Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ANA-22
in Mozambique, Malawi, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Madagascar, Zimbabwe

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ANA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Exposed countries Mozambique, Malawi
Exposed population No people in Tropical Cyclone or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h (10-min*)
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (24 Jan 09:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)
Landfall between
24 Jan 2022 06:00 - 24 Jan 2022 12:00

in Mozambique
* GDACS: 1-min sustained winds; WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France: 10-min average

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind (10-min*) Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 46 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
Overall 83 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: latest forecast, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h)
(10-min*)
Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 22 Jan 2022 06:00 56 No people No people
Green 2 22 Jan 2022 12:00 37 No people No people
Green 3 22 Jan 2022 18:00 37 No people No people
Green 4 23 Jan 2022 00:00 37 No people No people
Green 5 23 Jan 2022 12:00 56 No people No people
Green 6 23 Jan 2022 18:00 56 No people No people
Green 7 24 Jan 2022 00:00 74 No people No people
Green 8 24 Jan 2022 06:00 83 3.8 million No people Mozambique
Green 9 24 Jan 2022 12:00 74 8.8 million No people Mozambique
Green 10 24 Jan 2022 18:00 65 13.3 million No people Mozambique, Malawi
Green 11 25 Jan 2022 00:00 56 18.1 million No people Mozambique, Malawi
Green 12 25 Jan 2022 06:00 56 18.1 million No people Mozambique, Malawi
Green 13 25 Jan 2022 12:00 46 18.1 million No people Mozambique, Malawi

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
(10-min*)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 22 Jan 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -18.2, 50.4
GREEN
2 22 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people -17.5, 48.4 Madagascar
GREEN
3 22 Jan 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people -17.1, 46.9 Madagascar
GREEN
4 23 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people -16.4, 45.7 Madagascar
GREEN
5 23 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -15.5, 44.4
GREEN
6 23 Jan 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -15.9, 43.6
GREEN
7 24 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -16.1, 42.2
GREEN
8 24 Jan 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -16.3, 40.5
GREEN
9 24 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -16.4, 38.8 Mozambique
GREEN
10 24 Jan 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -16.7, 37.2 Mozambique
GREEN
11 25 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -17, 35.3 Mozambique, Malawi
GREEN
12 25 Jan 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -16.9, 33.9 Mozambique
GREEN
13 25 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -16.4, 32.9 Mozambique
GREEN
13 26 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -16.3, 30.2 Zimbabwe
GREEN
13 26 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -16.9, 28.1 Zimbabwe, Zambia
GREEN
13 27 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people -17.5, 27 Zambia
GREEN
13 27 Jan 2022 12:00 Tropical depression 28 no people no people -17.7, 26.1 Zambia
GREEN
13 28 Jan 2022 00:00 Tropical depression 28 no people no people -17.5, 25.2 Zambia
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mozambique
Malawi

Provinces

Region Province Country
Tete Mozambique
Manica Mozambique
Southern Malawi
Sofala Mozambique
Central Malawi
Zambezia Mozambique
Niassa Mozambique
Nampula Mozambique
Cabo Delgado Mozambique

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Blantyre Malawi City 580000 people
Limbe Malawi City -
Zomba Malawi City 81000 people
Quelimane Zambezia Mozambique City 190000 people
Nampula Nampula Mozambique City 380000 people
Moçambique Mozambique Major city 48000 people
Nacala Nampula Mozambique City 220000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Tete Chingozi TET 160 Civ. Paved Yes 8200
Chileka International BLZ 779 Civ. Paved Yes 7600
Mutarara 48 0
Nsanje 61 Civ. Unpaved No 3200
Zomba 808 0
Inhaminga IMG unknown 0
Luabo LBM unknown 0
Cuamba FXO 585 Civ. Paved No 8200
Chinde INE unknown 0
Gurue VJQ unknown 0
Quelimane UEL 11 Civ. Paved Yes 5900
Alto Molocue AME unknown 0
Bajone BJN unknown 0
Pebane PEB unknown 0
Moma MMW unknown 0
Nampula APL 444 Civ. Paved Yes 6500
Angoche ANO 36 Civ. Unpaved No 3600
Lumbo 10 Civ. Paved No 4900
Nacala MNC 125 Mil. Paved No 8200

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Chinde MZINE Mozambique
Vila Do Chinde Mozambique
Porto de Quelimane MZUEL Mozambique
Porto Belo MZPBE Mozambique
Pebane MZPEB Mozambique
Rio Moebase Mozambique
Moma MZMMW Mozambique
Angoche MZANO Mozambique
Quinga Mozambique
Mocambique MZMZQ Mozambique
Memba MZMEM Mozambique
Mozambique MZMZQ Mozambique
Nacala MZMNC Mozambique

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Nacala Moecula 1971

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Coropoa, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 24 Jan 2022 09:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

The storm surge calculations have been performed using 1 min atmospheric wind forcing

Locations affected by Storm surge (131 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 10 of 24 Jan 2022 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Coropoa Mozambique  0.6
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Larde Mozambique  0.6
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.5
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Amado Mozambique  0.5
24 Jan 2022 11:00 Mocareja Mozambique  0.5
24 Jan 2022 17:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 17:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 17:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 10:00 Napito Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 19:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 19:00 Beira Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 19:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 19:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 18:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 16:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 17:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 11:00 Caramaca Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Namorre Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 15:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 14:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 14:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 11:00 Murrumuana Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 18:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 11:00 Metapa Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 10:00 Manica Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 16:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 14:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 18:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 18:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Barra Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 11:00 Moebase Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 11:00 Pebane Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 10:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 19:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 11:00 Mutadua Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 10:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Aube Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Angoche Mozambique  0.4
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Tama Mozambique  0.3
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Natiquinde Mozambique  0.3
24 Jan 2022 14:00 Carramali Mozambique  0.3
24 Jan 2022 12:00 Bajone Mozambique  0.3
24 Jan 2022 11:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.3
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.3
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.3
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.3
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 18:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 11:00 Namacoto Mozambique  0.2
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 11:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 11:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 11:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 06:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 06:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 12:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 12:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 12:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 12:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Amboaboaka Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Nantapa Mozambique  0.2
24 Jan 2022 11:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 07:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 07:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 12:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 13:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 13:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Matahibory Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Namuali Mozambique  0.2
24 Jan 2022 12:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.2
24 Jan 2022 11:00 Onara Madagascar  0.1
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
24 Jan 2022 11:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.1
24 Jan 2022 20:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
24 Jan 2022 13:00 Maaia Mozambique  0.1
24 Jan 2022 13:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.1
24 Jan 2022 13:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
24 Jan 2022 19:00 Jo Mozambique  0.1
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
24 Jan 2022 10:00 Momade Mozambique  0.1
24 Jan 2022 05:00 Metopa Mozambique  0.1
24 Jan 2022 03:00 Barroa Mozambique  0.1
24 Jan 2022 09:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
24 Jan 2022 10:00 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.1
24 Jan 2022 10:00 Muaco Mozambique  0.1
24 Jan 2022 13:00 Quinga Mozambique  0.1
24 Jan 2022 13:00 Metula Mozambique  0.1
24 Jan 2022 10:00 Coluvelane Mozambique  0.1
24 Jan 2022 11:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.1
24 Jan 2022 11:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.1
24 Jan 2022 11:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.1
24 Jan 2022 19:00 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
24 Jan 2022 08:00 Antsahampano Madagascar  0.1