Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (10 Jul 14:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 83 km/h 0.4 m 294 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 101 km/h 0.4 m 727 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

101 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico651 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Jul 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 Jul 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Jul 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Jul 2020 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico318 
100-250 mmMexico327753 
50-100 mmMexico889138 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 242 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Jul 2020 12:00 364 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 00:00 300 9 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 548 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 5 08 Jul 2020 00:00 294 1 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 12:00 327 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Jul 2020 00:00 374 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 09 Jul 2020 12:00 595 330 thousand
- - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Bahia Kino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 10 Jul 2020 14:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Jul 2020 14:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.4
10 Jul 2020 14:15 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.4
12 Jul 2020 05:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.4
11 Jul 2020 06:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.4
12 Jul 2020 03:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
12 Jul 2020 05:15 El Barril Mexico  0.3
10 Jul 2020 01:45 Corpus Christi United States  0.3
10 Jul 2020 01:45 North Beach United States  0.3
10 Jul 2020 01:45 Gardendale United States  0.3
10 Jul 2020 01:45 Doyle United States  0.3
10 Jul 2020 01:45 Orange Grove United States  0.3
10 Jul 2020 01:45 Portland United States  0.3
10 Jul 2020 01:45 Gregory United States  0.3
12 Jul 2020 06:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
12 Jul 2020 05:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
12 Jul 2020 06:00 Empalme Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 13:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
10 Jul 2020 16:00 Arista Mexico  0.3
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Huajapan Mexico  0.3
11 Jul 2020 05:15 El Roble Mexico  0.3
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Cachimba Mexico  0.3
12 Jul 2020 06:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.3
12 Jul 2020 05:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 13:30 Datilito Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 13:30 La Paz Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 13:30 Rosario Mexico  0.3
12 Jul 2020 05:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
12 Jul 2020 05:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
12 Jul 2020 06:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 05:45 Mulege Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 06:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 06:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 06:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 06:00 San Jose Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 06:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 05:30 Liliba Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:30 La Majada Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 13:30 Cedros Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 06:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 06:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 05:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:45 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:45 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:45 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:30 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:30 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 05:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 16:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 16:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 16:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 06:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 06:00 Loreto Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 08:45 Maudlowe United States  0.2
12 Jul 2020 08:45 Tivoli United States  0.2
12 Jul 2020 08:45 Spanish Village United States  0.2
12 Jul 2020 08:45 Austwell United States  0.2
12 Jul 2020 08:45 Green Lake United States  0.2
12 Jul 2020 08:45 North Seadrift United States  0.2
12 Jul 2020 08:45 Long Mott United States  0.2
12 Jul 2020 08:45 Seadrift United States  0.2
12 Jul 2020 06:15 Ligui Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:45 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 19:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 19:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 06:15 Tripui Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 06:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 06:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 18:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 18:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 18:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 02:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 05:00 La Playa Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 18:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 18:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 06:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 02:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 06:00 Mirador Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 06:00 Ayutla Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 06:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 06:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 14:15 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 14:15 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 01:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 02:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 06:00 Tangolunda Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 06:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 04:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 04:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 04:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 04:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 14:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 15:45 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 19:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 19:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 01:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 01:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Tlachicon Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Coyote Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 04:15 La Boca Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:30 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:30 La Tuza Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 16:15 Marquelia Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:15 La Redonda Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 06:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Chagues Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Puerto Angel Mexico  0.2
11 Jul 2020 05:15 Loma Larga Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 17:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 17:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 17:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 17:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 17:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 03:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 06:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 11:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 11:30 Monteon Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 11:30 La Lima Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 03:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 04:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:45 El Marques Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:45 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:45 Chula Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:45 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 03:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:45 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:45 Buena Vista United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:45 Holly Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:45 South Padre Island United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:00 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:00 El Real Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:00 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 04:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 04:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 05:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 02:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:15 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:15 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:15 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:45 Lagunillas Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:45 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 05:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:45 Copala Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 09:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Point Comfort United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Indianola United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Olivia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Weedhaven United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Port Alto United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Carancahua United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:45 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 06:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Santiago Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 16:15 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 16:15 Joluta Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 06:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 18:30 Chola Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:15 Chamela Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:15 Altata Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:15 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 16:15 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
12 Jul 2020 06:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 17:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:00 Apisa Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:00 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:00 San Telmo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Calvario Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 05:45 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 02:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 02:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 02:00 Port Isabel United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 02:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 02:00 Boca Chica United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 03:45 Marmol Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 17:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:15 Peary Place United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:15 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:15 Ingleside United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:15 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:15 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:15 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 17:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 17:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 16:15 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 20:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 03:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:15 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Bucerias Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Maruata Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 03:30 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 19:30 Corrales Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link