Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (09 Jul 03:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 79 km/h 0.3 m 374 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 101 km/h 0.4 m 727 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

101 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico651 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Jul 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 Jul 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Jul 2020 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico3082 
100-250 mmMexico13117 
50-100 mmMexico223534 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 242 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Jul 2020 12:00 364 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 00:00 300 9 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 548 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 5 08 Jul 2020 00:00 294 1 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 12:00 327 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Jul 2020 00:00 625 20 thousand
- - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Jul 2020 03:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Jul 2020 03:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 07:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 01:45 Corpus Christi United States  0.3
09 Jul 2020 01:45 North Beach United States  0.3
09 Jul 2020 01:45 Gardendale United States  0.3
09 Jul 2020 01:45 Doyle United States  0.3
09 Jul 2020 01:45 Orange Grove United States  0.3
09 Jul 2020 01:45 Portland United States  0.3
09 Jul 2020 01:45 Gregory United States  0.3
09 Jul 2020 07:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 07:15 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 08:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 06:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:00 El Barril Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:30 Empalme Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:45 Arista Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:00 El Roble Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Maudlowe United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Tivoli United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Spanish Village United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Austwell United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Green Lake United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:15 North Seadrift United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Long Mott United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Seadrift United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:45 Cedros Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 San Jose Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:30 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:30 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:30 La Majada Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Mulege Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 01:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 01:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 01:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Datilito Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 05:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:30 La Playa Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 09:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Mirador Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Ayutla Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 01:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:45 San Blas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Loreto Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Ligui Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Tripui Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 09:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 01:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 01:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Buena Vista United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 South Padre Island United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 09:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 09:15 Point Comfort United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 09:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 09:15 Indianola United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 09:15 Olivia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 09:15 Weedhaven United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 09:15 Port Alto United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 09:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 09:15 Carancahua United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 09:15 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:15 La Florida Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 05:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 05:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 05:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 01:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 09:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 05:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:45 Palacios United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:45 Collegeport United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 09:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 09:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 09:45 La Lima Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:15 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:45 Chola Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 05:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Tangolunda Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Sea Isle United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Galveston United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Chula Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:00 Copala Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:00 Port Isabel United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:00 Boca Chica United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Loma Larga Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 03:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 03:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link