Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for BEJISA-14
in Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
04 Jan 2014 18 UTC
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  • JRC
Impact Single TC
    Impact based on all weather systems in the area

    Impact

      Tropical Cyclone BEJISA-14 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

      Meteorological source GDACS
      Exposed countries Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
      Exposed population 370 thousand in Category 1 or higher
      Maximum wind speed 212 km/h
      Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (02 Jan 15:00 UTC)
      Vulnerability Medium (Reunion)

      GDACS Score

      GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
      For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
        Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
      Current 84 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
      Overall 212 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 2.5

      Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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      Wind

        84 km/h Current Max.

        Up to 750000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

        Impact Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
          Tropical Storm or higher          		 Population in
          Cat 1. or higher          		 Countries
          Green 1 29 Dec 2013 06:00 121 No people No people
          Green 2 29 Dec 2013 18:00 138 No people No people Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          Red 4 30 Dec 2013 18:00 212 No people 340 thousand Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          Red 5 31 Dec 2013 06:00 212 No people 750 thousand Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          Orange 6 31 Dec 2013 18:00 185 No people 750 thousand Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          Red 7 01 Jan 2014 06:00 195 No people 570 thousand Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          Red 8 01 Jan 2014 18:00 204 No people 100 thousand Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          Red 9 02 Jan 2014 06:00 204 No people 370 thousand Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          Orange 10 02 Jan 2014 18:00 167 No people 370 thousand Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          Green 11 03 Jan 2014 06:00 138 No people 370 thousand Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          Green 13 04 Jan 2014 06:00 84 No people 370 thousand
          Green 14 04 Jan 2014 18:00 84 No people 370 thousand

          Bulletin Timeline

            Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
            (SSHS)             		Max winds
            (km/h)             		Population in
            Cat.1 or higher             		Population in
            Tropical Storm
            or higher             		Location (lat, lon) Countries
            green
            		 1 12/29/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 64 no people no people -10.2, 52.5
            green
            		 2 12/29/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 74 no people no people -10.4, 52.7
            green
            		 2 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -10.4, 52.7
            green
            		 4 Category 2 167 no people no people -12.3, 52.8
            green
            		 4 12/30/2013 6:00:00 PM Category 2 167 no people no people -12.3, 52.8
            green
            		 5 12/31/2013 6:00:00 AM Category 3 195 no people no people -13.3, 53.4
            green
            		 5 Category 3 195 no people no people -13.3, 53.4
            green
            		 6 12/31/2013 6:00:00 PM Category 2 175 no people no people -15.2, 53.5
            green
            		 6 12/31/2013 6:00:00 PM Category 2 175 no people no people -15.2, 53.5
            green
            		 7 1/1/2014 6:00:00 AM Category 2 167 no people no people -17.1, 53.3
            green
            		 8 1/1/2014 6:00:00 PM Category 3 195 no people 750000 people -18.9, 53.6 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
            red
            		 9 1/2/2014 6:00:00 AM Category 3 204 370000 people 750000 people -20.4, 54.3 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
            orange
            		 10 1/2/2014 6:00:00 PM Category 2 167 180000 people 750000 people -21.9, 55.2 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
            green
            		 11 1/3/2014 6:00:00 AM Category 1 138 no people 140000 people -23.1, 55.9 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
            green
            		 13 1/4/2014 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 84 no people no people -25.1, 54.1
            green
            		 14 1/4/2014 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 no people no people -26.5, 52.1
            green
            		 14 1/5/2014 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 74 no people no people -28.7, 49.5
            green
            		 14 1/5/2014 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 64 no people no people -31.8, 46.5
            green
            		 14 1/6/2014 6:00:00 AM Tropical depression 56 no people no people -35, 43.5
            **
            Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO
            Actual track of the current bulletin
            The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
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            Exposed population - AoIs

            Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

            Provinces

            Country Region Province
            Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands Reunion

            Populated places

            Name Region Province Country City class Population
            Saint-Denis Reunion Capital 140000 people

            Critical infrastructure

            Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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            Rainfall

            Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

            ...

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            StormSurge

            0.2 m

            The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Etang Sale, Reunion. This height is estimated for 02 Jan 2014 15:00 UTC .

            The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

            Locations affected by Storm surge (15 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 16 of 05 Jan 2014 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

            Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
            02 Jan 2014 15:00 Etang Sale Reunion  0.2
            02 Jan 2014 13:00 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.2
            02 Jan 2014 14:00 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.2
            02 Jan 2014 15:00 Saint-Louis Reunion  0.2
            02 Jan 2014 16:00 Saint-Pierre Reunion  0.1
            02 Jan 2014 13:00 Saint-Paul Reunion  0.1
            02 Jan 2014 17:00 Saint-Philippe Reunion  0.1
            02 Jan 2014 11:00 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.1
            02 Jan 2014 14:00 Les Avirons Reunion  0.1
            02 Jan 2014 16:00 Petite Ile Reunion  0.1
            02 Jan 2014 10:00 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.1
            02 Jan 2014 16:00 Saint-Joseph Reunion  0.1
            02 Jan 2014 16:00 Sainte-Rose Reunion  0.1
            02 Jan 2014 12:00 Le Port Reunion  0.1
            02 Jan 2014 12:00 La Possession Reunion  0.1