Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for FREDDY-23 in Mozambique, Madagascar from 06 Feb 2023 06:00 UTC to 11 Mar 2023 16:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FREDDY-23

in Mozambique, Madagascar

11 Mar 2023 16 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC
Primary source
WMO-RSMC La Réunion

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FREDDY-23 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Glide number:	TC-2023-000023-MDG
Exposed countries	Mozambique, Madagascar
Exposed population	4.6 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	253 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (21 Feb 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Madagascar)
Landfall	between 11 Mar 2023 16:00 - 12 Mar 2023 04:00 in Mozambique

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	169 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	1.5
Overall	253 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France

TOP

Wind

169 km/h Current Max.

Up to 4.6 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	10 Feb 2023 16:00	127	No people	No people
2	10 Feb 2023 22:00	127	No people	No people
3	11 Feb 2023 04:00	158	No people	No people
4	11 Feb 2023 10:00	158	No people	No people
5	11 Feb 2023 16:00	190	No people	No people
6	11 Feb 2023 22:00	211	No people	No people
7	12 Feb 2023 04:00	201	No people	No people
8	12 Feb 2023 10:00	201	No people	No people
9	12 Feb 2023 16:00	190	No people	No people
10	12 Feb 2023 22:00	201	No people	No people
11	13 Feb 2023 04:00	211	No people	No people
12	13 Feb 2023 10:00	201	No people	No people
13	13 Feb 2023 16:00	190	No people	No people
14	13 Feb 2023 22:00	169	No people	No people
15	14 Feb 2023 04:00	158	No people	No people
16	14 Feb 2023 10:00	158	No people	No people
17	14 Feb 2023 16:00	179	No people	No people
18	14 Feb 2023 22:00	232	No people	No people
19	15 Feb 2023 04:00	243	No people	No people
20	15 Feb 2023 10:00	243	No people	No people
21	15 Feb 2023 16:00	243	No people	No people
22	15 Feb 2023 22:00	232	No people	No people
23	16 Feb 2023 04:00	232	No people	No people
24	16 Feb 2023 10:00	232	450 thousand	No people	Mauritius
25	16 Feb 2023 16:00	232	660 thousand	No people	Mauritius
26	16 Feb 2023 22:00	232	2.6 million	No people	Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Madagascar
27	17 Feb 2023 04:00	211	8.1 million	420 thousand	Madagascar
28	17 Feb 2023 10:00	201	10.5 million	1.3 million	Madagascar
29	17 Feb 2023 16:00	211	18.3 million	3.1 million	Madagascar
30	17 Feb 2023 22:00	211	17.9 million	1.2 million	Madagascar
31	18 Feb 2023 04:00	222	18.4 million	2.9 million	Madagascar
32	18 Feb 2023 10:00	222	17.8 million	1.9 million	Madagascar
33	18 Feb 2023 16:00	222	17.6 million	1.1 million	Madagascar
34	18 Feb 2023 22:00	222	19.1 million	2.2 million	Madagascar
35	19 Feb 2023 04:00	232	21.9 million	1.3 million	Madagascar
36	19 Feb 2023 10:00	222	24.4 million	3.7 million	Madagascar, Mozambique
37	19 Feb 2023 16:00	253	40 thousand	40 thousand	Mauritius
38	19 Feb 2023 22:00	253	2.1 million	No people	Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
39	20 Feb 2023 04:00	243	2.1 million	No people	Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
40	20 Feb 2023 10:00	232	28.1 million	2.5 million	Madagascar
41	20 Feb 2023 16:00	232	6.9 million	No people	Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Madagascar
42	20 Feb 2023 22:00	253	24.2 million	2.6 million	Madagascar
43	20 Feb 2023 10:00	232	26.1 million	2.6 million	Madagascar
44	21 Feb 2023 10:00	232	10.4 million	No people	Madagascar
45	21 Feb 2023 16:00	169	24.5 million	3.4 million	Madagascar
46	21 Feb 2023 22:00	137	26 million	2.3 million	Madagascar, Mozambique
47	22 Feb 2023 04:00	222	25.5 million	2.2 million	Madagascar
48	22 Feb 2023 10:00	201	21.2 million	2.2 million	Madagascar
