Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Oman,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (13 Oct 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 176 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 118 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormOman34,157
+
Oman34,141 
Other countries16 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 188 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 172 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 186 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 176 -
- - - - - Oman, Other countries
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 30 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Sawqirah, Oman. This height is estimated for 13 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.3
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Lakabi Oman  0.3
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Qaysad Oman  0.3
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Lakba Oman  0.3
12 Oct 2018 18:30 Kambhat India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:30 Kavi India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:30 Sarod India  0.2
10 Oct 2018 01:00 Boho Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 01:00 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 01:00 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:30 Wadgam India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 23:45 Fararah Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Miji Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Hasik Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:00 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:00 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:00 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:00 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Sadh Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 02:15 Marero Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 02:15 Bacaad Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 02:15 Aantaara Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 12:45 Qishn Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Marbat Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 02:45 Tabut Yemen  0.2
10 Oct 2018 02:45 Hayrut Yemen  0.2
10 Oct 2018 02:45 Nishtun Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 07:00 Umm Said Qatar  0.2
10 Oct 2018 05:15 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:15 Hundegal Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.2
10 Oct 2018 19:15 Dahej India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 16:15 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Taqah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 20:45 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Saylac Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Loyado Djibouti  0.1
10 Oct 2018 02:30 Bargaal Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
11 Oct 2018 06:45 Al Wakrah Qatar  0.1
12 Oct 2018 21:45 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
10 Oct 2018 01:15 Ascira Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
10 Oct 2018 10:30 'Ag Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 08:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 08:00 Duqm Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Tarif United Arab Emirates  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Buro Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Ra's Munaysif Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Al Aziziyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Al Khubar Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 01:30 Qadub Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 01:30 Hadiboh Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Obock Djibouti  0.1
10 Oct 2018 07:45 Cal Marthal Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 07:45 Dauli Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 00:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:15 Asarsa India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:15 Harinagar India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 22:30 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 22:30 Filim Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:45 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:45 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:00 Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:00 As Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Murad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 03:30 Nafun Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Salalah Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Al Kathir Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Sudh Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Geeri Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:30 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 01:30 Mahuva India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 01:30 Kotada India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:30 Umm Bab Qatar  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:15 Tankari India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:15 Muler India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 'Imran Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:30 Qasasil Qatar  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:15 Ghogha India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 22:15 Qashlu Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 13:45 Cadayo Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Alela Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:30 Dukhan Qatar  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:45 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:45 Eyl Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:45 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Berbera Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Araft Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Al Qurayyah Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Badi Jamrah Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Al Uqayr Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Bhagva India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Damka India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Olpad India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Maallah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 'Adan Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:45 Az Zallaq Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 00:00 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Ar Rumaythah Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Ad Dur Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Jaww Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Mughsayl Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Anteral Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Quddam Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Seyara Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:30 Shaqra Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 03:00 As Sirab Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:15 Markaz ash Shurtah Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Maydh Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:00 Zahr United Arab Emirates  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:00 Dasah United Arab Emirates  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:00 Ar Ruways United Arab Emirates  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Shaikh Ahmad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Al Hanad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Al Mabrak Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:00 Botiala Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 13:30 Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Hais Somalia  0.1