Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MANGGA-20
in Australia, Cocos (Keeling) Islands

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MANGGA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Cocos (Keeling) Islands, Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (22 May 13:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 76 km/h 0.5 m 272 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 119 km/h 0.0 m 527 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

119 km/h

Up to 10 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 May 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormCocos (Keeling) Islands, Australia11,258
+
Cocos (Keeling) Islands289 
Australia10,969 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 21 May 2020 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 21 May 2020 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 May 2020 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 22 May 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 22 May 2020 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 22 May 2020 12:00 137 -
- - - - - Cocos (Keeling) Islands, Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 May 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmAustralia99 
50-100 mmAustralia495 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 21 May 2020 06:00 194 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 21 May 2020 12:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 May 2020 18:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 22 May 2020 00:00 142 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 22 May 2020 06:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 22 May 2020 12:00 476 Few people
- - - - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Miro, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 22 May 2020 13:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 May 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 May 2020 13:15 Miro Indonesia  0.5
22 May 2020 13:15 Arongsantek Indonesia  0.5
22 May 2020 13:15 Pekat Indonesia  0.5
22 May 2020 13:15 Utan Indonesia  0.5
22 May 2020 13:15 Pato Pedoe Indonesia  0.5
22 May 2020 13:15 Sumbawa Besar Indonesia  0.5
22 May 2020 13:00 Idjok Indonesia  0.5
22 May 2020 13:00 Laboean Mapin Indonesia  0.4
22 May 2020 13:00 Alas Indonesia  0.4
22 May 2020 13:00 Pernang Indonesia  0.4
22 May 2020 16:30 Kalbarri Australia  0.4
22 May 2020 13:00 Lepeloang Indonesia  0.4
22 May 2020 13:00 Lombok Indonesia  0.4
22 May 2020 13:00 Sembelie Indonesia  0.4
22 May 2020 13:00 Soengian Indonesia  0.4
22 May 2020 13:00 Desa Anjar Indonesia  0.4
22 May 2020 13:00 Bayan Indonesia  0.4
22 May 2020 13:15 Pringgabaja Indonesia  0.4
22 May 2020 13:15 Salangan Indonesia  0.4
22 May 2020 13:00 Soeroengdjoekoeng Indonesia  0.3
22 May 2020 13:00 Mangsit Indonesia  0.3
22 May 2020 13:00 Pamenang Indonesia  0.3
22 May 2020 13:00 Tandjung Indonesia  0.3
22 May 2020 13:15 Djoelah Indonesia  0.3
22 May 2020 13:15 Tejakula Indonesia  0.3
22 May 2020 13:15 Tedjakula Indonesia  0.3
22 May 2020 13:15 Gretek Indonesia  0.3
22 May 2020 13:15 Tianjar Indonesia  0.3
22 May 2020 13:00 Labuhanpon Indonesia  0.3
22 May 2020 13:00 Blongas Indonesia  0.3
22 May 2020 13:00 Lembar Indonesia  0.3
22 May 2020 13:00 Tandjoengkarang Indonesia  0.3
22 May 2020 13:00 Geroeng Indonesia  0.3
22 May 2020 13:15 Kubu Indonesia  0.3
22 May 2020 13:15 Tjulik Indonesia  0.3
22 May 2020 13:15 Karangasem Indonesia  0.3
22 May 2020 13:15 Tenganan Indonesia  0.3
22 May 2020 13:15 Amlapura Indonesia  0.3
22 May 2020 13:15 Manggis Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 13:15 Batoemoenggoel Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 17:45 Carnarvon Australia  0.2
22 May 2020 16:45 East Lewis I Australia  0.2
22 May 2020 16:45 Dampier Australia  0.2
22 May 2020 13:15 Lungkung Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 13:15 Lembongan Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 13:15 Tojapakeh Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 13:15 Batoemadeg Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 13:15 Tanglad Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 17:00 Rinca Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 17:00 Mboera Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 17:00 Labuhanbadjo Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 17:00 Badjo Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 17:00 Nggorang Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 16:30 Mintaoe Nae Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 16:30 Oi Sengari Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 16:45 Wara Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 16:45 Toronaroe Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 16:45 Bontoh Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 16:45 Sowa Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 17:00 Lenteng Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 17:00 Lo'o Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 16:45 Kampoeng Maladjoe Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 16:45 Sanggar Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 16:45 Komodo Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 17:45 Onslow Australia  0.2
22 May 2020 16:30 Tamala Australia  0.2
22 May 2020 13:45 Point Samson Australia  0.2
22 May 2020 13:45 Cossack Australia  0.2
22 May 2020 16:45 Sape Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 16:45 Badjo Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 13:15 Kencong Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 13:15 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 17:00 Warroora Australia  0.2
22 May 2020 13:15 Pardoo Australia  0.2
22 May 2020 16:45 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.2
22 May 2020 13:15 Wickham Australia  0.2
22 May 2020 16:45 Carrarang Australia  0.2
22 May 2020 17:45 Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 17:45 Dadapan Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 17:45 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 17:45 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 17:45 Soega Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 17:45 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 17:45 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 17:45 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 17:45 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 18:00 Mardie Australia  0.2
22 May 2020 17:00 Quobba Australia  0.2
22 May 2020 13:00 Labih Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 13:00 Bandjarangkan Indonesia  0.2
22 May 2020 16:30 Dirk Hartog Australia  0.2
22 May 2020 14:30 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
22 May 2020 14:30 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
22 May 2020 13:45 Port Hedland Australia  0.1
22 May 2020 13:45 Wedgefield Australia  0.1
22 May 2020 13:15 Condon Australia  0.1
22 May 2020 17:15 Glenroy Australia  0.1
22 May 2020 13:15 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.1
22 May 2020 13:00 Sukawati Indonesia  0.1
22 May 2020 16:45 Gnaraloo Australia  0.1
22 May 2020 15:00 Karratha Australia  0.1
22 May 2020 14:00 Useless Loop Australia  0.1
22 May 2020 14:00 Denham Australia  0.1
22 May 2020 13:00 Kuta Indonesia  0.1
22 May 2020 13:00 Djimbaran Indonesia  0.1
22 May 2020 13:00 Boealoe Indonesia  0.1
22 May 2020 13:00 Benua Indonesia  0.1
22 May 2020 13:00 Denpasar Indonesia  0.1
22 May 2020 16:30 Cardabia Australia  0.1
22 May 2020 18:00 Djareweh Indonesia  0.1
22 May 2020 16:45 Ah Chong I Australia  0.1
22 May 2020 14:15 Cupel Indonesia  0.1
22 May 2020 14:15 Prancak Indonesia  0.1