Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for KRATHON-24 in China, Philippines, Taiwan from 27 Sep 2024 06:00 UTC to 28 Sep 2024 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for KRATHON-24

in China, Philippines, Taiwan

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KRATHON-24 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	China, Philippines, Taiwan
Exposed population	4.9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	241 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (01 Oct 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Philippines)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	194 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	241 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

194 km/h Current Max.

Up to 41000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	27 Sep 2024 06:00	213	26.1 million	2 thousand	Philippines, Japan, Taiwan, China
2	27 Sep 2024 12:00	204	58.3 million	1.1 million	Taiwan
3	27 Sep 2024 18:00	185	76.8 million	70 thousand	Taiwan, Japan
4	28 Sep 2024 00:00	194	74 million	40 thousand	Japan

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	27 Sep 2024 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	20.3, 126.3
2	27 Sep 2024 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	19.8, 125.9
3	27 Sep 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	19.1, 125.7
4	28 Sep 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	18.7, 125.8
4	28 Sep 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	18.5, 125.2
4	29 Sep 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	140000 people	18.7, 124.6
4	29 Sep 2024 12:00	Category 1	130	no people	1.4 million people	19, 124
4	30 Sep 2024 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	6.5 million people	19.6, 123.5
4	01 Oct 2024 00:00	Category 2	176	no people	50.6 million people	21, 122.8
4	02 Oct 2024 00:00	Category 3	194	41000 people	73 million people	23, 122.7
4	03 Oct 2024 00:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	25.5, 123.5

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Category 1 or higher strength
Japan	35000 people

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population in Category 1 or higher strength
Okinawa	Japan	35000 people

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Ishigaki	Okinawa	Japan	City	45000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Hateruma	HTR	unknown				0
Iriomote Jima		12				0
Yonaguni	OGN	21	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4900

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Ishigaki		Japan
Irionote Island		Japan
Ishigaki Island		Japan

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
Nagura	Nagura	Naguragawa	1996
Maezato	Maezato	Miyaragawa	1982

