Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen
12 Oct 2018 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Oman, Yemen,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 127 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (14 Oct 02:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 127 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 118 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormOman, Yemen162,109
+
Oman01 
Yemen161,977 
Other countries131 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 188 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 172 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 186 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 165 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 142 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 147 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 139 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 135 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 127 -
- - - - - Oman, Yemen, Other countries
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 160 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Qishn, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 02:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Qishn Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 18:30 Kambhat India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 18:30 Kavi India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 18:30 Sarod India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 18:30 Wadgam India  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Boho Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:15 Tabut Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:15 Hayrut Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:15 Nishtun Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Bargaal Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Itab Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 03:00 Djibouti Djibouti  0.2
15 Oct 2018 03:00 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Saqr Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Hundegal Somalia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 03:00 Takhushih Somalia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 03:00 Saylac Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:15 Laasqoray Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Haswayn Yemen  0.2
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.2
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Harag Jid Somalia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Obock Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:15 Asarsa India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:15 Harinagar India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Geeri Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 11:30 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 11:30 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 11:30 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 11:30 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:30 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 03:15 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 03:15 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Murad Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:00 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:00 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:00 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:00 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:45 Dahej India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:45 Tankari India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:45 Muler India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 'Imran Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Anteral Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Berbera Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Sharkhat Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:45 Qashlu Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:45 Qadub Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:45 Hadiboh Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:45 Lakabi Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:45 Qaysad Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Jilah Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Tamnum Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:15 Cadayo Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Maallah Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Sarar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Raida Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Hasana Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Musaina'a Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:00 Ghogha India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Alela Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 'Adan Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Seyara Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:15 Mach Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Balhaf Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 03:00 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:45 Marero Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:45 Bacaad Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:45 Aantaara Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Qusayir Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:15 Ascira Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Dhafghan Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Hais Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Maydh Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 As Sufal Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Botiala Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Hami Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Bir Ali Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 03:15 Quddam Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:00 Buro Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Zulumah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Al Irqah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Burum Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Eyl Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Ash Shihr Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Khird Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Fuwwah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Al Hawrah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Al Mukalla Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Al Juwaibiyat Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Al-Raiyan Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Hisn Bal'id Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Mabrak Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Al Haibala Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 05:30 Lakba Oman  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:00 Shaikh Ahmad Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:00 Al Hanad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Bi'r Qa'ati Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Al 'Aws Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Qandala Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Shaqra Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 11:15 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Muqaibirah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Duqm Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Al Mukha Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:45 Caluula Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Boosaaso Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1