Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (08 Jul 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 61 km/h 0.3 m 548 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 101 km/h 0.4 m 727 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

101 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico227 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Jul 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 79 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico4854 
100-250 mmMexico69863 
50-100 mmMexico787384 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 242 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Jul 2020 12:00 364 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 00:00 300 9 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 803 70 thousand
- - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Bahia Kino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 08 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Jul 2020 00:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 00:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 00:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 00:00 El Barril Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 14:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:45 La Playa Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 23:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 14:45 Empalme Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:30 Datilito Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 12:00 North Beach United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Gardendale United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Doyle United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Orange Grove United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Portland United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Gregory United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 14:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 14:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 14:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 22:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 13:45 Arista Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:15 San Jose Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 14:30 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 14:30 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 14:30 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:15 Mulege Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 14:30 Loreto Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 14:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 14:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 14:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 14:45 Tripui Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 14:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:00 Liliba Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 14:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 20:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 20:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:15 La Boca Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 13:45 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 13:45 El Roble Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Austwell United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Green Lake United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 12:00 North Seadrift United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Long Mott United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 23:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 13:30 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 14:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:00 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:00 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:00 La Majada Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 21:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:30 Altata Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 La Florida Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 14:15 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 14:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 14:00 Mirador Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 14:00 Ayutla Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:30 Cunano Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 14:45 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 14:45 La Tuza Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:00 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 22:00 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 22:00 Buena Vista United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 22:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 22:00 South Padre Island United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:30 Barron Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 14:15 Tangolunda Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 14:15 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 14:15 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 14:15 Chagues Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 14:15 Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 14:15 Loma Larga Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 14:15 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:00 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:00 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link