Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FREDDY-23
in Mozambique, Madagascar
09 Mar 2023 04 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FREDDY-23 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Glide number: TC-2023-000023-MDG
Exposed countries Madagascar, Mozambique
Exposed population 4 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 253 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (21 Feb 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)
Landfall between
10 Mar 2023 16:00 - 11 Mar 2023 04:00

in Mozambique

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 148 km/h n.a. n.a. 1.5
Overall 253 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France

Wind

148 km/h Current Max.

Up to 4 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 10 Feb 2023 16:00 127 No people No people
Green 2 10 Feb 2023 22:00 127 No people No people
Green 3 11 Feb 2023 04:00 158 No people No people
Green 4 11 Feb 2023 10:00 158 No people No people
Green 5 11 Feb 2023 16:00 190 No people No people
Green 6 11 Feb 2023 22:00 211 No people No people
Green 7 12 Feb 2023 04:00 201 No people No people
Green 8 12 Feb 2023 10:00 201 No people No people
Green 9 12 Feb 2023 16:00 190 No people No people
Green 10 12 Feb 2023 22:00 201 No people No people
Green 11 13 Feb 2023 04:00 211 No people No people
Green 12 13 Feb 2023 10:00 201 No people No people
Green 13 13 Feb 2023 16:00 190 No people No people
Green 14 13 Feb 2023 22:00 169 No people No people
Green 15 14 Feb 2023 04:00 158 No people No people
Green 16 14 Feb 2023 10:00 158 No people No people
Green 17 14 Feb 2023 16:00 179 No people No people
Green 18 14 Feb 2023 22:00 232 No people No people
Green 19 15 Feb 2023 04:00 243 No people No people
Green 20 15 Feb 2023 10:00 243 No people No people
Green 21 15 Feb 2023 16:00 243 No people No people
Green 22 15 Feb 2023 22:00 232 No people No people
Green 23 16 Feb 2023 04:00 232 No people No people
Green 24 16 Feb 2023 10:00 232 450 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 25 16 Feb 2023 16:00 232 660 thousand No people Mauritius
Green 26 16 Feb 2023 22:00 232 2.6 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Madagascar
Orange 27 17 Feb 2023 04:00 211 8.1 million 420 thousand Madagascar
Orange 28 17 Feb 2023 10:00 201 10.5 million 1.3 million Madagascar
Orange 29 17 Feb 2023 16:00 211 18.3 million 3.1 million Madagascar
Orange 30 17 Feb 2023 22:00 211 17.9 million 1.2 million Madagascar
Orange 31 18 Feb 2023 04:00 222 18.4 million 2.9 million Madagascar
Red 32 18 Feb 2023 10:00 222 17.8 million 1.9 million Madagascar
Red 33 18 Feb 2023 16:00 222 17.6 million 1.1 million Madagascar
Red 34 18 Feb 2023 22:00 222 19.1 million 2.2 million Madagascar
Red 35 19 Feb 2023 04:00 232 21.9 million 1.3 million Madagascar
Red 36 19 Feb 2023 10:00 222 24.4 million 3.7 million Madagascar, Mozambique
Orange 37 19 Feb 2023 16:00 253 40 thousand 40 thousand Mauritius
Green 38 19 Feb 2023 22:00 253 2.1 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Green 39 20 Feb 2023 04:00 243 2.1 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Red 40 20 Feb 2023 10:00 232 28.1 million 2.5 million Madagascar
Green 41 20 Feb 2023 16:00 232 6.9 million No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Madagascar
Red 42 20 Feb 2023 22:00 253 24.2 million 2.6 million Madagascar
Red 43 20 Feb 2023 10:00 232 26.1 million 2.6 million Madagascar
Green 44 21 Feb 2023 10:00 232 10.4 million No people Madagascar
Red 45 21 Feb 2023 16:00 169 24.5 million 3.4 million Madagascar
Orange 46 21 Feb 2023 22:00 137 26 million 2.3 million Madagascar, Mozambique
Green 47 22 Feb 2023 04:00 222 25.5 million 2.2 million Madagascar
Green 48 22 Feb 2023 10:00 201 21.2 million 2.2 million Madagascar
Green 49 23 Feb 2023 04:00 190 21.8 million 2.2 million Madagascar
Orange 50 23 Feb 2023 10:00 137 23.1 million 2.5 million Madagascar, Mozambique
Orange 51 23 Feb 2023 16:00 137 22.7 million 2.6 million Madagascar, Mozambique
