Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (08 Jul 06:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 61 km/h 0.3 m 294 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 101 km/h 0.4 m 727 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

101 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico878 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Jul 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 Jul 2020 00:00 83 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico7473 
50-100 mmMexico170764 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 242 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Jul 2020 12:00 364 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 00:00 300 9 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 548 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 5 08 Jul 2020 00:00 435 7 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 08 Jul 2020 06:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Jul 2020 06:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 00:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 00:15 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 04:15 La Playa Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 05:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 00:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 08:30 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 08:30 North Beach United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 08:30 Gardendale United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 08:30 Doyle United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 08:30 Orange Grove United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 08:30 Portland United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 08:30 Gregory United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 00:30 El Barril Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 01:15 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 01:15 El Roble Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 05:00 Cedros Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:30 La Boca Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 08:45 Maudlowe United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 08:45 Tivoli United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 08:45 Spanish Village United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 08:45 Austwell United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 08:45 Green Lake United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 08:45 North Seadrift United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 08:45 Long Mott United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 08:45 Seadrift United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 03:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 03:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 03:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 03:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 03:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 03:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 03:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 01:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 03:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:30 Empalme Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:30 La Majada Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 01:00 Arista Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 11:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:15 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 05:15 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 05:15 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 02:15 Dimas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 03:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 03:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 05:15 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:15 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 03:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Monteon Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:45 La Lima Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 05:00 La Florida Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:30 San Jose Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Rosario Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 05:30 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Mulege Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 05:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:15 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:30 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:30 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 02:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 02:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 02:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:30 Liliba Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 02:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 02:15 Altata Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:30 Marmol Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Mirador Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Ayutla Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:15 Point Comfort United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:15 Indianola United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:15 Olivia United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:15 Weedhaven United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:15 Port Alto United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:15 Carancahua United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:15 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:45 Florida Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:30 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Tangolunda Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 01:45 Peary Place United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 01:45 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 01:45 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 01:45 Ingleside United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 01:45 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 01:45 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 01:45 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 01:45 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:15 Palacios United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:15 Collegeport United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:15 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:15 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:45 Chula Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:45 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 03:45 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:30 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:00 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:15 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:00 Chola Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:00 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:15 Loma Larga Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link