Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for LAURA-20
in United States, Cuba, Haiti, Jamaica, Bahamas, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands U.S., Virgin Islands British, Anguilla, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominica
22 Aug 2020 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LAURA-20 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, The Bahamas, Cuba, Turks and Caicos Islands, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (22 Aug 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.2 m 53 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 2.9 m 385 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

176 km/h

Up to 140 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Aug 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, The Bahamas, Cuba, Turks and Caicos Islands, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico138,675
+
United States50,437 
The Bahamas4,825 
Cuba5,720 
Turks and Caicos Islands22,210 
British Virgin Islands34 
Virgin Islands53,582 
Puerto Rico1,867 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Aug 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Aug 2020 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 20 Aug 2020 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 20 Aug 2020 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 21 Aug 2020 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 21 Aug 2020 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 21 Aug 2020 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 21 Aug 2020 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 22 Aug 2020 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 22 Aug 2020 06:00 79 -
- - - - - United States, The Bahamas, Cuba, Turks and Caicos Islands, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Aug 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmUnited States, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Puerto Rico, Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua9,955,277
+
United States4,025 
Cuba530,786 
Dominican Republic6,214,276 
Mexico1,666,301 
Haiti65,925 
Puerto Rico9,691 
Guatemala1,405,700 
Nicaragua58,573 
50-100 mmUnited States, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Mexico, Haiti, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Jamaica, Saint Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint Barthelemy, Saba (Netherlands), Guatemala, Sint Eustatius (Netherlands), Belize, Guadeloupe (France), Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua26,562,248
+
United States179,541 
Cuba4,065,719 
Dominican Republic2,972,991 
Mexico4,973,495 
Haiti155,196 
British Virgin Islands32,680 
Puerto Rico1,379,646 
Virgin Islands104,170 
Jamaica266,048 
Saint Martin21,196 
Sint Maarten39,587 
Saint Barthelemy2,342 
Saba (Netherlands)2,000 
Guatemala6,909,228 
Sint Eustatius (Netherlands)3,915 
Belize6,252 
Guadeloupe (France)15,714 
Honduras4,084,786 
El Salvador370,228 
Nicaragua977,514 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Aug 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Aug 2020 06:00 51 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 20 Aug 2020 12:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 20 Aug 2020 18:00 54 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 5 21 Aug 2020 00:00 57 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 6 21 Aug 2020 06:00 70 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 21 Aug 2020 12:00 51 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 21 Aug 2020 18:00 96 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 9 22 Aug 2020 00:00 54 -
- - - - - Guatemala
Blue 10 22 Aug 2020 06:00 363 10 million
- - - - United States, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Mexico, Haiti, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, Jamaica, Saint Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint Barthelemy, Saba (Netherlands), Guatemala, Sint Eustatius (Netherlands), Belize, Guadeloupe (France), Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Horseshoe Beach, United States. This height is estimated for 22 Aug 2020 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Aug 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Aug 2020 08:00 Horseshoe Beach United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 08:00 Shired Island United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 08:00 Suwannee United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 08:00 Cedar Key United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Dallus Creek Landing United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Steinhatchee United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Jena United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Keaton Beach United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Fish Creek United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 07:00 West End Village Anguilla  0.2
22 Aug 2020 07:00 Lowlands Netherlands Antilles  0.2
22 Aug 2020 07:00 Sandy Ground Guadeloupe  0.2
22 Aug 2020 07:00 Marigot Guadeloupe  0.2
22 Aug 2020 07:00 Blowing Point Anguilla  0.2
22 Aug 2020 07:00 Koolbaai Netherlands Antilles  0.2
22 Aug 2020 07:00 Concordia Guadeloupe  0.2
22 Aug 2020 07:00 St Louis Guadeloupe  0.2
22 Aug 2020 07:00 The Valley Anguilla  0.2
22 Aug 2020 07:00 Fort Amsterdam Netherlands Antilles  0.2
22 Aug 2020 07:00 Dutch Cul de Sac Netherlands Antilles  0.2
22 Aug 2020 07:00 Grand Case Guadeloupe  0.2
22 Aug 2020 07:00 Colombier Guadeloupe  0.2
22 Aug 2020 07:00 Philipsburg Netherlands Antilles  0.2
22 Aug 2020 07:00 Orleans Guadeloupe  0.2
22 Aug 2020 07:00 Point Blanche Netherlands Antilles  0.2
22 Aug 2020 07:00 Anse Marcel Guadeloupe  0.2
22 Aug 2020 07:00 French Cul de Sac Guadeloupe  0.2
22 Aug 2020 07:00 Green Cay Guadeloupe  0.2
22 Aug 2020 10:15 Surf United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 10:15 Panacea United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 10:15 Medart United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 10:15 Sun N Sand Beaches United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 10:15 Skipper United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 10:15 Live Oak Island United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 10:15 Hyde Park United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 10:15 Wakulla Beach United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 10:15 Saint Marks United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 10:15 Port Leon United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 10:15 Newport United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 10:15 Plum Orchard United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Dekle Beach United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 10:00 Port Inglis United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 10:00 Ozello United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 10:00 Homosassa United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 10:00 Crystal River United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 10:00 Paradise Point United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 10:00 Cutlers United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 10:00 Chassahowitzka United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 09:45 Yankeetown United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 07:45 Sumner United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 09:45 Mandalay United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Murad United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Fripp Landing United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Salvesbarg Landing United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Bolon Hall Landing United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Copp Landing United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Riverdale United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Pinckney Landing United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Laurel Bay United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Broad River Bluff United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Shell Point United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Burton United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Seabrook Landing United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Battery Marina Village United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Hilton Head Plantation United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Gator Field United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Parris Island United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Port Royal United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Fort Fremont United States  0.2
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Playa Caimito Cuba  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 Maudlowe United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 Tivoli United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 Austwell United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 Green Lake United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 North Seadrift United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 Long Mott United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 Seadrift United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Playa de Tasajera Cuba  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Caserio Pescadores Cuba  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:15 Carrabelle United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:15 Lanark Village United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:15 Big Blackjack Landing United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Surgidero de Batabano Cuba  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Batabano Cuba  0.1
22 Aug 2020 12:00 Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 12:00 Huarta Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 12:00 Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Point Comfort United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Indianola United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Olivia United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Weedhaven United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Port Alto United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Carancahua United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Ogden United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Wrightsville Beach United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Bayshore United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Hampstead United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Kings Landing United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Topsail Beach United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Sloop Point United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Barlowes United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Surf City United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:15 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 El Cajio Cuba  0.1