Orange 52 23 Feb 2023 22:00 148 22.4 million 2.5 million Mozambique, Madagascar
Green 53 24 Feb 2023 04:00 116 21.4 million 3.7 million Madagascar
Green 54 24 Feb 2023 10:00 116 21.5 million 3.7 million Madagascar
Orange 55 24 Feb 2023 16:00 74 31.2 million 3.7 million Madagascar
Orange 56 24 Feb 2023 22:00 95 31.3 million 3.7 million Madagascar
Green 57 25 Feb 2023 04:00 116 28.7 million 3.7 million Madagascar
Orange 58 25 Feb 2023 10:00 116 32.6 million 3.7 million Madagascar
Green 59 25 Feb 2023 16:00 116 24.6 million 3.7 million Madagascar
Green 60 25 Feb 2023 22:00 95 23 million 3.7 million Madagascar
Green 61 24 Feb 2023 22:00 74 23 million 3.7 million Madagascar
Green 62 25 Feb 2023 04:00 63 23 million 3.7 million Madagascar
Green 63 25 Feb 2023 10:00 53 23 million 3.6 million Madagascar
Green 64 25 Feb 2023 16:00 53 23 million 3.6 million Madagascar
Green 65 27 Feb 2023 04:00 42 23.2 million 3.8 million Madagascar
Green 66 27 Feb 2023 10:00 42 23.2 million 3.8 million Madagascar
Green 67 27 Feb 2023 16:00 42 23.2 million 3.8 million Madagascar
Green 68 27 Feb 2023 22:00 0 23.2 million 3.8 million Madagascar
Green 69 28 Feb 2023 04:00 0 23.2 million 3.8 million Madagascar
Green 70 28 Feb 2023 10:00 0 23.2 million 3.8 million Madagascar
Green 71 28 Feb 2023 16:00 0 23.2 million 3.8 million Madagascar
Green 72 28 Feb 2023 22:00 0 23.2 million 3.8 million Madagascar
Green 73 01 Mar 2023 04:00 0 23.2 million 3.8 million Madagascar
Green 74 01 Mar 2023 10:00 0 23.2 million 3.8 million Madagascar
Green 75 01 Mar 2023 16:00 127 25.1 million 3.8 million Madagascar
Green 76 04 Mar 2023 04:00 127 25.3 million 3.8 million Madagascar
Orange 77 04 Mar 2023 10:00 137 33.3 million 3.8 million Madagascar
Orange 78 04 Mar 2023 16:00 148 35.5 million 3.8 million Madagascar
Orange 79 04 Mar 2023 22:00 158 34.8 million 3.8 million Madagascar
Green 80 05 Mar 2023 04:00 169 31.8 million 3.8 million Madagascar
Orange 81 05 Mar 2023 10:00 169 43.5 million 3.8 million Madagascar
Orange 82 05 Mar 2023 16:00 169 41.7 million 3.8 million Madagascar
Green 83 05 Mar 2023 22:00 179 28.3 million 3.8 million Madagascar
Orange 84 06 Mar 2023 04:00 190 29.6 million 3.9 million Madagascar, Mozambique
Orange 85 06 Mar 2023 10:00 190 31 million 4.1 million Madagascar, Mozambique
Orange 86 06 Mar 2023 16:00 201 38.5 million 5.3 million Madagascar, Mozambique
Orange 87 06 Mar 2023 22:00 179 42.6 million 5.6 million Madagascar, Mozambique
Orange 88 07 Mar 2023 04:00 190 36.8 million 5.2 million Madagascar, Mozambique
Orange 89 07 Mar 2023 10:00 179 31.2 million 4.9 million Madagascar, Mozambique
Orange 90 07 Mar 2023 16:00 169 31.8 million 4.4 million Madagascar, Mozambique
Orange 91 07 Mar 2023 22:00 148 40.3 million 4.7 million Madagascar, Mozambique
Red 92 08 Mar 2023 04:00 137 29.7 million 4.9 million Madagascar, Mozambique
Orange 93 08 Mar 2023 10:00 137 30 million 4.7 million Madagascar, Mozambique
Orange 94 08 Mar 2023 16:00 158 27.2 million 4.8 million Madagascar, Mozambique
Orange 95 08 Mar 2023 22:00 137 28.4 million 4.3 million Madagascar, Mozambique
Orange 96 09 Mar 2023 04:00 148 28.2 million 4 million Madagascar, Mozambique

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Category
(WMO/RSMC) **
Max winds
(km/h)
(WMO/RSMC)
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 10 Feb 2023 16:00 Category 1 127 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 111 -14.8, 106.7
GREEN
2 10 Feb 2023 22:00 Category 1 127 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 111 -14.8, 106
GREEN
3 11 Feb 2023 04:00 Category 2 158 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 139 -14.8, 105.1
GREEN
4 11 Feb 2023 10:00 Category 2 158 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 139 -14.8, 104.1
GREEN
5 11 Feb 2023 16:00 Category 3 190 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 167 -14.8, 103.1
GREEN
6 11 Feb 2023 22:00 Category 4 211 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 185 -14.8, 102.1
GREEN
7 12 Feb 2023 04:00 Category 3 201 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 176 -15, 101.2