49	23 Feb 2023 04:00	190	21.8 million	2.2 million	Madagascar
50	23 Feb 2023 10:00	137	23.1 million	2.5 million	Madagascar, Mozambique
51	23 Feb 2023 16:00	137	22.7 million	2.6 million	Madagascar, Mozambique
52	23 Feb 2023 22:00	148	22.4 million	2.5 million	Mozambique, Madagascar
53	24 Feb 2023 04:00	116	21.4 million	3.7 million	Madagascar
54	24 Feb 2023 10:00	116	21.5 million	3.7 million	Madagascar
55	24 Feb 2023 16:00	74	31.2 million	3.7 million	Madagascar
56	24 Feb 2023 22:00	95	31.3 million	3.7 million	Madagascar
57	25 Feb 2023 04:00	116	28.7 million	3.7 million	Madagascar
58	25 Feb 2023 10:00	116	32.6 million	3.7 million	Madagascar
59	25 Feb 2023 16:00	116	24.6 million	3.7 million	Madagascar
60	25 Feb 2023 22:00	95	23 million	3.7 million	Madagascar
61	24 Feb 2023 22:00	74	23 million	3.7 million	Madagascar
62	25 Feb 2023 04:00	63	23 million	3.7 million	Madagascar
63	25 Feb 2023 10:00	53	23 million	3.6 million	Madagascar
64	25 Feb 2023 16:00	53	23 million	3.6 million	Madagascar
65	27 Feb 2023 04:00	42	23.2 million	3.8 million	Madagascar
66	27 Feb 2023 10:00	42	23.2 million	3.8 million	Madagascar
67	27 Feb 2023 16:00	42	23.2 million	3.8 million	Madagascar
68	27 Feb 2023 22:00	0	23.2 million	3.8 million	Madagascar
69	28 Feb 2023 04:00	0	23.2 million	3.8 million	Madagascar
70	28 Feb 2023 10:00	0	23.2 million	3.8 million	Madagascar
71	28 Feb 2023 16:00	0	23.2 million	3.8 million	Madagascar
72	28 Feb 2023 22:00	0	23.2 million	3.8 million	Madagascar
73	01 Mar 2023 04:00	0	23.2 million	3.8 million	Madagascar
74	01 Mar 2023 10:00	0	23.2 million	3.8 million	Madagascar
75	01 Mar 2023 16:00	127	25.1 million	3.8 million	Madagascar
76	04 Mar 2023 04:00	127	25.3 million	3.8 million	Madagascar
77	04 Mar 2023 10:00	137	33.3 million	3.8 million	Madagascar
78	04 Mar 2023 16:00	148	35.5 million	3.8 million	Madagascar
79	04 Mar 2023 22:00	158	34.8 million	3.8 million	Madagascar
80	05 Mar 2023 04:00	169	31.8 million	3.8 million	Madagascar
81	05 Mar 2023 10:00	169	43.5 million	3.8 million	Madagascar
82	05 Mar 2023 16:00	169	41.7 million	3.8 million	Madagascar
83	05 Mar 2023 22:00	179	28.3 million	3.8 million	Madagascar
84	06 Mar 2023 04:00	190	29.6 million	3.9 million	Madagascar, Mozambique
85	06 Mar 2023 10:00	190	31 million	4.1 million	Madagascar, Mozambique
86	06 Mar 2023 16:00	201	38.5 million	5.3 million	Madagascar, Mozambique
87	06 Mar 2023 22:00	179	42.6 million	5.6 million	Madagascar, Mozambique
88	07 Mar 2023 04:00	190	36.8 million	5.2 million	Madagascar, Mozambique
89	07 Mar 2023 10:00	179	31.2 million	4.9 million	Madagascar, Mozambique
90	07 Mar 2023 16:00	169	31.8 million	4.4 million	Madagascar, Mozambique
91	07 Mar 2023 22:00	148	40.3 million	4.7 million	Madagascar, Mozambique
92	08 Mar 2023 04:00	137	29.7 million	4.9 million	Madagascar, Mozambique
93	08 Mar 2023 10:00	137	30 million	4.7 million	Madagascar, Mozambique
94	08 Mar 2023 16:00	158	27.2 million	4.8 million	Madagascar, Mozambique
95	08 Mar 2023 22:00	137	28.4 million	4.3 million	Madagascar, Mozambique
96	09 Mar 2023 04:00	148	28.2 million	4 million	Madagascar, Mozambique
97	09 Mar 2023 10:00	179	28 million	4.4 million	Mozambique, Madagascar
98	09 Mar 2023 16:00	190	28.1 million	4.6 million	Mozambique, Madagascar
99	09 Mar 2023 22:00	190	30.7 million	4.9 million	Mozambique, Madagascar
100	10 Mar 2023 04:00	190	28.1 million	4.9 million	Mozambique, Madagascar
101	10 Mar 2023 10:00	190	36.6 million	5.1 million	Mozambique, Madagascar
102	10 Mar 2023 16:00	190	33.7 million	5 million	Mozambique, Madagascar
103	10 Mar 2023 22:00	190	38.3 million	5.1 million	Mozambique, Madagascar
104	11 Mar 2023 04:00	190	40.7 million	4.9 million	Mozambique, Madagascar
105	11 Mar 2023 10:00	169	43.1 million	4.4 million	Mozambique, Madagascar
106	11 Mar 2023 16:00	169	44.3 million	4.6 million	Mozambique, Madagascar

