Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for MARIE-26
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIE-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 157 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (01 Sep 16:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 148 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 157 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

148 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 01 Sep 2026 09:00 148 No people No people Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Level N° Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 01 Sep 2026 09:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 13.8, -108.9
GREEN
1 01 Sep 2026 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 14.8, -109.9
GREEN
1 02 Sep 2026 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 16, -111.3
GREEN
1 02 Sep 2026 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 17, -112.5
GREEN
1 03 Sep 2026 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 18, -114
GREEN
1 03 Sep 2026 18:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 18.8, -115.5
GREEN
1 04 Sep 2026 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 19.4, -117
GREEN
1 05 Sep 2026 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 20.9, -119.6
GREEN
1 06 Sep 2026 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 22.1, -122.1
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.