Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for HIDAYA-24
in Tanzania, Seychelles, Comoros
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HIDAYA-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Seychelles, Tanzania
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (04 May 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Comoros)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 93 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 93 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

93 km/h Current Max.

Up to 210000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 01 May 2024 12:00 93 10.7 million No people Seychelles, Tanzania
Green 2 02 May 2024 00:00 93 210 thousand No people Seychelles, Tanzania

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 01 May 2024 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -8.6, 45.1
GREEN
2 02 May 2024 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people -9.1, 44.6
GREEN
2 02 May 2024 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -9.1, 44
GREEN
2 03 May 2024 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -8.8, 42.9
GREEN
2 03 May 2024 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -8.4, 42
GREEN
2 04 May 2024 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 210000 people -7.7, 41
GREEN
2 05 May 2024 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -6, 39.8
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Seychelles <1000 people
Tanzania 190000 people

Provinces

Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Seychelles Seychelles <1000 people
Zanzibar Central/South Tanzania 120000 people
Zanzibar North Tanzania 75000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Assumption Island 3 Civ. Paved No 3900

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Assumption Island Seychelles

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Meronvi, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 04 May 2024 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (48 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 02 May 2024 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
04 May 2024 01:00 Meronvi Mozambique  0.3
04 May 2024 01:00 Quissengue Mozambique  0.3
04 May 2024 01:00 Libambai Mozambique  0.2
04 May 2024 01:00 Vila de Mocimboa da Praia Mozambique  0.2
04 May 2024 01:00 Bawala Mozambique  0.2
04 May 2024 02:00 Olumbe Mozambique  0.2
04 May 2024 12:00 Dondo Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 12:00 Mpafu Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 01:00 Maganja Mozambique  0.2
04 May 2024 12:00 Kutani Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 00:00 Mwera Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 00:00 Ziwani Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 00:00 Kijichame Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 15:00 Kisiju Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 00:00 Taandani Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 00:00 Uchangani Tanzania  0.2
04 May 2024 01:00 Mkarangama Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 01:00 Kipingwe Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 01:00 Kirongwe Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 05:00 Mbwera Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 05:00 Kiechuru Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 01:00 Kilindoni Tanzania  0.1
01 May 2024 13:00 Fumba Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 01:00 Kiombani Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 14:00 Buuni Village Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 01:00 Quiterajo Mozambique  0.1
01 May 2024 13:00 Kibele Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 02:00 Jimbo Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 02:00 Quiwia Mozambique  0.1
01 May 2024 18:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.1
01 May 2024 18:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.1
04 May 2024 10:00 Jaja Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 02:00 Palma Mozambique  0.1
04 May 2024 02:00 Boala Mozambique  0.1
04 May 2024 23:00 Mchamba Wima Tanzania  0.1
02 May 2024 01:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
02 May 2024 01:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
02 May 2024 01:00 Ampasimena Madagascar  0.1
04 May 2024 14:00 Magawa Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 00:00 Chole Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 01:00 Marere Mozambique  0.1
04 May 2024 01:00 Lucete Mozambique  0.1
04 May 2024 01:00 Uzi Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 00:00 Chekea Tanzania  0.1
04 May 2024 00:00 Bopwe Tanzania  0.1
01 May 2024 18:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
04 May 2024 01:00 Pangane Mozambique  0.1
04 May 2024 00:00 Msimbati Tanzania  0.1