GREEN
8 12 Feb 2023 10:00 Category 3 201 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 176 -15, 100.2
GREEN
9 12 Feb 2023 16:00 Category 3 190 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 167 -15.1, 99
GREEN
10 12 Feb 2023 22:00 Category 3 201 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 176 -15.1, 98
GREEN
11 13 Feb 2023 04:00 Category 4 211 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 185 -15.2, 96.9
GREEN
12 13 Feb 2023 10:00 Category 3 201 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 176 -15.3, 95.9
GREEN
13 13 Feb 2023 16:00 Category 3 190 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 167 -15.4, 94.6
GREEN
14 13 Feb 2023 22:00 Category 2 169 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 148 -15.4, 93.7
GREEN
15 14 Feb 2023 04:00 Category 2 158 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 139 -15.3, 92.5
GREEN
16 14 Feb 2023 10:00 Category 2 158 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 139 -15.4, 91.3
GREEN
17 14 Feb 2023 16:00 Category 3 179 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 157 -15.3, 90.1
GREEN
18 14 Feb 2023 22:00 Category 3 201 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 176 -15.2, 88.8
GREEN
19 15 Feb 2023 04:00 Category 4 232 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 204 -15.2, 87.6
GREEN
20 15 Feb 2023 10:00 Category 4 243 no people no people Very Intense Tropical Cyclone 213 -15, 86.3
GREEN
21 15 Feb 2023 16:00 Category 4 243 no people no people Very Intense Tropical Cyclone 213 -14.9, 84.9
GREEN
22 15 Feb 2023 22:00 Category 4 232 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 204 -14.8, 83.6
GREEN
23 16 Feb 2023 04:00 Category 4 232 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 204 -14.7, 82.3
GREEN
24 16 Feb 2023 10:00 Category 4 222 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 194 -14.8, 81
GREEN
25 16 Feb 2023 16:00 Category 4 232 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 204 -14.9, 79.6
GREEN
26 16 Feb 2023 22:00 Category 4 222 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 194 -15.1, 78.1
GREEN
27 17 Feb 2023 04:00 Category 4 222 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 194 -15.3, 76.6
GREEN
28 17 Feb 2023 10:00 Category 4 222 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 194 -15.5, 75.2
GREEN
29 17 Feb 2023 16:00 Category 4 232 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 204 -15.8, 74
GREEN
30 17 Feb 2023 22:00 Category 4 222 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 194 -16, 72.9
GREEN
31 18 Feb 2023 04:00 Category 4 222 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 194 -16.1, 71.6
GREEN
32 18 Feb 2023 10:00 Category 4 211 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 185 -16.1, 70.5
GREEN
33 18 Feb 2023 16:00 Category 4 211 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 185 -16.1, 69.3
GREEN
34 18 Feb 2023 22:00 Category 4 211 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 185 -16.3, 68.2
GREEN
35 19 Feb 2023 04:00 Category 5 253 no people 28000 people Very Intense Tropical Cyclone 222 -16.6, 67
GREEN
36 19 Feb 2023 10:00 Category 5 253 no people 43000 people Very Intense Tropical Cyclone 222 -16.9, 65.5
ORANGE
37 19 Feb 2023 16:00 Category 5 253 43000 people 43000 people Very Intense Tropical Cyclone 222 -17.3, 64
38 19 Feb 2023 19:00 Category 5 253 no people no people Very Intense Tropical Cyclone 222 -17.5, 63.2
GREEN
38 19 Feb 2023 22:00 Category 5 253 no people 2.1 million people Very Intense Tropical Cyclone 222 -17.7, 62.4
39 19 Feb 2023 22:00 Category 5 253 no people no people Very Intense Tropical Cyclone 222 -17.7, 62.4
GREEN
39 20 Feb 2023 04:00 Category 4 243 no people 2.1 million people Very Intense Tropical Cyclone 213 -18.1, 60.6
40 20 Feb 2023 01:00 Category 4 243 no people no people Very Intense Tropical Cyclone 213 -17.8, 61.6
GREEN
40 20 Feb 2023 10:00 Category 4 232 no people 2.1 million people Intense Tropical Cyclone 204 -18.4, 58.8
