Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MATMO-19/BULBUL-19
in Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Thailand, Cambodia, Laos, Viet Nam
09 Nov 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MATMO-19/BULBUL-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Bangladesh, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.5 m (10 Nov 03:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 97 km/h 1.5 m 202 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 97 km/h 1.5 m 406 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

97 km/h

Up to 2.6 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormBangladesh, India2,589,296
+
Bangladesh712,954 
India1,876,342 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Oct 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 1 06 Nov 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Oct 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Nov 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Nov 2019 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 30 Oct 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Nov 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 Nov 2019 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Nov 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 09 Nov 2019 00:00 101 -
- - - - - Bangladesh, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmBangladesh, India3,558,400
+
India3,006,604 
Bangladesh551,796 
100-250 mmBangladesh, India60,991,217
+
India24,373,938 
Bangladesh36,617,279 
50-100 mmBhutan, Burma, India, China, Bangladesh74,441,674
+
Bhutan11 
Burma1,613,477 
India23,772,399 
China1,733 
Bangladesh49,054,054 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Oct 2019 00:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 1 06 Nov 2019 00:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 29 Oct 2019 12:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Nov 2019 12:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Nov 2019 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 30 Oct 2019 12:00 182 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Nov 2019 12:00 182 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 08 Nov 2019 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Nov 2019 12:00 232 -
- - - - - India
Blue 7 09 Nov 2019 00:00 359 64.5 million
- - - Bhutan, Burma, India, China, Bangladesh




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

1.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.5m in Kalipur, Bangladesh. This height is estimated for 10 Nov 2019 03:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Nov 2019 03:45 Kalipur Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:45 Bara Patharghata Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:45 Jnanpara Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:45 Chhota Nishanbaria Chak Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:45 Dhalua Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:45 Bara Bagi Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:45 Chhota Bagi Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:45 Mahipur Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:45 Chandkhali Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:45 Burir Char Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:45 Kachupatra Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:45 Arpangasia Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:45 Bara Baliatali Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 03:45 Kalapara Bangladesh  1.5
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Bara Pata Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Dakshin Char Fasson Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Char Pyarimohan Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Char Annadaprasad Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Chandpur Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Kanchanpur Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Rabipur Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Char Krishnaprasad Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Char Manpura Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 12:15 Bamnia Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 12:15 Charparbati Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 12:15 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 12:15 Tulatali Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 12:15 Char Fakura Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 12:15 Char Chandia Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 12:15 Bara Ahmadpur Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 12:15 Banskhali Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 12:15 Bariakhali Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 12:15 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 12:15 Dhalapara Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 12:15 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 12:30 Barabkunda Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 12:30 Bansbaria Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 12:15 Sandwip Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 11:45 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  1.1
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Chandhuri Hat Bangladesh  1.0
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Hatia Bangladesh  1.0
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  1.0
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Nalchira Bangladesh  1.0
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  1.0
10 Nov 2019 11:30 Nayamasti Bangladesh  1.0
10 Nov 2019 12:30 Kumira Bangladesh  1.0
10 Nov 2019 04:15 Jahajmara Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 04:15 Maijchara Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 04:15 Sagaria Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:00 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:00 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:00 Dakhin Patenga Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:00 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:00 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:00 Gahira Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:00 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:00 Kalapul Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:00 Khankhanabad Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:00 Anowara Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 09:00 Noapara Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 15:30 Char Chandra Prasad Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 15:30 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 15:30 Char Kali Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 15:30 Pangasia Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 15:30 Harni Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 15:30 Goal Bhaor Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 15:30 Char Medua Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 15:30 South Dighaldi Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 15:30 Kalupura Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 15:30 Char Munsi Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 15:30 Hazari Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 15:30 Hazipur Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 15:30 Jagannathpur Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 15:30 Char Lawrence Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 15:30 Char Falcon Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 17:15 Char Algi Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 17:15 Char Gazi Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 17:15 Char Ramiz Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 17:15 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 17:15 Char Ishwar Ray Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 17:15 Char Bedama Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 15:30 Sakusia Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 15:30 Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 15:30 Char Kadira Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 16:45 Baga Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 16:45 Miar Hat Bangladesh  0.6
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Ali Akbardeil Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Magnama Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Napura Bangladesh  0.5
09 Nov 2019 06:00 Rasalpur India  0.5
09 Nov 2019 06:00 Chandipur India  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Uttar Nalbila Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Dhalghata Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Kalarmarchara Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Saflapur Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Amavasyakhali Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.3
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Coxs Bazar Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 00:45 Hukitala India  0.3
09 Nov 2019 01:00 Satabhaya India  0.3
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Kelatali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Khurushkul Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Fasiakhali Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 02:00 Nuliasahi India  0.2
09 Nov 2019 18:30 Geonkhali India  0.2
09 Nov 2019 18:30 Nurpur India  0.2
09 Nov 2019 18:30 Diamond Harbor India  0.2
10 Nov 2019 20:15 Monakhali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 20:15 Silkhali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 20:15 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 20:15 Whaikhyang Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 20:15 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 20:15 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 20:15 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 20:15 Kyunbouk Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 20:15 Sabaigon Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 20:15 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 20:15 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 01:30 Nuagan India  0.2
09 Nov 2019 11:30 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 11:30 Alanbya Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 11:30 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 11:30 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 11:30 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 11:30 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 11:30 Kawbein Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Pechardwip Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Jaliapalong Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Dhoapalong Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 06:30 Inani Bangladesh  0.2
09 Nov 2019 11:45 Chetpauk Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 11:45 Damathat Myanmar  0.2
09 Nov 2019 02:30 Konarak India  0.2
09 Nov 2019 11:45 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 11:45 Zokali Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 11:45 Taungxun Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 19:00 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 19:00 Jaliapara Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 19:00 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 19:00 Zawmadat Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Tumbru Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 03:00 Puri India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 03:00 Balighai India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:00 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 05:15 Kakinada India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:00 Mahameik Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:45 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:45 Budin Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:45 Kadaik Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:45 Donwun Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:30 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:30 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:30 Khindan Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 05:15 Pyapon Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 05:15 Apaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 05:15 Akechaungwa Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 05:15 Ase Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 09:45 Darein Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 09:45 Paung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 06:00 Tawgyaik Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 02:45 Canjam India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 02:45 Paluru India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 02:45 Malud India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 05:45 Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:45 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 03:00 Baruva India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 07:15 Ponnagyi Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 07:15 Chaunggya Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 07:15 Peikseik Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 07:15 Phapholting Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 06:30 Amaw Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 06:30 Hpanchaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 06:30 Gyibyin Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 06:30 Temauk Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 19:00 Anauk Myinhlut Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 19:00 Kyaukpandu Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 19:00 Thawinchaung Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 19:00 Atet Kyaungdaung Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 19:00 Donbaik Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 19:00 Rathedaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 07:00 Myaukpyin Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 07:00 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 07:00 Kyaukmaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 07:00 Gwedaukchaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 09:45 Munaing Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 09:45 Tagukana Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 09:45 Kawpamagon Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 05:00 Nuralrevu India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 05:00 Gopalpur India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 07:30 Tandin Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 06:30 Shwehle Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 07:30 Khamaungdwe Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 04:00 Konada India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 04:00 Koyyam India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 04:00 Dharmavaram India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 06:30 Kudaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 01:00 Panasapada India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 00:00 Kyaukpyinseik Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 00:00 Sandawshin Myanmar  0.1