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Guhuai, China. This height is estimated for 01 Oct 2024 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (264 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 27 Sep 2024 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Level	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Guhuai	China	0.4
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Gaoshan	China	0.4
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Guanjing	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Qingfeng	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chiang-t'ien	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chang-chiang	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chin-feng	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Zhangban	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Yakou	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Dongyuan	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Langqi	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Tantou	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Yunlong	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Fengwo	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Baisheng	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Beicuo	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Dongsha	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Lingchuan	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Wuhang	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Houtian	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Yongning	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Daitou	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Sansha	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Shih-shih	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Pingtan	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Mabi	China	0.3
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chongwu	China	0.3
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Wright	Philippines	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Qian'an	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Hsiao-tso	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	P'u-hsi-ch'eng	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Fuye	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Gangkou	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Liu'ao	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Weitou	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chin-ching	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Hsiang-chih	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Wuqu	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Meizhou	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Nanri	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Guleitou	China	0.2
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Pequit	Philippines	0.2
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Pabanong	Philippines	0.2
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Hinabangan	Philippines	0.2
	30 Sep 2024 02:00	Bawa	Philippines	0.2
	30 Sep 2024 02:00	Cabiraoan	Philippines	0.2
	30 Sep 2024 02:00	Casambalangan	Philippines	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Hanjiang	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Songcheng	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Luxia	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Jinxiang	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Tung-tai	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Guanban	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Cao Yu	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chihu	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Xucuo	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Gulangyu	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Daomei	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Zhenhai	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Lianhe	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Yang-chai	Taiwan	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Ch'ang-an	Taiwan	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chu-kao-wan	Taiwan	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Ting-hai	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Anhai	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Shacheng	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chendai	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Hsi-pu	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chen-hai	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Xiahu	China	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 22:00	Gonzaga	Philippines	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Ch'ang-t'an-wo	Taiwan	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Huang-ch'i	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Dawu	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Ta-ch'iu	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Tung-ch'ung	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Huqiu	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Wutian	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Shentu	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Fugong	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Gangwei	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chin-men	Taiwan	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chin-men Tao	Taiwan	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Shihu	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Shicheng	China	0.2
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Bangon	Philippines	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Da'ao	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Changchun	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	I-shan	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Jiangtou	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Liuwudian	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	San Shah	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Yacheng	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	P'u-hsi	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Pinghai	China	0.2
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Mualbual	Philippines	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Xiaguan	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Gexiang	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Fotan	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	An-ting	Taiwan	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Ch'ing-hsu	Taiwan	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Shijing	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Tung-shih	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Gongqiancun	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chencheng	China	0.2
	30 Sep 2024 10:00	Nakanmuan	Philippines	0.2
	30 Sep 2024 10:00	Sabtang	Philippines	0.2
	30 Sep 2024 10:00	Chavayan	Philippines	0.2
	30 Sep 2024 10:00	Ivana	Philippines	0.2
	30 Sep 2024 10:00	Mahatao	Philippines	0.2
	30 Sep 2024 10:00	Itbud	Philippines	0.2
	30 Sep 2024 10:00	Basco	Philippines	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Sha-fan-chieh	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Pucheng	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Hsia-mei	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Songyu	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Xiamen	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	San-chia-shih	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chin-ch'ing	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chien-chiang	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Hushi	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Wangchuan	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Fengwei	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Gongkou	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Dongshan	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Dalu	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Feng-kuei-li	Taiwan	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	P'eng-hu-erh-ts'un	Taiwan	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Longtian	China	0.2
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Gangtou	China	0.2
	29 Sep 2024 19:00	Buguey	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Catbalogan	Philippines	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Dinggang	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Ancheng	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chang-chia-li	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Hsi-hui-tsui	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Ch'ien-ni	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chengpu	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Songxia	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Hsieh-t'ang	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Linshan	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chou-hung-ch'iu	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Heng-pa-ts'un	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Hsiung-ting-yu	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Beilong	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Banping	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Bei'ao	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Touyan	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Zhongmen	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Jiuzhen	China	0.1
	30 Sep 2024 11:00	Raile	Philippines	0.1
	30 Sep 2024 11:00	Itbayat	Philippines	0.1
	30 Sep 2024 11:00	Santa Lucia	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 10:00	Labigan	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 10:00	Guiom	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 10:00	Cavayan	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 10:00	Malbug	Philippines	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Haikou	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chu-ch'iao-chen	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Dingqiao	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chaoyang	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chiu-hsiang-chen	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Huangwan	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Ganpu	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Xiabu	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Zhuangyuanqiao	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Longwan	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Siqianjie	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Jiangtan	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chengguanzhen	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Hecuo	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chelim	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Huanggang	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Raoping	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Hua-hsu	Taiwan	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Meycauayan	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Tanza	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Tinajeros	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Caloocan	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 08:00	Manila	Philippines	0.1
	30 Sep 2024 02:00	San Vincente	Philippines	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Changchuanba	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Xiaodoumen	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chenyu	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Kanmen	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Lingmen	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Aohuan	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Houzhai	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Shenao	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Nanao	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Sidu	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Ssu-tu	China	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 07:00	Bateng	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 07:00	Alacan	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 07:00	Binmale	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 07:00	Canaoalan	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 07:00	Carael	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 07:00	Dagupan	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 08:00	Cavite	Philippines	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Huanglong	China	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 11:00	Borongan	Philippines	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Ch'eng-ch'ien	Taiwan	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Dituan	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Hanjiang	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chiang-k'ou	China	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 16:00	Balza	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Macalonud	Philippines	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Huanshan	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Guan'ao	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Shih-t'ang	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Zhelin	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Hung-t'on	Taiwan	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Tanza	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Binakayan	Philippines	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chumen	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Lung-men	Taiwan	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 21:00	Pamarauan	Philippines	0.1
	29 Sep 2024 21:00	Punta	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Culaba	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Tabojab	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Caibiran	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	San Vicente	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Silanga	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Pagsanjan	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Capitun-an	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Paet	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Rizal	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Daram	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Bahay	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 10:00	Bagacay	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Guintampilan	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Tatabunan	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	San Andres	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Narombacan	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Igot	Philippines	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 15:00	Taipingzha	China	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 15:00	Feng-p'u-ao	China	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 15:00	Ch'iu-wang	China	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 15:00	Ch'ing-shui-hu	China	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 15:00	Hsieh-fu	China	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 15:00	Wantang	China	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Aotou	China	0.1
	30 Sep 2024 05:00	San Dionisio	Philippines	0.1
	30 Sep 2024 05:00	Banua	Philippines	0.1
	30 Sep 2024 05:00	Rarasi	Philippines	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Yeh-yu	Taiwan	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	I-la-la-la-k'ou	Taiwan	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Songmen	China	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 15:00	Cheng-chia-tai	China	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 15:00	Zhapu	China	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 15:00	Niu-ch'iao-shih	China	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 15:00	Hsing-hsing-chen	China	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 15:00	Chou-chia-peng	China	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 15:00	Chin-ssu-niang-ch'iao	China	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 15:00	Hsin-p'u	China	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 15:00	Zhenhai	China	0.1
	30 Sep 2024 09:00	Daitou	China	0.1
	30 Sep 2024 05:00	Linao	Philippines	0.1
	30 Sep 2024 05:00	Bisagu	Philippines	0.1
	30 Sep 2024 05:00	Aparri	Philippines	0.1
	30 Sep 2024 05:00	Minabul	Philippines	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chung-p'ing	Taiwan	0.1
	01 Oct 2024 06:00	Chiang-chun-ao	Taiwan	0.1
	28 Sep 2024 09:00	Tehero	Philippines	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.