Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MATMO-19/BULBUL-19
in Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Thailand, Cambodia, Laos, Viet Nam
29 Oct 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MATMO-19/BULBUL-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (06 Nov 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 58 km/h 0.3 m 145 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 97 km/h 1.5 m 406 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

97 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Oct 2019 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 1 06 Nov 2019 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmBurma721,141 
50-100 mmBhutan, Burma, Thailand, India3,490,528
+
Bhutan106 
Burma3,477,401 
Thailand3,316 
India9,705 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Oct 2019 00:00 526 720 thousand
- - - - Bhutan, Burma, Thailand, India
Blue 1 06 Nov 2019 00:00 526 720 thousand
- - - - Bhutan, Burma, Thailand, India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Kakinada, India. This height is estimated for 06 Nov 2019 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Nov 2019 08:00 Kakinada India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 06:15 Karen India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 11:45 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.2
06 Nov 2019 11:45 Mahameik Myanmar  0.2
06 Nov 2019 09:00 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.2
06 Nov 2019 09:00 Alanbya Myanmar  0.2
06 Nov 2019 09:00 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.2
06 Nov 2019 09:00 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.2
06 Nov 2019 09:00 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.2
06 Nov 2019 09:00 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.2
06 Nov 2019 09:00 Kawbein Myanmar  0.2
06 Nov 2019 04:15 Ilichar India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:45 Akechaungwa Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:45 Ase Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:45 Tawgyaik Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:45 Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:45 Damathat Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:45 Vishakhapatnam India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:45 Chittivalasa India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:45 Bhimunipatnam India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:45 Konada India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:45 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:45 Zokali Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:45 Taungxun Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:15 Amaw Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:15 Hpanchaung Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:15 Gyibyin Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:15 Temauk Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:00 Shwehle Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 04:30 Nuralrevu India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 04:30 Gopalpur India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:30 Kadonkani Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:30 Yegyawgyi Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:30 Ama Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:30 Pyapon Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:30 Apaung Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:15 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:15 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:15 Budin Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:15 Kadaik Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:15 Donwun Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:15 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:45 Arainj-laka-punga India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:45 Kartara India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:30 Saluzeik Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:30 Thingangyi Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:30 Seikkyi Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:30 Thingangon Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:30 Kyauktazi Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:30 Palalankwe India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 11:00 Koyyam India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 11:00 Dharmavaram India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:30 Chauklangwe Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:30 Dodan Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:30 Kabaingchaung Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:30 Pyindaung Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:30 Mawhun Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:30 Awabyin Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:45 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:15 Khindan Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:15 Darein Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:15 Munaing Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:15 Tagukana Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:15 Kawpamagon Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:15 Paung Myanmar  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:15 Htawa Myanmar  0.1