Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MANGGA-20
in Australia, Cocos (Keeling) Islands
21 May 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MANGGA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Cocos (Keeling) Islands, Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (21 May 17:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 86 km/h 0.6 m 74 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 119 km/h 0.0 m 527 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

119 km/h

Up to 10 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 May 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormCocos (Keeling) Islands, Australia10,410
+
Cocos (Keeling) Islands596 
Australia9,814 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 21 May 2020 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 21 May 2020 12:00 144 -
- - - - - Cocos (Keeling) Islands, Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 May 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmAustralia265 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 21 May 2020 06:00 194 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 21 May 2020 12:00 297 -
- - - - - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Kalbarri, Australia. This height is estimated for 21 May 2020 17:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 May 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 May 2020 17:45 Kalbarri Australia  0.6
21 May 2020 12:15 Pardoo Australia  0.4
21 May 2020 17:15 Tamala Australia  0.4
21 May 2020 18:00 Carnarvon Australia  0.4
21 May 2020 17:15 Carrarang Australia  0.3
21 May 2020 14:45 Port Hedland Australia  0.3
21 May 2020 14:45 Wedgefield Australia  0.3
21 May 2020 13:45 Wickham Australia  0.3
21 May 2020 13:45 Point Samson Australia  0.3
21 May 2020 13:45 Cossack Australia  0.3
21 May 2020 18:00 Onslow Australia  0.3
21 May 2020 13:15 East Lewis I Australia  0.3
21 May 2020 13:15 Dampier Australia  0.3
21 May 2020 13:45 Kencong Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 13:45 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 15:30 Shark Bay Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 15:30 Monkey Mia Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 14:30 Mardie Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 17:30 Quobba Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 17:30 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 17:00 Dirk Hartog Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 18:00 Glenroy Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 17:30 Warroora Australia  0.2
21 May 2020 13:45 Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 13:45 Dadapan Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 13:45 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 13:45 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 13:45 Soega Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 13:45 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 13:45 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 13:45 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 13:45 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.2
21 May 2020 13:30 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 13:30 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 15:45 Arongsantek Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 15:45 Pekat Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 15:45 Miro Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 15:30 Utan Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 15:30 Pato Pedoe Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 15:30 Sumbawa Besar Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 17:15 Gnaraloo Australia  0.1
21 May 2020 13:45 Condon Australia  0.1
21 May 2020 15:00 Learmonth Australia  0.1
21 May 2020 17:00 Exmouth Australia  0.1
21 May 2020 14:30 Karratha Australia  0.1
21 May 2020 15:45 Idjok Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 17:15 Lenteng Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 17:15 Rinca Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 17:15 Lo'o Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 17:15 Mboera Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 17:15 Labuhanbadjo Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 17:15 Badjo Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 17:15 Nggorang Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 15:00 Labuhanpon Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 15:00 Blongas Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 15:00 Lembar Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 15:00 Tandjoengkarang Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 15:00 Geroeng Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 16:45 Kampoeng Maladjoe Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 16:45 Bontoh Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 16:45 Mintaoe Nae Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 16:45 Oi Sengari Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 16:45 Sanggar Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 16:45 Wara Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 16:15 Toronaroe Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 16:45 Sowa Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 15:15 Pernang Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 12:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.1
21 May 2020 13:45 West Island Cocos (Keeling) Islands  0.1
21 May 2020 15:45 Lepeloang Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 15:45 Lombok Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 15:45 Sembelie Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 15:45 Soengian Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 15:30 Laboean Mapin Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 15:30 Alas Indonesia  0.1
21 May 2020 16:45 Komodo Indonesia  0.1