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Category (WMO/RSMC) **	Max winds (km/h) (WMO/RSMC)	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	10 Feb 2023 16:00	Category 1	127	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	111	-14.8, 106.7
2	10 Feb 2023 22:00	Category 1	127	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	111	-14.8, 106
3	11 Feb 2023 04:00	Category 2	158	no people	no people	Tropical Cyclone	139	-14.8, 105.1
4	11 Feb 2023 10:00	Category 2	158	no people	no people	Tropical Cyclone	139	-14.8, 104.1
5	11 Feb 2023 16:00	Category 3	190	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	167	-14.8, 103.1
6	11 Feb 2023 22:00	Category 4	211	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	185	-14.8, 102.1
7	12 Feb 2023 04:00	Category 3	201	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	176	-15, 101.2
8	12 Feb 2023 10:00	Category 3	201	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	176	-15, 100.2
9	12 Feb 2023 16:00	Category 3	190	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	167	-15.1, 99
10	12 Feb 2023 22:00	Category 3	201	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	176	-15.1, 98
11	13 Feb 2023 04:00	Category 4	211	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	185	-15.2, 96.9
12	13 Feb 2023 10:00	Category 3	201	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	176	-15.3, 95.9
13	13 Feb 2023 16:00	Category 3	190	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	167	-15.4, 94.6
14	13 Feb 2023 22:00	Category 2	169	no people	no people	Tropical Cyclone	148	-15.4, 93.7
15	14 Feb 2023 04:00	Category 2	158	no people	no people	Tropical Cyclone	139	-15.3, 92.5
16	14 Feb 2023 10:00	Category 2	158	no people	no people	Tropical Cyclone	139	-15.4, 91.3
17	14 Feb 2023 16:00	Category 3	179	no people	no people	Tropical Cyclone	157	-15.3, 90.1
18	14 Feb 2023 22:00	Category 3	201	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	176	-15.2, 88.8
19	15 Feb 2023 04:00	Category 4	232	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	204	-15.2, 87.6
20	15 Feb 2023 10:00	Category 4	243	no people	no people	Very Intense Tropical Cyclone	213	-15, 86.3
21	15 Feb 2023 16:00	Category 4	243	no people	no people	Very Intense Tropical Cyclone	213	-14.9, 84.9
22	15 Feb 2023 22:00	Category 4	232	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	204	-14.8, 83.6
23	16 Feb 2023 04:00	Category 4	232	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	204	-14.7, 82.3
24	16 Feb 2023 10:00	Category 4	222	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	194	-14.8, 81
25	16 Feb 2023 16:00	Category 4	232	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	204	-14.9, 79.6
26	16 Feb 2023 22:00	Category 4	222	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	194	-15.1, 78.1
27	17 Feb 2023 04:00	Category 4	222	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	194	-15.3, 76.6
28	17 Feb 2023 10:00	Category 4	222	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	194	-15.5, 75.2
29	17 Feb 2023 16:00	Category 4	232	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	204	-15.8, 74
30	17 Feb 2023 22:00	Category 4	222	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	194	-16, 72.9
31	18 Feb 2023 04:00	Category 4	222	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	194	-16.1, 71.6
32	18 Feb 2023 10:00	Category 4	211	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	185	-16.1, 70.5
33	18 Feb 2023 16:00	Category 4	211	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	185	-16.1, 69.3
34	18 Feb 2023 22:00	Category 4	211	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	185	-16.3, 68.2
35	19 Feb 2023 04:00	Category 5	253	no people	28000 people	Very Intense Tropical Cyclone	222	-16.6, 67
36	19 Feb 2023 10:00	Category 5	253	no people	43000 people	Very Intense Tropical Cyclone	222	-16.9, 65.5
37	19 Feb 2023 16:00	Category 5	253	43000 people	43000 people	Very Intense Tropical Cyclone	222	-17.3, 64
38	19 Feb 2023 19:00	Category 5	253	no people	no people	Very Intense Tropical Cyclone	222	-17.5, 63.2
38	19 Feb 2023 22:00	Category 5	253	no people	2.1 million people	Very Intense Tropical Cyclone	222	-17.7, 62.4
