Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (13 Jul 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 86 km/h 0.4 m 455 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 101 km/h 0.4 m 727 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

101 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Jul 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 Jul 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Jul 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Jul 2020 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 9 10 Jul 2020 00:00 90 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 10 10 Jul 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 11 Jul 2020 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 11 Jul 2020 12:00 86 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico74155 
50-100 mmMexico488666 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 242 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Jul 2020 12:00 364 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 00:00 300 9 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 548 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 5 08 Jul 2020 00:00 294 1 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 12:00 327 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Jul 2020 00:00 374 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 09 Jul 2020 12:00 294 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Jul 2020 00:00 259 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Jul 2020 12:00 279 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 11 11 Jul 2020 00:00 322 40 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 12 11 Jul 2020 12:00 468 70 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Bahia Kino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 13 Jul 2020 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Jul 2020 05:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.4
14 Jul 2020 05:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.4
14 Jul 2020 05:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.4
13 Jul 2020 04:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.4
13 Jul 2020 05:00 El Barril Mexico  0.4
12 Jul 2020 10:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:45 Empalme Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:30 Mulege Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
12 Jul 2020 09:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:15 San Jose Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:30 Loreto Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:00 Liliba Mexico  0.3
12 Jul 2020 06:00 Arista Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 05:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 13:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 04:30 Datilito Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 04:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 18:30 Cedros Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 13:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:30 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:30 El Roble Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:30 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 04:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 08:45 Maudlowe United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 08:45 Tivoli United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 08:45 Spanish Village United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 08:45 Austwell United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 08:45 Green Lake United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 08:45 North Seadrift United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 08:45 Long Mott United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 08:45 Seadrift United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 07:15 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 07:15 North Beach United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 07:15 Gardendale United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 07:15 Doyle United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 07:15 Orange Grove United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 07:15 Portland United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 07:15 Gregory United States  0.2
13 Jul 2020 13:45 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 13:45 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 13:45 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 13:45 La Majada Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 04:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 13:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 13:15 Garrapateras Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 13:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 13:15 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 01:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 13:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 01:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 01:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 04:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 03:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 19:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 19:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 19:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 13:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 14:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 18:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 18:15 La Playa Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 02:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 02:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 05:45 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 01:15 San Blas Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 01:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 03:30 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 03:30 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 13:30 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 18:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 18:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 04:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 18:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 18:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 20:00 La Lima Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 18:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 18:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 02:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 08:15 Quinones Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 19:15 Marmol Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 05:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 05:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 18:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 18:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 18:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 23:30 Mirador Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 23:30 Ayutla Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 21:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 21:15 La Boca Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 18:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 01:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 01:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 01:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Chola Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 09:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 09:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 09:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 22:30 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 02:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 02:15 Monteon Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Chamela Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 18:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 01:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 01:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 10:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:15 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:45 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:45 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 01:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 02:15 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:45 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 04:00 Tangolunda Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Chula Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 01:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 01:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 18:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 01:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 01:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 04:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 03:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 14:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 14:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 14:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 14:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 01:45 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 01:45 Point Comfort United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 01:45 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 01:45 Indianola United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 01:45 Olivia United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 01:45 Weedhaven United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 01:45 Port Alto United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 01:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 01:45 Carancahua United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 01:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
12 Jul 2020 00:45 Florida Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 08:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 El Marques Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Joluta Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:30 Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:30 Loma Larga Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:30 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 05:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 05:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:00 Calvario Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:00 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 05:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:00 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:00 Buena Vista United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:00 South Padre Island United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Apisa Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 San Telmo Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:30 La Redonda Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 14:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 14:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Pizota Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 01:30 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 01:30 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 01:30 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 01:30 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Maruata Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:30 Tlachicon Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:30 Coyote Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 01:30 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:15 El Real Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Santiago Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:15 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:15 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:15 Chagues Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:45 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:45 La Tuza Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 05:45 Galveston United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 05:45 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:45 Copala Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:30 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 11:00 Corrales Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Bucerias Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 05:45 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 05:45 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 05:45 Sea Isle United States  0.1

Calculation folder at this link