Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (14 Jul 05:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 58 km/h 0.3 m 140 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 101 km/h 0.4 m 727 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

101 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 13 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Jul 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 Jul 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Jul 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Jul 2020 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 9 10 Jul 2020 00:00 90 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 10 10 Jul 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 11 Jul 2020 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 11 Jul 2020 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 12 Jul 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 12 Jul 2020 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 13 Jul 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 13 Jul 2020 12:00 61 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico51028 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 242 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Jul 2020 12:00 364 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 00:00 300 9 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 548 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 5 08 Jul 2020 00:00 294 1 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 12:00 327 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Jul 2020 00:00 374 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 09 Jul 2020 12:00 294 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Jul 2020 00:00 259 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Jul 2020 12:00 279 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 11 11 Jul 2020 00:00 322 40 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 12 11 Jul 2020 12:00 455 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 13 12 Jul 2020 00:00 294 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 14 12 Jul 2020 12:00 177 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 13 Jul 2020 00:00 362 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 16 13 Jul 2020 12:00 291 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Bahia Kino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 14 Jul 2020 05:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Jul 2020 05:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
14 Jul 2020 05:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 04:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.3
14 Jul 2020 05:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 19:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 04:45 El Barril Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 03:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
14 Jul 2020 06:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 03:45 Empalme Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 03:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.3
13 Jul 2020 17:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 02:30 Corpus Christi United States  0.3
16 Jul 2020 02:30 North Beach United States  0.3
16 Jul 2020 02:30 Gardendale United States  0.3
16 Jul 2020 02:30 Doyle United States  0.3
16 Jul 2020 02:30 Orange Grove United States  0.3
16 Jul 2020 02:30 Portland United States  0.3
16 Jul 2020 02:30 Gregory United States  0.3
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 04:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 04:30 Mulege Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 04:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 03:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 04:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 04:15 San Jose Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 04:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:15 Loreto Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:15 Ligui Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:15 Maudlowe United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:15 Tivoli United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:15 Spanish Village United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:15 Austwell United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:15 Green Lake United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:15 North Seadrift United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:15 Long Mott United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 06:15 Seadrift United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 20:45 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 03:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:30 El Roble Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:30 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 20:45 La Majada Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 18:30 Cedros Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:45 Rosario Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 09:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 20:30 Arista Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 09:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 09:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 20:45 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 13:45 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 13:45 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 18:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 18:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 22:00 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 22:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 03:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 03:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 18:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 18:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 18:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 07:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 20:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 03:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:15 Altata Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:15 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:15 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 03:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 20:30 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 18:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 18:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:15 Point Comfort United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:15 Indianola United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:15 Olivia United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:15 Weedhaven United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:15 Port Alto United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:15 Carancahua United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 01:15 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
13 Jul 2020 18:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 18:30 La Florida Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 18:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 19:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 19:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 13:30 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 14:00 Garrapateras Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 14:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 09:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 13:15 Mirador Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 13:15 Ayutla Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 18:15 La Playa Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 20:45 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 20:45 La Tuza Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 18:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 20:45 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 20:45 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 20:45 Chagues Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 03:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 03:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 03:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 03:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 09:30 San Blas Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 09:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 09:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 09:15 Monteon Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 09:15 La Lima Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 13:15 Tangolunda Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 03:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:30 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:30 Buena Vista United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:30 Holly Beach United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:30 South Padre Island United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:15 Galveston United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 01:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 20:15 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 20:15 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:00 El Marques Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 01:45 La Boca Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 20:45 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:15 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 19:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 17:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 01:00 Peary Place United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 01:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 01:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 01:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 01:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 01:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 01:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 01:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 17:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 03:15 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 21:00 Copala Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 Chola Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 Chamela Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 21:00 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:30 Port Morris United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 07:15 Palacios United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 07:15 Collegeport United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 20:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 20:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 20:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:30 Marmol Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 06:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 07:30 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 18:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 18:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 18:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 18:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 19:15 Calvario Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 19:15 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:45 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:45 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:45 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 21:45 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 01:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 09:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 09:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 20:45 Loma Larga Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 18:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:15 Mims United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:15 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:15 Hoskins United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 08:45 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:15 Tlachicon Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:15 Coyote Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 12:30 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 20:45 Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 20:45 La Redonda Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 01:30 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 01:30 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 17:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 17:30 Chula Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 18:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:15 Freeport United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:15 Quintana United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:15 Surfside United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:15 Joluta Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 20:30 Barron Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 18:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 02:15 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 18:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 03:45 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:00 Corrales Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 14:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link