39	19 Feb 2023 22:00	Category 5	253	no people	no people	Very Intense Tropical Cyclone	222	-17.7, 62.4
39	20 Feb 2023 04:00	Category 4	243	no people	2.1 million people	Very Intense Tropical Cyclone	213	-18.1, 60.6
40	20 Feb 2023 01:00	Category 4	243	no people	no people	Very Intense Tropical Cyclone	213	-17.8, 61.6
40	20 Feb 2023 10:00	Category 4	232	no people	2.1 million people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	204	-18.4, 58.8
41	20 Feb 2023 04:00	Category 4	243	no people	no people	Very Intense Tropical Cyclone	213	-18.1, 60.6
41	20 Feb 2023 16:00	Category 4	232	no people	6.8 million people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	204	-18.9, 56.8
42	20 Feb 2023 07:00	Category 4	243	no people	no people	Very Intense Tropical Cyclone	213	-18.2, 59.8
42	20 Feb 2023 22:00	Category 4	222	no people	4.1 million people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	194	-19.2, 54.9
43	20 Feb 2023 10:00	Category 4	232	no people	2.3 million people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	204	-18.4, 58.8
43	21 Feb 2023 04:00	Category 3	201	310000 people	12.2 million people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	176	-19.7, 52.8
44	20 Feb 2023 13:00	Category 4	232	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	204	-18.6, 57.7
44	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Category 3	179	no people	no people	Tropical Cyclone	157	-20.1, 51.2
45	20 Feb 2023 16:00	Category 4	232	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	204	-18.9, 56.8
45	21 Feb 2023 16:00	Category 2	169	no people	no people	Tropical Cyclone	148	-20.7, 49.4
46	20 Feb 2023 19:00	Category 4	232	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	204	-19.1, 55.9
46	21 Feb 2023 22:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	Tropical Cyclone	130	-21, 48.2
47	20 Feb 2023 22:00	Category 4	222	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	194	-19.2, 54.9
47	22 Feb 2023 04:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	7.1 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-21.5, 46.6	Madagascar
48	21 Feb 2023 04:00	Category 3	201	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	176	-19.8, 52.8
48	22 Feb 2023 10:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	no people	Tropical Depression	56	-21.9, 44.8
49	21 Feb 2023 07:00	Category 3	190	no people	no people	Intense Tropical Cyclone	167	-20, 51.9
49	23 Feb 2023 04:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-22.2, 41.4
49	23 Feb 2023 10:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	430000 people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-22.5, 40.6
50	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Category 3	179	no people	no people	Tropical Cyclone	157	-20, 51.1
50	23 Feb 2023 10:00	Tropical storm	106	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	93	-22.3, 40.4
50	23 Feb 2023 16:00	Tropical storm	106	no people	2.1 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	93	-22.6, 39.7
51	21 Feb 2023 16:00	Category 2	169	no people	no people	Tropical Cyclone	148	-20.6, 49.5
51	23 Feb 2023 16:00	Tropical storm	116	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	102	-22.6, 39.8
51	23 Feb 2023 22:00	Tropical storm	116	85000 people	2.2 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	102	-22.5, 38.7
52	21 Feb 2023 22:00	Category 1	127	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	111	-21.1, 48.1
52	23 Feb 2023 22:00	Tropical storm	116	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	102	-22.4, 38.6
52	24 Feb 2023 04:00	Tropical storm	116	230000 people	2.4 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	102	-22.2, 37.5
53	22 Feb 2023 04:00	Tropical storm	106	no people	1.7 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	93	-21.3, 46.9	Madagascar
53	24 Feb 2023 04:00	Tropical storm	116	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	102	-22.4, 37.4
54	22 Feb 2023 10:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	3.5 million people	Overland Depression	56	-21.7, 44.7	Madagascar
