Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for HIDAYA-24
in Tanzania, Seychelles, Comoros
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HIDAYA-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Seychelles, Tanzania
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (04 May 14:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Comoros)
Landfall between
04 May 2024 12:00 - 05 May 2024 12:00

in Tanzania

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 93 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 93 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

93 km/h Current Max.

Up to 10.7 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 01 May 2024 12:00 93 10.7 million No people Seychelles, Tanzania

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 01 May 2024 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -8.6, 45.1
GREEN
1 02 May 2024 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -8.8, 44.7
GREEN
1 02 May 2024 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -8.9, 44.3
GREEN
1 03 May 2024 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -9, 43.7
GREEN
1 03 May 2024 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 29000 people -8.8, 42.7
GREEN
1 04 May 2024 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 10.7 million people -7.9, 40.9
GREEN
1 05 May 2024 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -5.7, 39.3 Tanzania
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Seychelles <1000 people
Tanzania 10.4 million people

Provinces

Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Seychelles Seychelles <1000 people
Pwani Tanzania 1.4 million people
Dar es Salaam Tanzania 6.3 million people
Zanzibar Central/South Tanzania 150000 people
Pemba South Tanzania 230000 people
Zanzibar Urban/West Tanzania 860000 people
Zanzibar North Tanzania 230000 people
Pemba North Tanzania 230000 people
Tanga Tanzania 980000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Dar es Salaam Dar-es-Salaam Tanzania Major city 2.7 million people
Zanzibar Mjini-Magharibi (Zanzibar Urban/West) Tanzania Major city 400000 people
Tanga Tanga Tanzania City 220000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Mafia MFA 18 Civ. Unpaved No 5200
Dar Es Salaam DAR 55 Civ. Paved Yes 9800
Pemba PMA 24 Civ. Paved Yes 5000
Zanzibar ZNZ 16 Civ. Paved Yes 8000
Tanga TGT 39 Civ. Paved Yes 4100

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Kilondoni Tanzania
Kisiju Tanzania
Mjimwema Terminal Tanzania
Dar-es-Salaam TZDAR Tanzania
Chake Chake Tanzania
Wete Tanzania
Mkoani Tanzania
Zanzibar TZZNZ Tanzania
Wete Tanzania
Pangani TZPAN Tanzania
Tanga TZTGT Tanzania

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Meronvi, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 04 May 2024 14:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (89 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 01 May 2024 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
04 May 2024 14:00 Meronvi Mozambique  0.3
05 May 2024 03:00 Dondo Tanzania  0.2
05 May 2024 03:00 Mpafu Tanzania  0.2
05 May 2024 08:00 Kibele Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 11:00 Quissengue Mozambique  0.2
05 May 2024 08:00 Mchamba Wima Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 14:00 Libambai Mozambique  0.2
05 May 2024 07:00 Fumba Tanzania  0.2
05 May 2024 04:00 Kisiju Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 14:00 Vila de Mocimboa da Praia Mozambique  0.2
05 May 2024 02:00 Buuni Village Tanzania  0.2
05 May 2024 06:00 Msindaji Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 22:00 Mchungu Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 22:00 Nyambati Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 22:00 Kiombani Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 22:00 Kilindoni Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 14:00 Bawala Mozambique  0.2
04 May 2024 14:00 Olumbe Mozambique  0.2
03 May 2024 16:00 Ziwani Tanzania  0.2
03 May 2024 16:00 Kijichame Tanzania  0.2
05 May 2024 06:00 Uzi Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 15:00 Mwera Tanzania  0.2
05 May 2024 11:00 Gazija Tanzania  0.2
03 May 2024 16:00 Uchangani Tanzania  0.2
05 May 2024 07:00 Magawa Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 23:00 Kiechuru Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 11:00 Maganja Mozambique  0.2
05 May 2024 12:00 Banda Kuu Tanzania  0.2
03 May 2024 15:00 Taandani Tanzania  0.2
03 May 2024 23:00 Mkwiro Kenya  0.2
04 May 2024 11:00 Kirongwe Tanzania  0.2
05 May 2024 03:00 Jaja Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 23:00 Mbwera Tanzania  0.2
05 May 2024 07:00 Chwaka Tanzania  0.2
05 May 2024 07:00 Kitogani Tanzania  0.2
05 May 2024 07:00 Ukongoroni Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 15:00 Pangane Mozambique  0.2
05 May 2024 12:00 Somanga Tanzania  0.2
05 May 2024 12:00 Ushongo Mabaoni Tanzania  0.2
05 May 2024 11:00 Mkuuni Tanzania  0.2
05 May 2024 03:00 Pombwe Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 18:00 Jimbo Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 12:00 Pangani Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 07:00 Paje Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 08:00 Pingwe Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 12:00 Vumbi Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 07:00 Kiembi Samaki Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 10:00 Bet-el-Mali Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 10:00 Donge Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 10:00 Mkokotoni Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 05:00 Mkunguni Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 11:00 Jeni Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 10:00 Kichenge Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 10:00 Gulioni Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 18:00 Quiterajo Mozambique  0.1
05 May 2024 03:00 Mapopwe Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 15:00 Chole Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 10:00 Mdudu Mdogo Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 11:00 Quiwia Mozambique  0.1
05 May 2024 05:00 Kipandoni Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 06:00 Hiari Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 12:00 Mkwaja Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 17:00 Kipingwe Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 12:00 Handeru Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 10:00 Dikoni Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 05:00 Kijini Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 14:00 Palma Mozambique  0.1
04 May 2024 14:00 Boala Mozambique  0.1
05 May 2024 06:00 Tongoni Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 12:00 Matapatapa Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 01:00 Chekea Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 08:00 Zanzibar Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 01:00 Bopwe Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 10:00 Bumbwini Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 15:00 Mkarangama Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 12:00 Sakura Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 03:00 Mbweni Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 11:00 Bwereu Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 03:00 Doriya Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 03:00 Konduchi Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 05:00 Marere Mozambique  0.1
04 May 2024 05:00 Lucete Mozambique  0.1
05 May 2024 05:00 Kutani Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 04:00 Kawi Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 09:00 Msasani Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 10:00 Kengeja Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 05:00 Msimbati Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 05:00 Bandarini Tanzania  0.1
05 May 2024 09:00 Magogoni Tanzania  0.1