Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for BATSIRAI-22 in Madagascar from 27 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC to 31 Jan 2022 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BATSIRAI-22

in Madagascar

31 Jan 2022 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC
Primary source
WMO-RSMC La Réunion
10 min - 1 min
Beta version

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact
10 min
1 min

Tropical Cyclone BATSIRAI-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Glide number:	TC-2022-000160-MDG
Exposed countries	Madagascar
Exposed population	90 thousand in Tropical Cyclone or higher
Maximum wind speed	176 km/h (10-min*)
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	High (Madagascar)
* GDACS: 1-min sustained winds; WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France: 10-min average

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind (10-min*)	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	176 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	1.5
Overall	176 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: latest forecast, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France

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Wind
10 min
1 min

Impact Timeline
10 min
1 min

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h) (10-min*)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	26 Jan 2022 12:00	56	No people	No people
2	26 Jan 2022 18:00	120	40 thousand	No people	Mauritius
3	27 Jan 2022 00:00	120	20 thousand	No people	Mauritius
4	27 Jan 2022 06:00	93	No people	No people
5	27 Jan 2022 12:00	167	40 thousand	No people	Mauritius
6	27 Jan 2022 18:00	139	40 thousand	No people	Mauritius
7	28 Jan 2022 00:00	102	40 thousand	No people	Mauritius
8	28 Jan 2022 06:00	111	1.3 million	No people	Mauritius
9	28 Jan 2022 12:00	130	1.3 million	1.1 million	Mauritius
10	28 Jan 2022 18:00	130	1.9 million	30 thousand	Mauritius
11	29 Jan 2022 00:00	130	1.1 million	No people	Mauritius
12	29 Jan 2022 06:00	130	1.7 million	No people	Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
13	29 Jan 2022 12:00	185	140 thousand	No people	Mauritius
14	29 Jan 2022 18:00	167	440 thousand	No people	Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
15	30 Jan 2022 00:00	167	80 thousand	No people	Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
16	30 Jan 2022 06:00	176	No people	No people
17	30 Jan 2022 12:00	176	No people	No people
18	30 Jan 2022 18:00	204	2.3 million	No people	Mauritius, Madagascar
19	31 Jan 2022 00:00	213	11.6 million	No people	Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Madagascar
20	31 Jan 2022 06:00	204	11.4 million	No people	Mauritius, Madagascar
21	31 Jan 2022 12:00	204	9 million	No people	Mauritius, Madagascar
22	31 Jan 2022 18:00	176	12.1 million	90 thousand	Madagascar

Bulletin Timeline
10 min
1 min

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h) (10-min*)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	26 Jan 2022 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-14.9, 86.6
2	26 Jan 2022 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-15.7, 85.3
3	27 Jan 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-16.4, 83.6
4	27 Jan 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-16.9, 81.8
5	27 Jan 2022 12:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	-17.9, 79.6
6	27 Jan 2022 18:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	-18, 77.5
7	28 Jan 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-18, 76
8	28 Jan 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-18.2, 74.6
9	28 Jan 2022 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-18.3, 73.6
10	28 Jan 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-18.4, 72.6
11	29 Jan 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-18.4, 71.8
12	29 Jan 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-18.1, 70.6
13	29 Jan 2022 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	-17.9, 69.9
14	29 Jan 2022 18:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	-17.7, 69.1
15	30 Jan 2022 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	-17.5, 68.1
16	30 Jan 2022 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	-17.1, 67
17	30 Jan 2022 12:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	-16.8, 66.1
18	30 Jan 2022 18:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	-16.6, 65.1
19	31 Jan 2022 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	-16.4, 64.5
20	31 Jan 2022 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	-15.8, 63.9
21	31 Jan 2022 12:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	-15.9, 63.2
22	31 Jan 2022 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	-16, 63
22	01 Feb 2022 06:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	-16.5, 61.5
22	01 Feb 2022 18:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	-17.3, 59.6
22	02 Feb 2022 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	650000 people	-18, 57.7
22	02 Feb 2022 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	600000 people	-18.7, 56.3
22	03 Feb 2022 06:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	-18.8, 54.8
22	03 Feb 2022 18:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	-18.7, 53.7
22	04 Feb 2022 06:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	-18.4, 52.8
22	04 Feb 2022 18:00	Category 2	176	no people	2.7 million people	-18.4, 52
22	05 Feb 2022 06:00	Category 2	176	89000 people	11.5 million people	-18.7, 50.9
22	05 Feb 2022 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	-19, 49.6

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Madagascar

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Toamasina	Madagascar

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Andevoranto		Madagascar

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

The storm surge calculations have been performed using 1 min atmospheric wind forcing

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 27 Jan 2022 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert

Date (UTC)

Name

Country

Storm surge height (m)

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.

Impact 10 min1 min