54	24 Feb 2023 10:00	Tropical storm	116	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	102	-22.4, 36.2
55	23 Feb 2023 10:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	14.1 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-22.5, 40.6
55	24 Feb 2023 16:00	Tropical storm	106	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	93	-22.4, 35.4
56	23 Feb 2023 16:00	Tropical storm	95	no people	12.9 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	83	-22.6, 39.7
56	24 Feb 2023 22:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-22.5, 34.7
57	23 Feb 2023 22:00	Tropical storm	116	no people	8.2 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	102	-22.5, 38.8
57	25 Feb 2023 04:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	no people	Tropical Depression	56	-22.9, 34.1
58	24 Feb 2023 04:00	Tropical storm	116	no people	12.1 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	102	-22.5, 37.7
58	25 Feb 2023 10:00	Tropical depression	53	no people	no people	Tropical Disturbance	46	-23, 33.5
59	24 Feb 2023 10:00	Tropical storm	116	no people	2.5 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	102	-22.5, 36.6
59	25 Feb 2023 16:00	Tropical depression	53	no people	no people	Tropical Disturbance	46	-22.9, 33.1
60	24 Feb 2023 16:00	Tropical storm	95	no people	2.6 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	83	-22.5, 35.5	Mozambique
60	25 Feb 2023 22:00	Tropical depression	42	no people	no people	Tropical Disturbance	37	-22.7, 33.2
61	24 Feb 2023 22:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	430000 people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-22.3, 34.6	Mozambique
61	26 Feb 2023 04:00	Tropical depression	42	no people	no people	Tropical Disturbance	37	-22.4, 33.4
62	25 Feb 2023 04:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	160000 people	Overland Depression	56	-22.5, 34.1	Mozambique
62	26 Feb 2023 10:00	Tropical depression	42	no people	no people	Tropical Disturbance	37	-22.1, 33.5
63	25 Feb 2023 10:00	Tropical depression	53	no people	no people	Overland Depression	46	-22.8, 33.3	Mozambique
63	26 Feb 2023 16:00	Tropical depression	42	no people	no people	Tropical Disturbance	37	-21.8, 33.4
64	25 Feb 2023 16:00	Tropical depression	53	no people	no people	Overland Depression	46	-22.8, 32.9	Mozambique
64	26 Feb 2023 22:00	Tropical depression	42	no people	no people	Tropical Disturbance	37	-21.5, 33.2
65	27 Feb 2023 04:00	Tropical depression	42	no people	no people	Overland Depression	37	-21.3, 32.9	Mozambique
66	27 Feb 2023 10:00	Tropical depression	42	no people	no people	Overland Depression	37	-21.1, 32.3	Zimbabwe, Mozambique
67	27 Feb 2023 16:00	Tropical depression	42	no people	no people	Overland Depression	37	-21, 31.5	Zimbabwe
68	27 Feb 2023 22:00	Tropical depression		no people	no people	Tropical Disturbance		-21, 31.1	Zimbabwe
69	28 Feb 2023 04:00	Tropical depression		no people	no people	Tropical Disturbance		-20.9, 31.1	Zimbabwe
70	28 Feb 2023 10:00	Tropical depression		no people	no people	Tropical Disturbance		-20.9, 31.3	Zimbabwe
71	28 Feb 2023 16:00	Tropical depression		no people	no people	Tropical Disturbance		-21.1, 31.6	Zimbabwe
72	28 Feb 2023 22:00	Tropical depression		no people	no people	Tropical Disturbance		-21.4, 32.1	Mozambique, Zimbabwe
73	01 Mar 2023 04:00	Tropical depression		no people	no people	Tropical Disturbance		-21.9, 32.8	Mozambique
74	01 Mar 2023 10:00	Tropical depression		no people	no people	Tropical Disturbance		-22.3, 33.7	Mozambique
75	01 Mar 2023 16:00	Tropical depression		no people	no people	Tropical Disturbance		-22.7, 34.7
76	04 Mar 2023 04:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	no people	Tropical Depression	56	-22.1, 38.8
77	04 Mar 2023 10:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	740000 people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-22.3, 39.5
78	04 Mar 2023 16:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	1.2 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-22.6, 40.1
79	04 Mar 2023 22:00	Tropical storm	84	no people	1.7 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	74	-22.6, 40.6
