Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MORA-17
in Bangladesh, India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MORA-17 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 60 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (31 May 13:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 60 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 56 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

56 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 31 May 2017 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 May 2017 18:00 120 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 28 May 2017 00:00 116 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 May 2017 06:00 103 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 May 2017 12:00 117 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 May 2017 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 6 29 May 2017 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 29 May 2017 06:00 109 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 29 May 2017 12:00 98 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 May 2017 18:00 100 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 30 May 2017 00:00 100 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 30 May 2017 06:00 64 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 30 May 2017 12:00 56 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 30 May 2017 18:00 55 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 31 May 2017 00:00 56 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 31 May 2017 06:00 60 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 31 May 2017 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 May 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 28 May 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 28 May 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 28 May 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 May 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 29 May 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 29 May 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 29 May 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 29 May 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 30 May 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 30 May 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 30 May 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 30 May 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 31 May 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 31 May 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Ghoshbagh, Bangladesh. This height is estimated for 31 May 2017 13:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 May 2017 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 May 2017 13:30 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 13:30 Lamchhi Prasad Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 13:30 Bamnia Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 13:30 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 13:30 Tulatali Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 13:30 Char Fakura Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 13:30 Char Chandia Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 13:30 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 13:30 Banskhali Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 13:30 Bariakhali Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 14:15 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 14:15 Sandwip Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 14:00 Dhalapara Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 14:00 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 14:00 Barabkunda Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 14:00 Bansbaria Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 14:15 Maitbhanga Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 13:45 Kumira Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 14:00 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 14:00 Hatia Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 14:00 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 14:00 Nalchira Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 14:00 Nayamasti Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 11:45 Sitalpur Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 11:45 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 11:45 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 11:45 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 11:45 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.5
31 May 2017 11:45 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.5
02 Jun 2017 22:30 Dublat India  0.4
31 May 2017 12:00 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  0.3
31 May 2017 12:00 Jahajmara Bangladesh  0.3
31 May 2017 12:00 Sagaria Bangladesh  0.3
31 May 2017 10:45 Gahira Bangladesh  0.3
31 May 2017 10:45 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.3
31 May 2017 10:45 Khankhanabad Bangladesh  0.3
31 May 2017 10:45 Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.3
31 May 2017 10:45 Napura Bangladesh  0.3
31 May 2017 10:30 Ali Akbardeil Bangladesh  0.3
31 May 2017 10:30 Magnama Bangladesh  0.3
31 May 2017 10:30 Bethua Bangladesh  0.3
02 Jun 2017 14:30 Damathat Myanmar  0.3
02 Jun 2017 14:30 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.3
02 Jun 2017 14:30 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.3
02 Jun 2017 14:30 Zokali Myanmar  0.3
02 Jun 2017 14:30 Taungxun Myanmar  0.3
02 Jun 2017 14:30 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.3
02 Jun 2017 14:15 Budin Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:15 Kadaik Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:15 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:15 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:15 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:30 Mahameik Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:00 Darein Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:00 Khindan Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:00 Paung Myanmar  0.2
31 May 2017 14:45 Bijavbati India  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:00 Munaing Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:00 Tagukana Myanmar  0.2
31 May 2017 10:30 Dhalghata Bangladesh  0.2
31 May 2017 10:15 Amavasyakhali Bangladesh  0.2
31 May 2017 10:15 Kalarmarchara Bangladesh  0.2
31 May 2017 10:15 Uttar Nalbila Bangladesh  0.2
02 Jun 2017 14:30 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.2
31 May 2017 10:00 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.2
02 Jun 2017 13:30 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 10:15 Rasalpur India  0.2
02 Jun 2017 10:45 Chandipur India  0.2
31 May 2017 09:15 Silkhali Bangladesh  0.2
31 May 2017 09:15 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.2
31 May 2017 09:15 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  0.2
31 May 2017 09:15 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.2