41 20 Feb 2023 04:00 Category 4 243 no people no people Very Intense Tropical Cyclone 213 -18.1, 60.6
GREEN
41 20 Feb 2023 16:00 Category 4 232 no people 6.8 million people Intense Tropical Cyclone 204 -18.9, 56.8
42 20 Feb 2023 07:00 Category 4 243 no people no people Very Intense Tropical Cyclone 213 -18.2, 59.8
GREEN
42 20 Feb 2023 22:00 Category 4 222 no people 4.1 million people Intense Tropical Cyclone 194 -19.2, 54.9
GREEN
43 20 Feb 2023 10:00 Category 4 232 no people 2.3 million people Intense Tropical Cyclone 204 -18.4, 58.8
RED
43 21 Feb 2023 04:00 Category 3 201 310000 people 12.2 million people Intense Tropical Cyclone 176 -19.7, 52.8
GREEN
44 20 Feb 2023 13:00 Category 4 232 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 204 -18.6, 57.7
GREEN
44 21 Feb 2023 10:00 Category 3 179 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 157 -20.1, 51.2
GREEN
45 20 Feb 2023 16:00 Category 4 232 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 204 -18.9, 56.8
45 21 Feb 2023 16:00 Category 2 169 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 148 -20.7, 49.4
GREEN
46 20 Feb 2023 19:00 Category 4 232 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 204 -19.1, 55.9
46 21 Feb 2023 22:00 Category 1 148 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 130 -21, 48.2
GREEN
47 20 Feb 2023 22:00 Category 4 222 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 194 -19.2, 54.9
GREEN
47 22 Feb 2023 04:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 7.1 million people Moderate Tropical Storm 65 -21.5, 46.6 Madagascar
GREEN
48 21 Feb 2023 04:00 Category 3 201 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 176 -19.8, 52.8
48 22 Feb 2023 10:00 Tropical storm 63 no people no people Tropical Depression 56 -21.9, 44.8
GREEN
49 21 Feb 2023 07:00 Category 3 190 no people no people Intense Tropical Cyclone 167 -20, 51.9
GREEN
49 23 Feb 2023 04:00 Tropical storm 84 no people no people Moderate Tropical Storm 74 -22.2, 41.4
GREEN
49 23 Feb 2023 10:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 430000 people Moderate Tropical Storm 65 -22.5, 40.6
GREEN
50 21 Feb 2023 10:00 Category 3 179 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 157 -20, 51.1
GREEN
50 23 Feb 2023 10:00 Tropical storm 106 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 93 -22.3, 40.4
GREEN
50 23 Feb 2023 16:00 Tropical storm 106 no people 2.1 million people Severe Tropical Storm 93 -22.6, 39.7
GREEN
51 21 Feb 2023 16:00 Category 2 169 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 148 -20.6, 49.5
GREEN
51 23 Feb 2023 16:00 Tropical storm 116 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 102 -22.6, 39.8
GREEN
51 23 Feb 2023 22:00 Tropical storm 116 85000 people 2.2 million people Severe Tropical Storm 102 -22.5, 38.7
GREEN
52 21 Feb 2023 22:00 Category 1 127 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 111 -21.1, 48.1
GREEN
52 23 Feb 2023 22:00 Tropical storm 116 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 102 -22.4, 38.6
GREEN
52 24 Feb 2023 04:00 Tropical storm 116 230000 people 2.4 million people Severe Tropical Storm 102 -22.2, 37.5
GREEN
53 22 Feb 2023 04:00 Tropical storm 106 no people 1.7 million people Severe Tropical Storm 93 -21.3, 46.9 Madagascar
GREEN
53 24 Feb 2023 04:00 Tropical storm 116 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 102 -22.4, 37.4
GREEN
54 22 Feb 2023 10:00 Tropical storm 63 no people 3.5 million people Overland Depression 56 -21.7, 44.7 Madagascar
GREEN
54 24 Feb 2023 10:00 Tropical storm 116 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 102 -22.4, 36.2
ORANGE
55 23 Feb 2023 10:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 14.1 million people Moderate Tropical Storm 65 -22.5, 40.6
55 24 Feb 2023 16:00 Tropical storm 106 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 93 -22.4, 35.4
ORANGE
56 23 Feb 2023 16:00 Tropical storm 95 no people 12.9 million people Moderate Tropical Storm 83 -22.6, 39.7
