Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KARIM-22
in Cocos (Keeling) Islands
07 May 2022 16 UTC
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Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KARIM-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Tropical Cyclone or higher
Maximum wind speed 93 km/h (10-min*)
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (10 May 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability -- (Cocos Is.)
* GDACS: 1-min sustained winds; WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France: 10-min average

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind (10-min*) Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 93 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 93 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: latest forecast, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France
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Wind

Impact Timeline

Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h)
(10-min*)		 Population in
Tropical Storm or higher		 Population in
Cat 1. or higher		 Countries
Green 1 07 May 2022 10:00 93 No people No people
Green 2 07 May 2022 16:00 93 No people No people

Bulletin Timeline

Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS) 		Max winds
(km/h)
(10-min*)		 Population in
Cat.1 or higher 		Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher 		Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
 1 07 May 2022 10:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -7.9, 89.3
GREEN
 2 07 May 2022 16:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -8.4, 90.1
GREEN
 2 08 May 2022 04:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -9.6, 90.5
GREEN
 2 08 May 2022 16:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -10.7, 91
GREEN
 2 09 May 2022 04:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -11.9, 91.4
GREEN
 2 09 May 2022 16:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -13.3, 91.7
GREEN
 2 10 May 2022 04:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -15.7, 92.1
GREEN
 2 10 May 2022 16:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -18, 92.8
GREEN
 2 11 May 2022 04:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -19.6, 94.9
GREEN
 2 11 May 2022 16:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -19.8, 96.5
GREEN
 2 12 May 2022 04:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -19, 96
GREEN
 2 12 May 2022 16:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -18.4, 94.9
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Pangkalpinang, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 10 May 2022 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

The storm surge calculations have been performed using 1 min atmospheric wind forcing

Locations affected by Storm surge (35 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 07 May 2022 16:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 May 2022 20:00 Pangkalpinang Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2022 20:00 Batoebeloebang Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2022 20:00 Koba Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2022 20:00 Perlang Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2022 20:00 Tandjungniur Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2022 20:00 Lubuk-besar Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2022 22:00 Bakong Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2022 21:00 Penoetoek Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2022 18:00 Sungsang Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2022 20:00 Tempilang Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2022 20:00 Keludin Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2022 22:00 Tandjunglabu Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2022 23:00 Tukak Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2022 23:00 Gunung Indonesia  0.2
11 May 2022 01:00 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2022 19:00 Teritip Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2022 20:00 Sungailiat Indonesia  0.2
08 May 2022 06:00 Belo Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2022 22:00 Kepoh Indonesia  0.2
08 May 2022 06:00 Medielang Indonesia  0.2
08 May 2022 06:00 Muntok Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2022 17:00 Rambat Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2022 18:00 Kampa Indonesia  0.1
08 May 2022 06:00 Anjai Indonesia  0.1
07 May 2022 12:00 Nipahpandjang Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2022 17:00 Telus Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2022 18:00 Tengkalat Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2022 17:00 Pelawan Indonesia  0.1
07 May 2022 17:00 Radjik Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2022 16:00 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2022 16:00 Tipar Indonesia  0.1
07 May 2022 12:00 Paritbawoeng Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2022 17:00 Bubus Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2022 16:00 Kramat Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2022 16:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.1