Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (06 Jul 19:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 68 km/h 0.4 m 364 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 101 km/h 0.4 m 727 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

101 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 06 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Jul 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico78018 
50-100 mmMexico1831765 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 242 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Jul 2020 12:00 470 80 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 06 Jul 2020 19:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Jul 2020 19:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
06 Jul 2020 19:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 23:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 23:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 23:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 12:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 12:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 12:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 12:00 Austwell United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 12:00 Green Lake United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 12:00 North Seadrift United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 12:00 Long Mott United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 12:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 21:45 La Playa Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 17:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 13:45 Cedros Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 18:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 18:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 23:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 16:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 16:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 14:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 18:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 18:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 18:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 14:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 16:45 El Barril Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 19:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 19:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 14:30 La Florida Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 14:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 El Roble Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Arista Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 22:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 13:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 13:45 La Boca Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 20:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 16:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 13:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 13:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 22:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 22:15 La Paz Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 22:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 North Beach United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Gardendale United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Doyle United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Orange Grove United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Portland United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Gregory United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 21:15 La Majada Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 14:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 13:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 15:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 14:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:15 Altata Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 14:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:45 Empalme Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 13:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 21:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 21:15 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 13:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 13:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 13:45 La Lima Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 13:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:30 San Jose Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 13:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 21:15 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 21:15 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 17:30 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 17:30 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 14:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 13:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 14:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 14:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 14:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 14:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 14:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 14:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 13:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 20:30 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 20:30 Buena Vista United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 20:30 Holly Beach United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 20:30 South Padre Island United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 14:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link