Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NOUL-20
in Laos, Thailand, Viet Nam, Cambodia, China

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NOUL-20 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Vietnam
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (15 Sep 16:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Cambodia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.2 m 193 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 133 km/h 0.9 m 558 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

133 km/h

Up to 90 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormVietnam86,953 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 15 Sep 2020 12:00 101 -
- - - - - Vietnam
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPhilippines594,217 
100-250 mmVietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Philippines19,993,178
+
Vietnam5,690,202 
Laos769,124 
Thailand54,968 
Philippines13,267,828 
Cambodia211,056 
50-100 mmChina, Vietnam, Laos, Taiwan, Burma, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia, Malaysia76,860,146
+
China4,577,176 
Vietnam30,764,646 
Laos930,522 
Taiwan3,972 
Burma7,284 
Thailand3,871,242 
Philippines35,964,518 
Cambodia738,562 
Malaysia2,224 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 15 Sep 2020 12:00 641 20.6 million
- - - China, Vietnam, Laos, Taiwan, Burma, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Barceloneta, Philippines. This height is estimated for 15 Sep 2020 16:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Sep 2020 16:15 Barceloneta Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 16:15 Mandao Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 16:15 Fundado Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 16:15 Karigsa Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 16:15 Calabanga Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 14:15 Garchitorena Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:15 Bagas Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:15 Caramoan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:15 Bikal Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:15 Pandanan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:45 Atimonan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:45 Pag-aguasan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:45 Concepcion Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:45 Alabat Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:45 Mascarina Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:45 Apad Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:45 Gumaca Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:45 Argosino Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:45 Cabag Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 16:45 Gongonan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 16:45 Mapid Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 16:45 Balaton Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Batang Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Damipac Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Ugnisan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Bonongan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Salvacion Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Bogtong Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Carigmalan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Concepcion Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Kiwit Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Culion Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Decalachao Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:15 Vinzons Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:15 Daet Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:15 Talaga Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:15 Tagontong Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:15 Mambongalon Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:15 Barana Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:15 Miguel Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:00 Bancuan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:00 San Nicolas Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:00 Coron Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:45 Perez Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:45 Cavilla Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:45 Polillo Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:45 Bisliang Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:45 Cabungalunan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:45 Abucay Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:45 Calutcot Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:45 Patnanongan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Nanping China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Cuihengcun China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Xiazha China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Maogang China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Macau Macau (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Taipa Macau (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Coloane Macau (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Heung chau China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Ch'i-ao China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:00 San Jose Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Busuanga Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:00 Mauban Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:45 Magtang Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:45 Lamon Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:00 Calamias Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:30 San Jose Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:30 Calauag Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:30 Bantulan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:30 Culasian Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:30 Danleg Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:30 Dumaran Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:45 Gulang-gulang Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:45 Alimanguan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:45 San Miguel Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:45 Pancol Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:45 Taytay Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:45 Igan Barrio Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:30 Union Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:30 Tinambac Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:30 Tai Po Industrial Estate Hong Kong (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:30 Fung Yuen Hong Kong (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:30 Dabu Hong Kong (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:30 Sha Tau Kok China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:30 Cheung Kang Hong Kong (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:30 Imtin China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:30 Yau Ma Po Hong Kong (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:30 Sai Kung Hong Kong (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:30 Cheung Wo Hong Kong (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:30 Pak Sha Au Hong Kong (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:30 Long Ke Hong Kong (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:30 Khitschhung China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:30 Dapeng China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:30 Taipang China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Inandeng Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:00 Paracale Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:00 Banacboc Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:30 Bebeladan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:30 Camago Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:30 Manlalec Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:30 Palarican Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:30 Oton Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:30 Palalong Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:30 Maytiguid Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:30 Batas Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:15 Calaguikhik Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:15 Talingting Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:15 Apad Lutao Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:30 Shangyang China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:30 Santouzui China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:30 Hsi-t'ou China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:30 Lengzilin China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:30 Pinggang China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:45 Lajiwei China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:15 Shagang China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:15 Aotou China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:00 Bitaogan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:00 Guijalo Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:00 Colongcogong Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Barton Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 15:00 Caluekan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:30 Buenavista Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 14:30 Borac Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Caruray Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:45 Nanad Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:45 Sabang Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 17:45 Marofinas Philippines  0.1