Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for DOLLY-26
Off-shore
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DOLLY-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (28 Aug 19:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 74 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 65 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

74 km/h Current Max.

Up to 530000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 27 Aug 2026 15:00 74 520 thousand No people Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla
Green 2 27 Aug 2026 21:00 74 200 thousand No people Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat
Green 3 28 Aug 2026 03:00 74 530 thousand No people Guadeloupe, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis

Bulletin Timeline

Level N° Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 27 Aug 2026 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.6, -38.7
GREEN
2 27 Aug 2026 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.7, -40.7
GREEN
3 28 Aug 2026 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.8, -42.3
GREEN
3 28 Aug 2026 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.3, -45.7
GREEN
3 29 Aug 2026 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 15.2, -50.2
GREEN
3 29 Aug 2026 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 16, -54.7
GREEN
3 30 Aug 2026 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 530000 people 16.7, -59
GREEN
3 30 Aug 2026 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17, -63
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.