Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GOMBE-22
in Madagascar
12 Mar 2022 18 UTC
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Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone GOMBE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Glide number: TC-2022-000182-MDG
    Exposed countries Madagascar
    Exposed population 100 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 185 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 1 m (11 Mar 01:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (Madagascar)
    Landfall between
    10 Mar 2022 18:00 - 11 Mar 2022 00:00
    in Mozambique

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 46 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 185 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      46 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 410000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 07 Mar 2022 18:00 111 1000 thousand No people Madagascar, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
        Orange 2 08 Mar 2022 06:00 130 4.9 million 230 thousand Mozambique
        Orange 3 08 Mar 2022 18:00 139 8.1 million 540 thousand Mozambique
        Red 4 09 Mar 2022 06:00 130 5.3 million 1.3 million Mozambique
        Red 5 09 Mar 2022 18:00 185 6.2 million 2.1 million Mozambique
        Red 6 10 Mar 2022 00:00 185 5.9 million 440 thousand Mozambique
        Orange 7 10 Mar 2022 06:00 167 8 million 500 thousand Mozambique
        Red 8 10 Mar 2022 12:00 185 7 million 600 thousand Mozambique
        Orange 9 10 Mar 2022 18:00 148 6.4 million 850 thousand Mozambique
        Green 10 11 Mar 2022 00:00 185 5.6 million No people Mozambique, Madagascar
        Green 11 11 Mar 2022 06:00 148 410 thousand No people Madagascar
        Green 12 11 Mar 2022 18:00 83 410 thousand No people Madagascar
        Green 13 12 Mar 2022 06:00 83 2.8 million No people Mozambique, Madagascar
        Green 14 12 Mar 2022 18:00 46 410 thousand No people Madagascar

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 07 Mar 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -15.6, 51.3
          GREEN
          		 2 08 Mar 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -15.4, 49.4 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 3 08 Mar 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 400000 people -15.1, 47.6 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 4 09 Mar 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -14.8, 46
          GREEN
          		 5 09 Mar 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -15.3, 44.3
          GREEN
          		 6 10 Mar 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -15.3, 43.6
          GREEN
          		 7 10 Mar 2022 06:00 Category 1 120 no people 1.1 million people -15.6, 42.8
          ORANGE
          		 8 10 Mar 2022 12:00 Category 1 139 100000 people 1.5 million people -15.9, 42.1
          ORANGE
          		 9 10 Mar 2022 18:00 Category 1 148 300000 people 4.3 million people -15.9, 41.4
          GREEN
          		 10 11 Mar 2022 00:00 Category 3 185 no people 4.2 million people -15.5, 40.7 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 11 11 Mar 2022 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -15.2, 40.1 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 12 11 Mar 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -15.2, 38.4 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 13 12 Mar 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -15.3, 36.7 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 14 12 Mar 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -15.6, 35.1 Malawi
          GREEN
          		 14 13 Mar 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -16.2, 34.6 Malawi, Mozambique
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Madagascar

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Mahajanga Madagascar
          Toamasina Madagascar
          Antsiranana Madagascar

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Maroantsetra Toamasina Madagascar City 24000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Maroantsetra WMN 4 Civ. Paved No 4200

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Maroantsetra MGWMN Madagascar
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          1 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  1.0m in Barroa, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 11 Mar 2022 01:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (138 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 13 of 12 Mar 2022 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          11 Mar 2022 01:00 Barroa Mozambique  1.0
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Terrene Mozambique  0.9
          11 Mar 2022 01:00 Coluvelane Mozambique  0.8
          11 Mar 2022 02:00 Metopa Mozambique  0.8
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Quinga Mozambique  0.6
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Metula Mozambique  0.6
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Momade Mozambique  0.5
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.5
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.5
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.5
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Beira Mozambique  0.5
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Muaco Mozambique  0.5
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Amado Mozambique  0.5
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.5
          11 Mar 2022 02:00 Namacoto Mozambique  0.4
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.4
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Manica Mozambique  0.4
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.4
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Tama Mozambique  0.4
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.4
          11 Mar 2022 01:00 Nantapa Mozambique  0.3
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.3
          15 Mar 2022 22:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.3
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.3
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Namuali Mozambique  0.3
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Mossuril Mozambique  0.3
          15 Mar 2022 22:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.3
          16 Mar 2022 02:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.3
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.3
          15 Mar 2022 22:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.3
          15 Mar 2022 22:00 Barra Mozambique  0.3
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.3
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.3
          11 Mar 2022 02:00 Cabaceira Mozambique  0.3
          15 Mar 2022 19:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.3
          15 Mar 2022 19:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.3
          15 Mar 2022 19:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.3
          08 Mar 2022 21:00 Antonibe Madagascar  0.3
          14 Mar 2022 16:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.3
          08 Mar 2022 21:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.3
          11 Mar 2022 02:00 Calajulo Mozambique  0.3
          08 Mar 2022 22:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Sanhute Mozambique  0.2
          08 Mar 2022 22:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Larde Mozambique  0.2
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Coropoa Mozambique  0.2
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Natiquinde Mozambique  0.2
          08 Mar 2022 22:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2022 06:00 Injaca Mozambique  0.2
          08 Mar 2022 04:00 Voloina Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2022 04:00 Manambia Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Mocambique Mozambique  0.2
          08 Mar 2022 04:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Lumbo Mozambique  0.2
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Mosengeri Mozambique  0.2
          15 Mar 2022 18:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.2
          16 Mar 2022 04:00 Metapa Mozambique  0.2
          16 Mar 2022 04:00 Carramali Mozambique  0.2
          08 Mar 2022 22:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2022 03:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2022 03:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.2
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2022 02:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2022 03:00 Benjana Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2022 05:00 Lunga Mozambique  0.2
          11 Mar 2022 05:00 Ali Mozambique  0.2
          15 Mar 2022 18:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.2
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.2
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Namorre Mozambique  0.2
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.2
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.2
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Napito Mozambique  0.2
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.2
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.2
          15 Mar 2022 15:00 Bajone Mozambique  0.2
          15 Mar 2022 15:00 Pebane Mozambique  0.2
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2022 22:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.2
          08 Mar 2022 22:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Mocareja Mozambique  0.2
          08 Mar 2022 21:00 Marovoha Madagascar  0.1
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Matibane Mozambique  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 04:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.1
          11 Mar 2022 07:00 Maaia Mozambique  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2022 22:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2022 03:00 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.1
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Alimperia Mozambique  0.1
          15 Mar 2022 15:00 Mutadua Mozambique  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Manometimay Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.1
          11 Mar 2022 01:00 Caramaca Mozambique  0.1
          08 Mar 2022 04:00 Rantabe Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2022 03:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2022 03:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2022 22:00 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2022 22:00 Ankaranakatra Madagascar  0.1
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Minhauine Mozambique  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Moebase Mozambique  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Murrumuana Mozambique  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Onara Madagascar  0.1
          15 Mar 2022 22:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2022 22:00 Ampitily Madagascar  0.1
          11 Mar 2022 06:00 Miaola Mozambique  0.1
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Messonta Mozambique  0.1
          11 Mar 2022 00:00 Angoche Mozambique  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Morondava Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.1
          08 Mar 2022 21:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Belo-sur-Mer Madagascar  0.1
          16 Mar 2022 06:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.1