Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (07 Jul 01:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 54 km/h 0.3 m 300 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 101 km/h 0.4 m 727 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

101 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Jul 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico140724 
50-100 mmMexico3451366 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 242 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Jul 2020 12:00 364 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 00:00 550 140 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Agua del Coyote, Mexico. This height is estimated for 07 Jul 2020 01:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Jul 2020 01:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 01:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 00:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 00:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 01:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 04:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 04:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:15 Novillero Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 07:45 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 07:45 North Beach United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 07:45 Gardendale United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 07:45 Doyle United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 07:45 Orange Grove United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 07:45 Portland United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 07:45 Gregory United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:30 La Playa Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:30 Datilito Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:30 El Roble Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:30 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:00 El Barril Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Maudlowe United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Tivoli United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Spanish Village United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Austwell United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Green Lake United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:30 North Seadrift United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Long Mott United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Seadrift United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:15 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 07:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:30 Arista Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:00 La Majada Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Empalme Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 09:15 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 09:15 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:45 La Florida Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:30 San Jose Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Loreto Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Ligui Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 04:30 La Boca Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:15 Point Comfort United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:15 Indianola United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:15 Olivia United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:15 Weedhaven United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:15 Port Alto United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:15 Carancahua United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:15 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:15 Liliba Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:45 Palacios United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:45 Collegeport United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:15 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 05:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 04:15 San Blas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 04:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:00 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Cedros Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:45 Mirador Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:45 Ayutla Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 05:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 05:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 05:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link