56 24 Feb 2023 22:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people Moderate Tropical Storm 65 -22.5, 34.7
GREEN
57 23 Feb 2023 22:00 Tropical storm 116 no people 8.2 million people Severe Tropical Storm 102 -22.5, 38.8
57 25 Feb 2023 04:00 Tropical storm 63 no people no people Tropical Depression 56 -22.9, 34.1
ORANGE
58 24 Feb 2023 04:00 Tropical storm 116 no people 12.1 million people Severe Tropical Storm 102 -22.5, 37.7
58 25 Feb 2023 10:00 Tropical depression 53 no people no people Tropical Disturbance 46 -23, 33.5
GREEN
59 24 Feb 2023 10:00 Tropical storm 116 no people 2.5 million people Severe Tropical Storm 102 -22.5, 36.6
59 25 Feb 2023 16:00 Tropical depression 53 no people no people Tropical Disturbance 46 -22.9, 33.1
GREEN
60 24 Feb 2023 16:00 Tropical storm 95 no people 2.6 million people Moderate Tropical Storm 83 -22.5, 35.5 Mozambique
60 25 Feb 2023 22:00 Tropical depression 42 no people no people Tropical Disturbance 37 -22.7, 33.2
GREEN
61 24 Feb 2023 22:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 430000 people Moderate Tropical Storm 65 -22.3, 34.6 Mozambique
61 26 Feb 2023 04:00 Tropical depression 42 no people no people Tropical Disturbance 37 -22.4, 33.4
GREEN
62 25 Feb 2023 04:00 Tropical storm 63 no people 160000 people Overland Depression 56 -22.5, 34.1 Mozambique
62 26 Feb 2023 10:00 Tropical depression 42 no people no people Tropical Disturbance 37 -22.1, 33.5
GREEN
63 25 Feb 2023 10:00 Tropical depression 53 no people no people Overland Depression 46 -22.8, 33.3 Mozambique
63 26 Feb 2023 16:00 Tropical depression 42 no people no people Tropical Disturbance 37 -21.8, 33.4
GREEN
64 25 Feb 2023 16:00 Tropical depression 53 no people no people Overland Depression 46 -22.8, 32.9 Mozambique
64 26 Feb 2023 22:00 Tropical depression 42 no people no people Tropical Disturbance 37 -21.5, 33.2
GREEN
65 27 Feb 2023 04:00 Tropical depression 42 no people no people Overland Depression 37 -21.3, 32.9 Mozambique
GREEN
66 27 Feb 2023 10:00 Tropical depression 42 no people no people Overland Depression 37 -21.1, 32.3 Zimbabwe, Mozambique
GREEN
67 27 Feb 2023 16:00 Tropical depression 42 no people no people Overland Depression 37 -21, 31.5 Zimbabwe
GREEN
68 27 Feb 2023 22:00 Tropical depression no people no people Tropical Disturbance -21, 31.1 Zimbabwe
GREEN
69 28 Feb 2023 04:00 Tropical depression no people no people Tropical Disturbance -20.9, 31.1 Zimbabwe
GREEN
70 28 Feb 2023 10:00 Tropical depression no people no people Tropical Disturbance -20.9, 31.3 Zimbabwe
GREEN
71 28 Feb 2023 16:00 Tropical depression no people no people Tropical Disturbance -21.1, 31.6 Zimbabwe
GREEN
72 28 Feb 2023 22:00 Tropical depression no people no people Tropical Disturbance -21.4, 32.1 Mozambique, Zimbabwe
GREEN
73 01 Mar 2023 04:00 Tropical depression no people no people Tropical Disturbance -21.9, 32.8 Mozambique
GREEN
74 01 Mar 2023 10:00 Tropical depression no people no people Tropical Disturbance -22.3, 33.7 Mozambique
75 01 Mar 2023 16:00 Tropical depression no people no people Tropical Disturbance -22.7, 34.7
GREEN
76 04 Mar 2023 04:00 Tropical storm 63 no people no people Tropical Depression 56 -22.1, 38.8
GREEN
77 04 Mar 2023 10:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 740000 people Moderate Tropical Storm 65 -22.3, 39.5
GREEN
78 04 Mar 2023 16:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 1.2 million people Moderate Tropical Storm 65 -22.6, 40.1
GREEN
79 04 Mar 2023 22:00 Tropical storm 84 no people 1.7 million people Moderate Tropical Storm 74 -22.6, 40.6
GREEN
80 05 Mar 2023 04:00 Tropical storm 95 no people 3 million people Moderate Tropical Storm 83 -22.6, 41.3
GREEN
81 05 Mar 2023 10:00 Tropical storm 95 no people 4 million people Moderate Tropical Storm 83 -22.9, 41.7
GREEN
82 05 Mar 2023 16:00 Tropical storm 95 no people 3.2 million people Moderate Tropical Storm 83 -23.1, 42.3
GREEN
83 05 Mar 2023 22:00 Tropical storm 106 no people 6.1 million people Severe Tropical Storm 93 -23.2, 43.2
GREEN