80	05 Mar 2023 04:00	Tropical storm	95	no people	3 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	83	-22.6, 41.3
81	05 Mar 2023 10:00	Tropical storm	95	no people	4 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	83	-22.9, 41.7
82	05 Mar 2023 16:00	Tropical storm	95	no people	3.2 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	83	-23.1, 42.3
83	05 Mar 2023 22:00	Tropical storm	106	no people	6.1 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	93	-23.2, 43.2
84	06 Mar 2023 04:00	Tropical storm	116	no people	4.1 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	102	-23.9, 43.1
85	06 Mar 2023 10:00	Tropical storm	106	no people	3.6 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	93	-24, 43
86	06 Mar 2023 16:00	Tropical storm	106	no people	4 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	93	-24, 42.9
87	06 Mar 2023 22:00	Tropical storm	106	no people	4 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	93	-23.9, 42.9
88	07 Mar 2023 04:00	Tropical storm	116	no people	1.6 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	102	-23.9, 42.6
89	07 Mar 2023 10:00	Category 1	127	no people	2.6 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	111	-23.4, 42.3
90	07 Mar 2023 16:00	Category 1	148	no people	2.4 million people	Tropical Cyclone	130	-23.1, 42.1
91	07 Mar 2023 22:00	Category 2	169	no people	2 million people	Tropical Cyclone	148	-22.7, 41.8
92	08 Mar 2023 04:00	Category 2	169	no people	720000 people	Tropical Cyclone	148	-22.2, 41
93	08 Mar 2023 10:00	Category 2	158	no people	no people	Tropical Cyclone	139	-21.5, 40.5
94	08 Mar 2023 16:00	Category 1	137	no people	no people	Tropical Cyclone	120	-21.1, 40.2
95	08 Mar 2023 22:00	Category 1	127	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	111	-20.8, 40.1
96	09 Mar 2023 04:00	Category 1	127	no people	no people	Severe Tropical Storm	111	-20.7, 39.7
97	09 Mar 2023 10:00	Category 1	127	no people	1.1 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	111	-20.3, 39.2
98	09 Mar 2023 16:00	Category 1	127	no people	1.6 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	111	-20, 39
99	09 Mar 2023 22:00	Category 1	137	no people	2.9 million people	Tropical Cyclone	120	-19.4, 38.7
100	10 Mar 2023 04:00	Category 1	137	no people	3.2 million people	Tropical Cyclone	120	-19, 38.5
101	10 Mar 2023 10:00	Category 1	137	72000 people	3.1 million people	Tropical Cyclone	120	-18.5, 38.4
102	10 Mar 2023 16:00	Category 1	148	1 million people	3.5 million people	Tropical Cyclone	130	-18.4, 38.4
103	10 Mar 2023 22:00	Category 1	148	890000 people	3.5 million people	Tropical Cyclone	130	-18.3, 38.1
104	11 Mar 2023 04:00	Category 2	158	1.1 million people	4.6 million people	Tropical Cyclone	139	-18.2, 37.6
105	11 Mar 2023 10:00	Category 2	169	630000 people	5.7 million people	Tropical Cyclone	148	-18.2, 37.4
106	11 Mar 2023 16:00	Category 2	169	730000 people	6.9 million people	Tropical Cyclone	148	-18.1, 37.3
106	12 Mar 2023 04:00	Category 1	137	780000 people	15.8 million people	Tropical Cyclone	120	-18.1, 37.1	Mozambique
106	12 Mar 2023 16:00	Tropical storm	116	no people	20.9 million people	Severe Tropical Storm	102	-18, 36.7	Mozambique
106	13 Mar 2023 04:00	Tropical storm	95	no people	20.7 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	83	-17.6, 36	Mozambique
106	13 Mar 2023 16:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	9.1 million people	Moderate Tropical Storm	65	-17.5, 35.8	Mozambique
106	14 Mar 2023 04:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	5.6 million people	Overland Depression	56	-17.5, 36.3	Mozambique
106	14 Mar 2023 16:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	1.7 million people	Tropical Depression	56	-18.5, 37.7
106	15 Mar 2023 04:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	no people	Tropical Depression	56	-19.9, 38.2
106	15 Mar 2023 16:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	no people	Tropical Depression	56	-22, 39.5
106	16 Mar 2023 04:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	no people	Tropical Depression	56	-23, 40
106	16 Mar 2023 16:00	Tropical storm	63	no people	no people	Tropical Depression	56	-25.2, 40.1

