXLZC Mexico

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Miguel Aleman Tlaltenango 1949
          Agua Milpa Agua Milpa Santiago 1994
          La Vega Teuchitlan 1956
          Puente Calderon Calderon 1991
          Corrinchis Mascota 1977
          Tacotan Amuquila 1958
          Trigomil Ayuquila 1993
          Basilio Vadillo Basilio Vadillo San Migue 1973
          Cajon de Peda Tomatlan 1976
          Chilatan Tepalcatepec 1986
          Trojes Coahuayana 1994
          Jose M. Morelos Balsas 1968
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.2 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Apisa, Mexico. This height is estimated for 19 Jun 2021 16:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (28 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 7 of 19 Jun 2021 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          19 Jun 2021 16:00 Apisa Mexico  0.2
          19 Jun 2021 16:00 Chupadero Mexico  0.2
          19 Jun 2021 14:00 Bucerias Mexico  0.2
          19 Jun 2021 16:00 Cayaca Mexico  0.2
          19 Jun 2021 16:00 El Real Mexico  0.2
          19 Jun 2021 13:00 Maruata Mexico  0.2
          19 Jun 2021 17:00 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 09:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 09:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 05:00 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 05:00 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 17:00 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 05:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 05:00 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 05:00 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 05:00 Calvario Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 09:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 18:00 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 05:00 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 05:00 Chula Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 05:00 Joluta Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 05:00 Lagunillas Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 05:00 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 05:00 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 13:00 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 15:00 San Telmo Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 06:00 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
          19 Jun 2021 18:00 Santiago Mexico  0.1