Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (13 Jul 05:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 86 km/h 0.4 m 322 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 101 km/h 0.4 m 727 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

101 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Jul 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 Jul 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Jul 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Jul 2020 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 9 10 Jul 2020 00:00 90 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 10 10 Jul 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 11 Jul 2020 00:00 86 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico103223 
50-100 mmMexico1797606 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 242 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Jul 2020 12:00 364 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 00:00 300 9 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 548 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 5 08 Jul 2020 00:00 294 1 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 12:00 327 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Jul 2020 00:00 374 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 09 Jul 2020 12:00 294 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Jul 2020 00:00 259 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Jul 2020 12:00 279 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 11 11 Jul 2020 00:00 541 100 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Bahia Kino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 13 Jul 2020 05:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Jul 2020 05:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.4
13 Jul 2020 05:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.4
13 Jul 2020 05:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:00 El Barril Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 18:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
11 Jul 2020 06:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Huajapan Mexico  0.3
11 Jul 2020 05:15 El Roble Mexico  0.3
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Cachimba Mexico  0.3
12 Jul 2020 09:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:30 Empalme Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.3
11 Jul 2020 05:45 Pesqueria Mexico  0.3
11 Jul 2020 05:45 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.3
11 Jul 2020 05:45 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.3
11 Jul 2020 05:45 La Majada Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:30 Mulege Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:00 Liliba Mexico  0.3
11 Jul 2020 01:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
11 Jul 2020 01:00 North Beach United States  0.2
11 Jul 2020 01:00 Gardendale United States  0.2
11 Jul 2020 01:00 Doyle United States  0.2
11 Jul 2020 01:00 Orange Grove United States  0.2
11 Jul 2020 01:00 Portland United States  0.2
11 Jul 2020 01:00 Gregory United States  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:30 Loreto Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:30 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:30 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:30 San Jose Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 04:45 Arista Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 13:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:45 Tripui Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 04:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 04:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 04:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 08:15 Novillero Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 04:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 04:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 04:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 08:45 Cedros Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 06:00 Mirador Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 06:00 Ayutla Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 08:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 04:45 Rosario Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 06:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 13:15 Garrapateras Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 13:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 13:15 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 02:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 02:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 02:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 02:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 13:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 08:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 09:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
13 Jul 2020 09:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
13 Jul 2020 09:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
13 Jul 2020 09:00 Austwell United States  0.2
13 Jul 2020 09:00 Green Lake United States  0.2
13 Jul 2020 09:00 North Seadrift United States  0.2
13 Jul 2020 09:00 Long Mott United States  0.2
13 Jul 2020 09:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
12 Jul 2020 18:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 18:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 04:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 03:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 03:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 04:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 04:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 06:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 03:15 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 03:15 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 04:15 La Boca Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 03:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 18:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:45 El Marques Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 20:30 La Playa Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 18:30 La Florida Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 18:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 04:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 02:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 18:45 La Lima Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Chola Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 09:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 04:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 04:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 04:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 04:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:30 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:30 La Tuza Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 05:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Chagues Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Tlachicon Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:30 Tangolunda Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:00 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Coyote Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 03:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 06:30 Copala Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:30 La Redonda Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 06:15 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 06:15 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:30 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Chula Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 09:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 09:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 09:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 09:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 18:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:30 Loma Larga Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 09:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 16:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 18:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:30 Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 03:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:15 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:15 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 05:30 Galveston United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 05:45 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 05:45 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 05:45 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 05:45 Sea Isle United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 04:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:45 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 18:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Pizota Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:30 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 04:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 04:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Chamela Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 10:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 05:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 05:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 05:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 05:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:15 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Joluta Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:45 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:45 Buena Vista United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:45 Holly Beach United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:45 South Padre Island United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 05:45 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 04:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 14:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 14:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:00 Calvario Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:00 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 01:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 01:15 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 01:15 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 01:15 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 01:15 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 04:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 01:30 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 01:30 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 01:30 Port Isabel United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 01:30 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 01:30 Boca Chica United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:00 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:00 Apisa Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:00 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:00 San Telmo Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 06:00 Port Morris United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 18:15 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 18:15 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Maruata Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:00 El Real Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 14:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 14:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 06:00 Mims United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 06:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 06:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
12 Jul 2020 11:00 Corrales Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:45 Santiago Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:45 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:30 Lagunillas Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 06:00 Freeport United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 06:00 Quintana United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 06:00 Surfside United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Bucerias Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link