Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for KARINA-26 Off-shore from 27 Aug 2026 21:00 UTC to 28 Aug 2026 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for KARINA-26

Off-shore

28 Aug 2026 15 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KARINA-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	231 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.1 m (28 Aug 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	204 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	231 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

TOP

Wind

204 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher
1	27 Aug 2026 21:00	167	No people	No people
2	28 Aug 2026 03:00	185	No people	No people
3	28 Aug 2026 09:00	204	No people	No people
4	28 Aug 2026 15:00	204	No people	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	27 Aug 2026 21:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	11.1, -111.9
2	28 Aug 2026 03:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	11.9, -112.7
3	28 Aug 2026 09:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	12.7, -114.3
4	28 Aug 2026 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	13.2, -115
4	29 Aug 2026 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	14.1, -116
4	29 Aug 2026 12:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	15.6, -117.8
4	30 Aug 2026 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	16.7, -119.6
4	30 Aug 2026 12:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	17.6, -121.4
4	31 Aug 2026 00:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	18, -123
4	31 Aug 2026 12:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	18.3, -124.7
4	01 Sep 2026 12:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	19.1, -127.8
4	02 Sep 2026 12:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	20.2, -130.4

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

TOP

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

TOP

StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.