Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MATMO-19/BULBUL-19
in Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Thailand, Cambodia, Laos, Viet Nam
30 Oct 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MATMO-19/BULBUL-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Bangladesh, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.5 m (10 Nov 03:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 83 km/h 0.5 m 337 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 97 km/h 1.5 m 406 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

97 km/h

Up to 1.7 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormBangladesh, India1,660,754
+
Bangladesh1,363,961 
India296,793 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Oct 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 1 06 Nov 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Oct 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Nov 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Nov 2019 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Oct 2019 12:00 115 -
- - - - - Bangladesh, India
GREEN 4 07 Nov 2019 12:00 115 -
- - - - - Bangladesh, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmBangladesh, India3,408,741
+
India293,249 
Bangladesh3,115,492 
100-250 mmBangladesh, India102,064,582
+
India37,693,354 
Bangladesh64,371,228 
50-100 mmBurma, India, Bangladesh60,576,032
+
Burma677,018 
India17,126,147 
Bangladesh42,772,867 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Oct 2019 00:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 1 06 Nov 2019 00:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 29 Oct 2019 12:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Nov 2019 12:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Nov 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Oct 2019 12:00 417 105.5 million
- - - Burma, India, Bangladesh
Blue 4 07 Nov 2019 12:00 417 105.5 million
- - - Burma, India, Bangladesh




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

1.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.5m in Bara Pata, Bangladesh. This height is estimated for 10 Nov 2019 03:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Nov 2019 03:30 Bara Pata Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:30 Dakshin Char Fasson Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:30 Char Pyarimohan Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:30 Char Annadaprasad Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:30 Chandpur Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:30 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:30 Kanchanpur Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:30 Rabipur Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:30 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:30 Char Krishnaprasad Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:30 Char Manpura Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 23:00 Kalipur Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 23:00 Bara Patharghata Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 23:00 Jnanpara Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 23:00 Chhota Nishanbaria Chak Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 23:00 Dhalua Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 23:00 Bara Bagi Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 23:00 Chhota Bagi Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 23:00 Mahipur Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 23:00 Chandkhali Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 23:00 Burir Char Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 23:00 Kachupatra Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 23:00 Arpangasia Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 23:00 Bara Baliatali Bangladesh  1.5
09 Nov 2019 23:00 Kalapara Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Bamnia Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Charparbati Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Tulatali Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Char Fakura Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Char Chandia Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Bara Ahmadpur Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Banskhali Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Bariakhali Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Dhalapara Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Barabkunda Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Bansbaria Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Sandwip Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Chandhuri Hat Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Hatia Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Nalchira Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Kumira Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Nayamasti Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 01:45 Jahajmara Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 01:45 Maijchara Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 01:45 Sagaria Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Dakhin Patenga Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Gahira Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Kalapul Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Khankhanabad Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Anowara Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Noapara Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Char Chandra Prasad Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Char Kali Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Pangasia Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Harni Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Goal Bhaor Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Char Medua Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:00 South Dighaldi Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Kalupura Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Char Munsi Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Hazari Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Hazipur Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Jagannathpur Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Char Lawrence Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:00 Char Falcon Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Sakusia Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Char Kadira Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Char Algi Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Baga Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Char Gazi Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Miar Hat Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Char Ramiz Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Char Bedama Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 12:00 Char Ishwar Ray Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Ali Akbardeil Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Magnama Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Napura Bangladesh  0.4
08 Nov 2019 21:30 Rasalpur India  0.4
08 Nov 2019 21:30 Chandipur India  0.4
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Uttar Nalbila Bangladesh  0.4
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.4
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Alanbya Myanmar  0.4
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.4
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.4
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.4
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.4
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Kawbein Myanmar  0.4
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Dhalghata Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Kalarmarchara Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Saflapur Bangladesh  0.4
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Damathat Myanmar  0.4
07 Nov 2019 14:45 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.3
07 Nov 2019 14:45 Zokali Myanmar  0.3
07 Nov 2019 14:45 Taungxun Myanmar  0.3
10 Nov 2019 06:15 Amavasyakhali Bangladesh  0.3
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.3
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Coxs Bazar Bangladesh  0.3
07 Nov 2019 15:15 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.3
07 Nov 2019 15:15 Budin Myanmar  0.3
07 Nov 2019 15:15 Kadaik Myanmar  0.3
07 Nov 2019 15:15 Donwun Myanmar  0.3
07 Nov 2019 15:30 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.3
07 Nov 2019 15:45 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.3
08 Nov 2019 19:30 Hukitala India  0.3
08 Nov 2019 19:30 Satabhaya India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 15:30 Mahameik Myanmar  0.3
07 Nov 2019 15:30 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.3
07 Nov 2019 15:30 Khindan Myanmar  0.3
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 15:00 Darein Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 15:00 Paung Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 17:15 Saluzeik Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 17:15 Thingangyi Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 17:15 Seikkyi Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 17:15 Thingangon Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 17:15 Kyauktazi Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Kelatali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Khurushkul Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Fasiakhali Bangladesh  0.2
07 Nov 2019 18:45 Pyapon Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 18:45 Apaung Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 18:45 Akechaungwa Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 18:45 Ase Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 19:15 Tawgyaik Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 19:15 Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Munaing Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Tagukana Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 14:30 Kawpamagon Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 17:45 Nuliasahi India  0.2
08 Nov 2019 17:45 Nuagan India  0.2
09 Nov 2019 12:00 Chetpauk Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Pechardwip Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Jaliapalong Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Dhoapalong Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Inani Bangladesh  0.2
07 Nov 2019 19:30 Kadonkani Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 19:30 Yegyawgyi Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 19:30 Ama Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Monakhali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Silkhali Bangladesh  0.2
07 Nov 2019 18:00 Dawnvein Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 21:30 Pyinkayaing Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 21:30 Wagon Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 21:30 Ledaung Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 21:30 Chaunggwa Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 21:30 Magyigyaing Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 21:30 Thetkethaung Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 21:30 Okkan Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 08:30 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 08:30 Whaikhyang Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 08:30 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 08:30 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 08:30 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 08:30 Kyunbouk Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 08:30 Sabaigon Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 08:30 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 08:30 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 01:00 Tumbru Myanmar  0.2
07 Nov 2019 20:45 Zibyugyaung Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 13:30 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 13:15 Geonkhali India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 13:15 Nurpur India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 13:15 Diamond Harbor India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 21:30 Alandaing Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 21:30 Hseikma Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Jaliapara Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Zawmadat Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 15:30 Naupada India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 15:30 Ammalapadu India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 13:45 Kyaikkami Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 12:30 Kakinada India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 15:15 Bhimunipatnam India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 15:15 Konada India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 16:30 Konarak India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 13:45 Kayindaung Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 15:45 Nuralrevu India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 15:45 Gopalpur India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 15:45 Chatrapur India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 15:45 Canjam India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 20:00 Anin Myanmar  0.1
07 Nov 2019 20:00 Thinbawzeik Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 02:00 Barisal Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 02:00 Aicha Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 02:00 At Hazar Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 02:00 Bisarad Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 02:00 Bisarikati Charkhanda Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 02:00 Bageswari Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 02:00 Mahisha Gagaria Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 02:00 Chandkati Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 02:00 Bazemahal Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Anauk Myinhlut Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Kyaukpandu Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Thawinchaung Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Atet Kyaungdaung Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Donbaik Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Rathedaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 00:15 Balighai India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 08:30 Vishakhapatnam India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 08:30 Chittivalasa India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 13:15 Paluru India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 13:15 Malud India  0.1