Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DUMILE-13
in Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
05 Jan 2013 06 UTC
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  • JRC
Impact Single TC
    Impact based on all weather systems in the area

    Impact

      Tropical Cyclone DUMILE-13 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

      Meteorological source GDACS
      Exposed countries Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
      Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
      Maximum wind speed 204 km/h
      Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (01 Jan 21:00 UTC)
      Vulnerability Medium (Reunion)

      GDACS Score

      GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
      For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
        Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
      Current 93 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
      Overall 204 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

      Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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      Wind

        93 km/h Current Max.

        Up to 750000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

        Impact Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
          Tropical Storm or higher          		 Population in
          Cat 1. or higher          		 Countries
          Green 1 31 Dec 2012 18:00 204 No people No people
          Green 2 01 Jan 2013 06:00 185 No people No people Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          Green 3 01 Jan 2013 18:00 167 No people No people Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          Green 4 02 Jan 2013 06:00 138 No people No people Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          Green 5 02 Jan 2013 18:00 138 No people No people Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          Green 7 03 Jan 2013 18:00 130 No people No people
          Green 8 04 Jan 2013 06:00 130 No people No people
          Green 9 04 Jan 2013 18:00 101 No people No people
          Green 10 05 Jan 2013 06:00 93 No people No people

          Bulletin Timeline

            Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
            (SSHS)             		Max winds
            (km/h)             		Population in
            Cat.1 or higher             		Population in
            Tropical Storm
            or higher             		Location (lat, lon) Countries
            green
            		 1 12/31/2012 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 64 no people no people -11.9, 56.4
            green
            		 1 12/31/2012 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 64 no people no people -11.9, 56.4
            green
            		 2 1/1/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 84 no people no people -12.2, 55.8
            green
            		 3 1/1/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 no people no people -12.4, 55.2
            green
            		 4 1/2/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 101 no people no people -14.9, 55.9
            green
            		 5 1/2/2013 6:00:00 PM Category 1 121 no people 750000 people -17.9, 55 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
            green
            		 7 1/3/2013 6:00:00 PM Category 1 130 no people no people -22.9, 54.1
            green
            		 8 1/4/2013 6:00:00 AM Category 1 130 no people no people -25.4, 54.2
            green
            		 9 1/4/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 101 no people no people -27.7, 55.9
            green
            		 10 1/5/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 93 no people no people -30.9, 58.6
            green
            		 10 1/5/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 74 no people no people -35.7, 63
            **
            Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO
            Actual track of the current bulletin
            The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
            Download:



            Exposed population - AoIs

            Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

            Provinces

            Country Region Province
            Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands Reunion

            Populated places

            Name Region Province Country City class Population
            Saint-Denis Reunion Capital 140000 people

            Critical infrastructure

            Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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            Rainfall

            Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

            ...

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            StormSurge

            0.1 m

            The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Voloina, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 01 Jan 2013 21:00 UTC .

            The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

            Locations affected by Storm surge (25 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 10 of 05 Jan 2013 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 2 minute resolution)

            Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
            01 Jan 2013 21:00 Voloina Madagascar  0.1
            01 Jan 2013 21:00 Manambia Madagascar  0.1
            01 Jan 2013 21:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.1
            01 Jan 2013 21:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.1
            01 Jan 2013 21:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.1
            01 Jan 2013 21:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.1
            01 Jan 2013 21:00 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.1
            01 Jan 2013 21:00 Benjana Madagascar  0.1
            01 Jan 2013 21:00 Rantabe Madagascar  0.1
            01 Jan 2013 21:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.1
            01 Jan 2013 21:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.1
            01 Jan 2013 21:00 Fananehana Madagascar  0.1
            01 Jan 2013 21:00 Antalavia Madagascar  0.1
            03 Jan 2013 07:00 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.1
            03 Jan 2013 08:00 Saint-Paul Reunion  0.1
            03 Jan 2013 08:00 Le Port Reunion  0.1
            03 Jan 2013 08:00 La Possession Reunion  0.1
            03 Jan 2013 08:00 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.1
            03 Jan 2013 08:00 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.1
            03 Jan 2013 08:00 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.1
            03 Jan 2013 09:00 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.1
            03 Jan 2013 09:00 Les Avirons Reunion  0.1
            03 Jan 2013 09:00 Etang Sale Reunion  0.1
            03 Jan 2013 10:00 Saint-Louis Reunion  0.1
            03 Jan 2013 10:00 Saint-Pierre Reunion  0.1