31 May 2017 09:15 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.2
31 May 2017 09:15 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.2
31 May 2017 09:15 Sabaigon Myanmar  0.2
31 May 2017 09:15 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.2
31 May 2017 09:15 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.2
31 May 2017 09:15 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.2
02 Jun 2017 13:30 Kyaikkami Myanmar  0.2
31 May 2017 14:30 Coxs Bazar Bangladesh  0.2
31 May 2017 14:30 Saflapur Bangladesh  0.2
31 May 2017 14:30 Dineshpur Bangladesh  0.2
31 May 2017 14:30 Kelatali Bangladesh  0.2
31 May 2017 14:30 Khurushkul Bangladesh  0.2
02 Jun 2017 22:45 Kyatchaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 22:45 Yedwindaung Ywa Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 22:45 Sidongyaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 22:45 Wadawchaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 22:45 Kanmaw Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 22:45 Bemagyauk Ywa Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 14:15 Pechardwip Bangladesh  0.1
31 May 2017 14:15 Jaliapalong Bangladesh  0.1
31 May 2017 14:15 Dhoapalong Bangladesh  0.1
03 Jun 2017 02:00 Medaw Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 02:00 Tawbya Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 02:00 Thedangyi Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 02:00 Leiktaung Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 02:00 Awebindat Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 13:30 Kayindaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 09:00 Kabingyaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 09:00 Mayanchaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 09:00 Mergui Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 09:00 Kanbyin Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 02:00 Yengangyi Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 14:00 Inani Bangladesh  0.1
03 Jun 2017 02:00 Thechaung Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 02:00 Mawgaungdon Ywa Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 14:00 Monakhali Bangladesh  0.1
31 May 2017 09:30 Kadonkani Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 09:30 Yegyawgyi Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 09:30 Ama Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 09:30 Tawbaing Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 08:45 Kyaukpya Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 08:45 Kye Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 11:45 Kakinada India  0.1
02 Jun 2017 13:00 Wagaru Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 13:00 Wegalaung Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 13:00 Karokpi Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 13:45 Jaliapara Bangladesh  0.1
31 May 2017 13:45 Zawmadat Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 13:45 Anauk Myinhlut Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 13:45 Kyaukpandu Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 13:45 Hparabyin Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 13:45 Thawinchaung Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 13:45 Atet Kyaungdaung Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 14:30 Sandawshin Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 14:30 Myaukpyin Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 14:30 Kyaukmaung Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 14:30 Ponnagyi Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 14:30 Gwedaukchaung Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 06:30 Amaw Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 06:30 Hpanchaung Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 06:30 Gyibyin Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 06:30 Temauk Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 06:30 Shwehle Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 14:30 Chaunggya Myanmar  0.1
02 Jun 2017 22:45 Sakanthit Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 14:15 Peikseik Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 07:45 Kyaukiwe Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 07:45 Kokkabyin Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 07:45 Thabyichaung Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 07:45 Nga Thamok Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 07:45 Kyaungbyin-ok Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 07:45 Magyi-ywa Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 13:30 Magyigyaing Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 13:30 Thetkethaung Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 13:30 Saluzeik Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 13:30 Thingangyi Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 13:30 Okkan Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 13:30 Pyinkayaing Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 13:30 Wagon Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 13:30 Ledaung Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 13:30 Chaunggwa Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 13:30 Payahla Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 13:30 Seikkyi Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 13:45 Chaungtaungbe Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 13:45 Zibyugyaung Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 14:00 Tumbru Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 14:00 Whaikhyang Bangladesh  0.1
03 Jun 2017 01:15 Tanzon Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 01:15 Kabyachaung Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 14:15 Khamaungdwe Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 14:30 Tandin Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 13:30 Thingangon Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 17:00 Ban Bang Pu Kao Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 17:00 Ban Tambon Khlon Dan Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 17:00 Ban Pak Khlong Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 17:00 Ban Hua Khao Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 17:00 Anghila Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 17:00 Ban Rong Khoei Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 16:15 Ban Map Lat Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 16:15 Samut Songkhram Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 16:15 Ban Bang Bo Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 16:15 Ban Rong Kung Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 16:15 Ban Bang Khut Thailand  0.1
31 May 2017 16:15 Samut Sakhon Thailand  0.1
02 Jun 2017 12:45 Anin Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 01:15 Taung-pi Ywa Myanmar  0.1
03 Jun 2017 01:15 Kalonga Ywa Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 16:15 Satabhaya India  0.1
02 Jun 2017 09:00 Yemyitkyi Myanmar  0.1
31 May 2017 17:00 Ban Si Racha Thailand  0.1

Calculation folder at this link