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Category 1 or higher strength
Mozambique	780000 people
Madagascar	3.8 million people

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population in Category 1 or higher strength
Zambezia	Mozambique	780000 people
Toliara	Madagascar	400000 people
Antananarivo	Madagascar	62000 people
Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	3 million people
Toamasina	Madagascar	320000 people

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Quelimane	Zambezia	Mozambique	City	190000 people
Ambohibe	Toliara	Madagascar	City	-
Morombe	Toliara	Madagascar	City	-
Manja	Toliara	Madagascar	City	-
Ankazoabo	Toliara	Madagascar	City	26000 people
Ambositra	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	30000 people
Fianarantsoa	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	160000 people
Sahasinaka	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	-
Mananjary	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	27000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Quelimane	UEL	11	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5900
Morombe	MXM	5	Civ.	Paved	No	4200
Tanandava	TDV	27	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4500
Manja	MJA	240	Civ.	Unpaved	No	5200
Mandabe	WMD	290	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3500
Ankazoabo	WAK	430	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3500
Beroroha	WBO	250	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3100
Ambalavao		972	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3600
Fianarantsoa	WFI	1115	Civ.	Paved	No	4100
Mananjary	MNJ	6	Civ.	Paved	No	4900
Mahanoro	VVB	5	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4400

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Porto Belo	MZPBE	Mozambique
Porto de Quelimane	MZUEL	Mozambique
Antongo		Madagascar
Morombe	MGMXM	Madagascar
Mananjary	MGMNJ	Madagascar
Mahanoro	MGVVB	Madagascar

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Ambahy, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 21 Feb 2023 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (124 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 44 of 21 Feb 2023 07:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ambahy	Madagascar	0.3
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Vohitramposina	Madagascar	0.3
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Marosiky	Madagascar	0.3
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ambinanivolo	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Andranotsara	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Manakambahiny	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Nosy-Varika	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ambohitsara	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ambalavontaka	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Ananalava	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Savana	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Anakitaina	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Mahanoro	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ambohidara	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Maintinandry	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Vatomandry	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ankarimbary	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Manakara	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Anasindrano	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Masomeloka	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ambodiharina	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Seranandavitra	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Loharano	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Analalava	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Mangatsiatra	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Tataho	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Madirotelo	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Marokitrana	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Bevoay	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Loharano	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Itenina	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Mananjary	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Mahela	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Andranomahitsy	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Kalomalala	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Tamatave	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Farafangana	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Tamotamo	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Andanivato	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ambatojoby	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Andramy	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Marotaola	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Antananabe	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Anjiamalandy	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Maromokotra	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Ampiambesa	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Antetezampolaka	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Tanambao	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Anjabe	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Andranomena	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Fadrina	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Bobasakoa	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ankarefo	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Andemba	Madagascar	0.2
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Ampasibe	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Ampasimpilily	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Ampandrano	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Anorotsangana	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Marohita	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Androrangambo	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Amboditafara	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Vavony	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Andrafialava	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Mandrony	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ambalavontaka	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ambaramidada	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Ambanisanjo	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Ambatobe	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Tampina	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Antetezambaro	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Befasy	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Manambotra	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Soahazo	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ampitabe	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Mahatsara	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ambodihariha	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ambodimanga	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Vohitsara	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Akondro	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Tsaratanana	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Tsivala	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Manehoko	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ambatomainty	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Ilomotro	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Andohonko	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Andrangazaha	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Fandrarazana	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Vohilava	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ambodifototra	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Lonkintsy	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Lokintsy	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Lohatrozona	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Tanambe	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ambodiatafa	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Antsikafoka	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Mahambo	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Namahoaka	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Mahatsara	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Foulpointe	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Ankoadavo	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Moravano	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Marovato	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Bejongoro	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Pakapakaina	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Ankazomalemy	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ambila-Lemaitso	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ampanotoamaizina	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Manantenina	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Appontement	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Manampatra	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Vilamatsa	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Marofinaritra	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ambinanysahavary	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Taratasy	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Ambondrombe	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Esama	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ankaramanihy	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ampatsinakoho	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Ampataka	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 10:00	Amboboka	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Soahanina	Madagascar	0.1
	21 Feb 2023 09:00	Marosakoa	Madagascar	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.