Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for BERYL-24 in Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States from 28 Jun 2024 21:00 UTC to 30 Jun 2024 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for BERYL-24

in Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States

30 Jun 2024 09 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BERYL-24 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Mexico, Belize, United States
Exposed population	9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	269 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (01 Jul 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Jamaica)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	213 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	269 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

213 km/h Current Max.

Up to 32000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	28 Jun 2024 21:00	139	4.7 million	20 thousand	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
2	29 Jun 2024 03:00	167	4.9 million	320 thousand	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Jamaica
3	29 Jun 2024 09:00	167	6.8 million	2.2 million	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Jamaica
4	29 Jun 2024 15:00	167	4.1 million	70 thousand	Jamaica
5	29 Jun 2024 21:00	185	3.9 million	10 thousand	Barbados, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Jamaica, Cayman Islands
6	30 Jun 2024 03:00	204	3.6 million	10 thousand	Barbados, Trinidad and Tobago, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Jamaica, Cayman Islands
7	30 Jun 2024 09:00	213	5.6 million	30 thousand	Grenada

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	28 Jun 2024 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	9.1, -41.9
2	29 Jun 2024 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	9.3, -43.6
3	29 Jun 2024 09:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	9.8, -45.5
4	29 Jun 2024 15:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	10, -47.8
5	29 Jun 2024 21:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	10.1, -49.3
6	30 Jun 2024 03:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	10.4, -51.2
7	30 Jun 2024 09:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	10.7, -53.1
7	30 Jun 2024 18:00	Category 3	185	no people	240000 people	11.1, -55.7
7	01 Jul 2024 06:00	Category 4	213	32000 people	770000 people	11.8, -59
7	01 Jul 2024 18:00	Category 4	213	no people	320000 people	12.9, -62.5
7	02 Jul 2024 06:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	14.1, -66.1
7	02 Jul 2024 18:00	Category 3	194	no people	450000 people	15.4, -70.1
7	03 Jul 2024 06:00	Category 3	185	no people	3.5 million people	16.3, -74
7	04 Jul 2024 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	1.4 million people	17.8, -80.9
7	05 Jul 2024 06:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	19.1, -87.1

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Category 1 or higher strength
Grenada	20000 people

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population in Category 1 or higher strength
Grenada	Grenada	20000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Canouan		5	Civ.	Paved	No	3600
Palm Island	PLI	unknown				0
Union Island	UNI	unknown				0
Carriacou	CRU	unknown				0

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Argyle, Grenada. This height is estimated for 01 Jul 2024 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (24 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 7 of 30 Jun 2024 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	01 Jul 2024 15:00	Argyle	Grenada	0.4
	01 Jul 2024 15:00	Engagement Umbrella	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.4
	01 Jul 2024 15:00	L'Appelle	Grenada	0.4
	01 Jul 2024 15:00	Ashton	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.4
	01 Jul 2024 15:00	Canouan	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.4
	03 Jul 2024 19:00	Brazalitta	Jamaica	0.3
	03 Jul 2024 19:00	Mahoe Gardens	Jamaica	0.3
	01 Jul 2024 14:00	Mustique	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.3
	03 Jul 2024 19:00	Alley	Jamaica	0.2
	03 Jul 2024 19:00	Old Harbor	Jamaica	0.2
	03 Jul 2024 20:00	Port Royal	Jamaica	0.2
	03 Jul 2024 20:00	Kingston	Jamaica	0.2
	01 Jul 2024 15:00	Union	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	0.1
	01 Jul 2024 15:00	Victoria	Grenada	0.1
	01 Jul 2024 15:00	Grenville	Grenada	0.1
	01 Jul 2024 15:00	The Lance	Grenada	0.1
	03 Jul 2024 23:00	Black River	Jamaica	0.1
	29 Jun 2024 18:00	Colonia do Pescadores	Brazil	0.1
	01 Jul 2024 14:00	Prickley Bay	Grenada	0.1
	01 Jul 2024 14:00	Thebaide	Grenada	0.1
	04 Jul 2024 09:00	Tunas de Zaza	Cuba	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 14:00	Cujizal	Venezuela	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 14:00	Palencia	Venezuela	0.1
	02 Jul 2024 15:00	Caduto	Venezuela	0.1

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.