Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for BARBARA-13
in Mexico
30 May 2013 15 UTC
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  • JRC
Impact Single TC
    Impact based on all weather systems in the area

    Impact

      Tropical Cyclone BARBARA-13 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

      Meteorological source GDACS
      Exposed countries Mexico
      Exposed population 250 thousand in Category 1 or higher
      Maximum wind speed 121 km/h
      Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (30 May 02:00 UTC)
      Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

      GDACS Score

      GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
      For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
        Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
      Current 47 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5
      Overall 121 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5

      Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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      Wind

        47 km/h Current Max.

        Up to 1.9 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

        Impact Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
          Tropical Storm or higher          		 Population in
          Cat 1. or higher          		 Countries
          Orange 4 29 May 2013 12:00 121 No people 240 thousand Mexico
          Green 5 29 May 2013 15:00 105 No people No people Mexico
          Green 7 30 May 2013 03:00 84 No people 240 thousand Mexico
          Green 8 30 May 2013 09:00 56 No people 250 thousand
          Green 9 30 May 2013 15:00 47 No people 250 thousand

          Bulletin Timeline

            Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
            (SSHS)             		Max winds
            (km/h)             		Population in
            Cat.1 or higher             		Population in
            Tropical Storm
            or higher             		Location (lat, lon) Countries
            green
            		 1 5/28/2013 9:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.2, -96.5
            green
            		 2 5/29/2013 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.5, -95.7
            green
            		 3 5/29/2013 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 93 no people 29000 people 14.8, -95.6 Mexico
            green
            		 4 5/29/2013 12:00:00 PM Tropical storm 105 no people 530000 people 15.2, -95 Mexico
            green
            		 5 5/29/2013 3:00:00 PM Tropical storm 105 150000 people 1 million people 15.7, -94.6 Mexico
            orange
            		 6 Category 1 121 250000 people 1.3 million people 16.2, -94 Mexico
            green
            		 7 5/30/2013 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 84 no people 1.2 million people 17.1, -93.8 Mexico
            green
            		 8 5/30/2013 9:00:00 AM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.8, -93.9
            green
            		 9 5/30/2013 3:00:00 PM Tropical depression 47 no people no people 18.5, -95 Mexico
            green
            		 9 5/31/2013 Tropical depression 47 no people no people 18.7, -95.5 Mexico
            green
            		 9 5/31/2013 12:00:00 PM Tropical depression 37 no people no people 18.8, -96.2 Mexico
            **
            Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO
            Actual track of the current bulletin
            The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
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            Exposed population - AoIs

            Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

            Provinces

            Country Region Province
            Mexico Oaxaca
            Mexico Tabasco
            Mexico Veracruz
            Mexico Chiapas

            Populated places

            Name Region Province Country City class Population
            Tuxtla Gutiérrez Chiapas Mexico Major city 440000 people
            Tonalá Chiapas Mexico City 32000 people
            Arriaga Chiapas Mexico City 22000 people
            Unión Hidalgo Oaxaca Mexico City 12000 people
            Cintalapa Chiapas Mexico City 33000 people
            Pijijiapan Chiapas Mexico City 15000 people
            Salina Cruz Oaxaca Mexico City 74000 people
            Tehuantepec Oaxaca Mexico City 37000 people
            Juchitan Oaxaca Mexico City 66000 people
            Ciudad Ixtepec Oaxaca Mexico City -

            Critical infrastructure

            Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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            Rainfall

            Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

            ...

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            StormSurge

            0.7 m

            The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in La Majada, Mexico. This height is estimated for 30 May 2013 02:00 UTC .

            The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

            Locations affected by Storm surge (19 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 29 May 2013 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

            Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
            30 May 2013 02:00 La Majada Mexico  0.7
            29 May 2013 23:00 Union Hidalgo Mexico  0.6
            29 May 2013 23:00 Chicapa Mexico  0.6
            30 May 2013 00:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.5
            29 May 2013 22:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.5
            30 May 2013 00:00 El Roble Mexico  0.5
            29 May 2013 21:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.4
            29 May 2013 22:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.4
            30 May 2013 01:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.4
            30 May 2013 02:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.3
            29 May 2013 21:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.3
            29 May 2013 21:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.3
            29 May 2013 20:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
            29 May 2013 23:00 Arista Mexico  0.2
            29 May 2013 23:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
            29 May 2013 20:00 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
            29 May 2013 21:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
            29 May 2013 23:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
            30 May 2013 01:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.1