22 Aug 2020 10:45 Spanish Village United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:45 Barque Haiti  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:45 Lombard Haiti  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:45 Cap-Haitien Haiti  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Palacios United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Collegeport United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Simpsonville United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:30 Chichibacoa Colombia  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:30 Guaguri Colombia  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:30 Punta Espada Colombia  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Franklin United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Apalachicola United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Eastpoint United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Yent Place United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Guanimar Cuba  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:00 Majana Cuba  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 Gulf Harbors United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 New Port Richey United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 Hudson United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 New Port Richey East United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 Jasmine Estates United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 Bayonet Point United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 Hernando Beach United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 Aripeka United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 Weeki Wachee Gardens United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 Bayport United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Emerald Isle United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Ocean United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Indian Beach United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Broad Creek United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Salter Path United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Wildwood United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Pine Knoll Shores United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Hollywood United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Carolina City United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Atlantic Beach United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Crab Point Village United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 07:00 Corozal Belize  0.1
22 Aug 2020 07:00 Chunox Belize  0.1
22 Aug 2020 07:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 07:00 Calderita Mexico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Mars Bay The Bahamas  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Bucks Corner United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Cedar Point United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Cape Carteret United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Bogue United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Duck Creek United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Willis Landing United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Bear Creek United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Swansboro United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 Cabeza de Vaca Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 Baranca Belize  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 San Juan Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 Cocoli Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:30 Livingston Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Ocean City Beach United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Thomas Landing United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Beaufort United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Morehead City United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 10:30 El Naranjo Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 10:30 Boca Vieja Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 10:30 Piedra Pintada Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 10:30 Agua Dulce Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 10:30 Quebrada Grande Honduras  0.1
22 Aug 2020 07:15 Los Robalos Dominican Republic  0.1
22 Aug 2020 07:15 Sabana de la Mar Dominican Republic  0.1
22 Aug 2020 07:15 Samana Dominican Republic  0.1
22 Aug 2020 07:15 El Valle Dominican Republic  0.1
22 Aug 2020 07:15 Capitan Dominican Republic  0.1
22 Aug 2020 07:15 Balandra Dominican Republic  0.1
22 Aug 2020 07:15 Arroyo del Cabo Dominican Republic  0.1
22 Aug 2020 10:00 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:45 Santeneja Belize  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 North Topsail Beach United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Sneads Ferry United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Chadwick Acres United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 10:15 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 10:15 Puerto Santo Tomas de Castilla Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 10:15 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 10:15 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 10:15 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 10:15 Piedra Parada Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 10:15 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 10:15 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 10:15 Machacal Guatemala  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Lenoxville United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Straits United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:00 Winter Park United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:00 Myrtle Grove United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:00 Masonboro United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:00 Windemere United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:00 Seagate United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:30 Karasua Colombia  0.1
22 Aug 2020 10:00 New Haven Belize  0.1
22 Aug 2020 12:00 Indian Pass United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 12:00 Thirteen Mile United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 12:00 Odena United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 12:00 Eleven Mile United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 12:00 Nine Mile United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 12:00 Tilton United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:15 Guasimal Cuba  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:15 Matias Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:15 Aguada Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:15 Las Corozas Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:15 Coloso Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:15 Victoria Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:15 Aguadilla Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:15 Camaceyes Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:15 Caban Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:15 Arenales Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:15 Corrales Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:15 San Antonio Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:15 Rafael Hernandez Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:15 Jobos Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:15 Isabela Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:15 Sol y Mar Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 11:15 Quebradillas Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Anclote United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Beacon Square United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Holiday United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Elfers United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 09:00 Myrtle Sound United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Kendall Chapel United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Silver Lake United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Kure Beach United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Carolina Beach United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Harkers Island United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Otway United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Gloucester United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Cape Lookout United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Smyrna United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Marshallberg United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:30 Williston United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Southport United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Old Town United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:45 Sheephead Rock United States  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:30 Nueva Gerona Cuba  0.1
22 Aug 2020 06:30 Presidio Modelo Cuba  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Rio Grande Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Hato Candal Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Palmer Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Playa Fortuna Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 San Vicente Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Luquillo Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Ramos Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 El Banco Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Margarita Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Aguas Claras Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Convento Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Fajardo Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Ceiba Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Isidra Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Luis M. Cintron Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Roosevelt Roads Puerto Rico  0.1
22 Aug 2020 08:15 Las Croabas Puerto Rico  0.1