84 06 Mar 2023 04:00 Tropical storm 116 no people 4.1 million people Severe Tropical Storm 102 -23.9, 43.1
GREEN
85 06 Mar 2023 10:00 Tropical storm 106 no people 3.6 million people Severe Tropical Storm 93 -24, 43
GREEN
86 06 Mar 2023 16:00 Tropical storm 106 no people 4 million people Severe Tropical Storm 93 -24, 42.9
GREEN
87 06 Mar 2023 22:00 Tropical storm 106 no people 4 million people Severe Tropical Storm 93 -23.9, 42.9
GREEN
88 07 Mar 2023 04:00 Tropical storm 116 no people 1.6 million people Severe Tropical Storm 102 -23.9, 42.6
GREEN
89 07 Mar 2023 10:00 Category 1 127 no people 2.6 million people Severe Tropical Storm 111 -23.4, 42.3
GREEN
90 07 Mar 2023 16:00 Category 1 148 no people 2.4 million people Tropical Cyclone 130 -23.1, 42.1
GREEN
91 07 Mar 2023 22:00 Category 2 169 no people 2 million people Tropical Cyclone 148 -22.7, 41.8
GREEN
92 08 Mar 2023 04:00 Category 2 169 no people 720000 people Tropical Cyclone 148 -22.2, 41
GREEN
93 08 Mar 2023 10:00 Category 2 158 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 139 -21.5, 40.5
GREEN
94 08 Mar 2023 16:00 Category 1 137 no people no people Tropical Cyclone 120 -21.1, 40.2
GREEN
95 08 Mar 2023 22:00 Category 1 127 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 111 -20.8, 40.1
GREEN
96 09 Mar 2023 04:00 Category 1 127 no people no people Severe Tropical Storm 111 -20.7, 39.7
GREEN
96 09 Mar 2023 16:00 Tropical storm 116 no people 1.1 million people Severe Tropical Storm 102 -20.3, 38.8
GREEN
96 10 Mar 2023 04:00 Category 1 127 no people 1.7 million people Severe Tropical Storm 111 -19.7, 37.9
ORANGE
96 10 Mar 2023 16:00 Category 1 148 190000 people 2.9 million people Tropical Cyclone 130 -18.9, 37
GREEN
96 11 Mar 2023 04:00 Tropical storm 106 no people 3.5 million people Severe Tropical Storm 93 -18.1, 36.3 Mozambique
GREEN
96 11 Mar 2023 16:00 Tropical storm 63 no people 2.2 million people Overland Depression 56 -17.4, 35.3 Mozambique
GREEN
96 12 Mar 2023 04:00 Tropical depression 53 no people no people Overland Depression 46 -16.9, 34.1 Mozambique
GREEN
96 12 Mar 2023 16:00 Tropical depression 42 no people no people Overland Depression 37 -16.7, 32.8 Zimbabwe, Mozambique
**
Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Madagascar 3.8 million people
Mozambique 190000 people

Provinces

Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Toliara Madagascar 400000 people
Zambezia Mozambique 150000 people
Sofala Mozambique 39000 people
Fianarantsoa Madagascar 3 million people
Antananarivo Madagascar 62000 people
Toamasina Madagascar 320000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Morombe Toliara Madagascar City -
Ambohibe Toliara Madagascar City -
Manja Toliara Madagascar City -
Ankazoabo Toliara Madagascar City 26000 people
Fianarantsoa Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 160000 people
Ambositra Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 30000 people
Sahasinaka Fianarantsoa Madagascar City -
Mananjary Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 27000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Morombe MXM 5 Civ. Paved No 4200
Chinde INE unknown 0
Tanandava TDV 27 Civ. Unpaved No 4500
Luabo LBM unknown 0
Manja MJA 240 Civ. Unpaved No 5200
Ankazoabo WAK 430 Civ. Unpaved No 3500
Mandabe WMD 290 Civ. Unpaved No 3500
Beroroha WBO 250 Civ. Unpaved No 3100
Ambalavao 972 Civ. Unpaved No 3600
Fianarantsoa WFI 1115 Civ. Paved No 4100
Mananjary MNJ 6 Civ. Paved No 4900
Mahanoro VVB 5 Civ. Unpaved No 4400

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Morombe MGMXM Madagascar
Vila Do Chinde Mozambique
Chinde MZINE Mozambique
Antongo Madagascar
Mananjary MGMNJ Madagascar
Mahanoro MGVVB Madagascar

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Ambahy, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 21 Feb 2023 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (124 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 44 of 21 Feb 2023 07:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ambahy Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Vohitramposina Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Marosiky Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ambinanivolo Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Manakambahiny Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Nosy-Varika Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ambohitsara Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Ananalava Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Savana Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Anakitaina Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Mahanoro Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Maintinandry Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Vatomandry Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ankarimbary Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Manakara Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Anasindrano Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Masomeloka Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ambodiharina Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Mangatsiatra Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Tataho Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Loharano Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Itenina Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Mananjary Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Mahela Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Andranomahitsy Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Kalomalala Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Tamatave Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Farafangana Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Tamotamo Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Andanivato Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Andramy Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Marotaola Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ankarefo Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Marohita Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Amboditafara Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Vavony Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Ambatobe Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Tampina Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Antetezambaro Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Befasy Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Manambotra Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Soahazo Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ampitabe Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ambodihariha Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Akondro Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Tsivala Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Andohonko Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Tanambe Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Mahambo Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Ankoadavo Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Moravano Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Pakapakaina Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ambila-Lemaitso Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ampanotoamaizina Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Manantenina Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Appontement Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Marofinaritra Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ambinanysahavary Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Taratasy Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Esama Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ankaramanihy Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ampatsinakoho Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Ampataka Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 10:00 Amboboka Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Soahanina Madagascar  0.1
21 Feb 2023 09:00 Marosakoa Madagascar  0.1